Match Analysis: Daniel Araujo vs Thomas Bryan – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-05
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: Malai Manso Resort, Cuiaba, Mato Grosso, Brazil
Game Overview
Daniel Araújo (7-0) and Thomas Bryan (7-3) face off in a bantamweight (135 lbs) bout with Araújo undefeated and Bryan having a few losses. Both fighters have equal height and reach, but Daniel has a perfect record and more KO wins.
Key Factors to Consider
- Daniel Araújo is undefeated (7-0), with 6 wins by KO/TKO and 1 decision win in recent fights, showing strong finishing ability. Thomas Bryan holds a 7-3 record with mixed decision and submission wins but fewer KO stoppages.
- No prior head-to-head bouts reported between Daniel Araújo and Thomas Bryan.
- No reported injuries or weigh-in issues for either fighter reported before the bout.
- The fight is in Brazil, which is the home country of both fighters, cancelling any home advantage. Both fighters are young and seemingly in good physical condition with no adverse external influences identified.
- Daniel Araújo is undefeated and likely motivated to maintain his perfect record, possibly pushing for a bigger promotional opportunity. Thomas Bryan has losses to overcome, likely motivated to prove himself but facing a gap in momentum.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -800, away: +425 | Daniel Araújo | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Spread | home: -1.5 (+175), away: +1.5 (-225) | Daniel Araújo -1.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | over_2.5_rounds: -150, under_2.5_rounds: +120 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Daniel Araujo 336% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Daniel Araujo at 336% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 79% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Daniel Araújo to win via KO/TKO
Predicted Score: Daniel Araújo wins by TKO/KO in Round 1 or 2