Match Analysis: Daniel Araujo vs Thomas Bryan – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-12
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Brasília, DF, Brazil
Game Overview
Daniel Araujo vs Thomas Bryan is a mixed martial arts bout featured at LFA 212. Araujo is undefeated with a 7-0 record and notable KO/TKO power, while Bryan has a 7-3 record. The fight is expected to showcase Araujo's finishing ability and Bryan's resilience.
Key Factors to Consider
- Daniel Araujo has been dominant recently with 7 straight wins including multiple first-round stoppages, indicating high finishing capability. Thomas Bryan, with a record of 7-3, has shown competitiveness but fewer finishes against top competition.
- No previous head-to-head matchups exist between Daniel Araujo and Thomas Bryan.
- No publicly reported injuries affecting either fighter leading into this bout.
- The fight takes place in Brasília, Brazil, which may favor Araujo slightly due to regional familiarity and crowd support.
- Araujo's undefeated status and rising profile provide strong motivation to maintain dominance. Bryan seeks to upset and improve his standing, but the motivation gap favors Araujo.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -650, away: 425 | Daniel Araujo | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Spread | home_spread: -1.5 @ -120, away_spread: +1.5 @ +100 | Daniel Araujo -1.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Over/under | over_2.5: +150, under_2.5: -180 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Daniel Araujo -10% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 1% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Daniel Araujo to win by decision or stoppage, controlling the pace and utilizing striking power.
Predicted Score: Daniel Araujo wins by unanimous decision or stoppage before round 3