Match Analysis: Manuel Del Valle vs Theodor Berggren – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-27
• Time: 7:30 PM UTC
• Location: Bec Arena, Manchester

Game Overview

The welterweight bout between Manuel Del Valle and Theodor Berggren at Cage Warriors 190: Unplugged promises an intense grappling and striking battle. Del Valle, with a 4-1 record, is known for his grappling dominance and finishing ability via submissions and TKOs. Berggren, with a 6-3 record, brings a balanced threat with KO/TKO and submission victories and is motivated to prove his place on the international stage.

Key Factors to Consider

• Manuel Del Valle has 4 wins and 1 loss with a high finish rate, showing strong grappling and submission skills. Theodor Berggren holds a 6-3 record with more KO/TKO wins but has a slightly less consistent win ratio. Berggren's recent training changes could improve his performance.
• This is the first recorded professional matchup between Manuel Del Valle and Theodor Berggren with no previous head-to-head fights.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the match.
• The fight is in Manchester's Bec Arena, potentially favoring Del Valle as the home fighter. Berggren is motivated by fighting on foreign soil and competing internationally without long travel.
• Del Valle is the favorite with grappling superiority, while Berggren is highly motivated to make a statement and turn his recent losses into a career resurgence.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Manuel Del Valle: -170, Theodor Berggren: 130	Manuel Del Valle	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Not explicitly provided; typical MMA over/under around 2.5 rounds	Under 2.5 rounds (fight finishes early)	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Manuel Del Valle 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Manuel Del Valle at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Manuel Del Valle is favored to win by submission or TKO due to his grappling dominance and finishing ability with a 68% confidence, while Berggren's striking and improved training could lead to an upset with a 32% chance.

Predicted Score: Manuel Del Valle wins via submission or TKO in round 2

Match Analysis: Theodor Berggren vs Leonardo Damiani – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-29
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: ABB Arena Syd, Västerås, Sweden

Game Overview

Theodor Berggren and Leonardo Damiani are set to clash in an MMA match at Fight Club Rush 23. Both fighters have a history of intense performances, with Berggren holding a 6-2-0 record and Damiani at 12-8-1. Berggren, known for his aggressive style, faces a more experienced opponent in Damiani.

Key Factors to Consider

• Theodor Berggren has been on a strong run recently, with a significant number of his wins coming via stoppages. However, Leonardo Damiani brings more experience to the table, which could play to his advantage.
• There is no recorded head-to-head history between Berggren and Damiani, making this their first encounter.
• No current information suggests that either fighter is dealing with significant injuries.
• The match being held in Sweden could give Berggren a slight home advantage in terms of crowd support.
• Both fighters are likely highly motivated, with Damiani seeking to capitalize on his experience and Berggren aiming to extend his winning streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Theodor Berggren -170, Leonardo Damiani +140	Theodor Berggren	★★★★☆ 75%

Predicted Outcome

Theodor Berggren is favored to win due to his recent performance and aggression in matches.

Predicted Score: Not applicable in MMA matches

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Raul Rosas Jr vs. Vince Morales Prediction	Raul Rosas Jr Win	-485	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Jose Daniel Medina vs. Ateba Gautier Prediction	Ateba Gautier Win	-440	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Theodor Berggren vs. Leonardo Damiani Prediction	Theodor Berggren Win	-170	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +135

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $47.02