Match Analysis: West Georgia Wolves vs The Citadel Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: November 14, 2025
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: The Coliseum, Carrollton, GA

Game Overview

ASUN/SoCon Challenge matchup between West Georgia Wolves (1-2 home) and The Citadel Bulldogs (1-2 away). Both teams enter with identical records but West Georgia operates as 5.5-point home favorites, indicating market confidence in the home team's scoring potential and defensive positioning.

Key Factors to Consider

• West Georgia averages 78.3 PPG on 47.1% shooting while allowing 84 PPG on 44.3% shooting. Citadel averages 59.5 PPG on 42.9% shooting while allowing 58.5 PPG on 45.9% shooting. West Georgia scores significantly more (78.3 vs 59.5) and plays faster-paced basketball. Citadel has lost 24 of its last 25 games against non-AP-ranked opponents, a critical red flag. West Georgia has lost 10 of its last 13 games, indicating poor recent form despite higher scoring output.
• No direct H2H history provided in available data. This is their first matchup this season.
• No injury information available in provided data.
• Game broadcast on ESPN+. Neutral court advantage slightly favors West Georgia as home team. Both teams are non-AP-ranked, placing Citadel's historical weakness against such opponents into sharp focus.
• Both teams seek to improve sub-.500 records and build momentum. West Georgia has home court advantage. Citadel must overcome significant historical struggles in this exact scenario (non-ranked opponents).

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	West Georgia -205 / Citadel +170	West Georgia Wolves (-205)	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	West Georgia -5.5 -105 / Citadel +5.5 -115	West Georgia -5.5	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 148.5 -110 / Under 148.5 -110	Under 148.5	★★★☆☆ 61%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	West Georgia Wolves -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 148.5 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 148.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

West Georgia Wolves to win the game and cover the spread. The Wolves' 19-point scoring advantage per game (78.3 vs 59.5 PPG) is too significant to overcome. Citadel's historical collapse against non-ranked opponents (24 of 25 losses) combined with their anemic 59.5 PPG output makes them particularly vulnerable. West Georgia's home court advantage and superior offensive efficiency create a decisive edge despite recent poor form.

Predicted Score: West Georgia 76, Citadel 68 (WGA -8 cover, Under 144 total)

Match Analysis: The Citadel Bulldogs vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-10
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: McAlister Field House, Charleston, South Carolina

Game Overview

Charleston Southern Buccaneers travel to face The Citadel Bulldogs in a South Carolina rivalry matchup. Both teams are 1-1 to start the season, with Charleston Southern coming off a dominant home win and The Citadel suffering a heavy road loss at Boston College. The game will be played at The Citadel's home court, with ESPN+ coverage.

Key Factors to Consider

• Charleston Southern averages 86.5 points and 22 assists per game, but allows 84.5 points defensively. The Citadel has shown strong defensive starts but struggled offensively in their loss to Boston College, scoring only 47 points. Citadel's lone win was a 81-52 victory over Charleston Southern in their last meeting.
• The Citadel won the previous matchup 81-52, indicating a significant edge in recent history. Citadel has shown the ability to dominate Charleston Southern when both teams are close in form.
• No major injuries reported for either team.
• The game is played at The Citadel's home court, giving them a home-court advantage. The venue is known for a strong home crowd, which can impact visiting teams.
• Both teams are looking to build momentum early in the season. The Citadel will be motivated to bounce back from their road loss and prove they can compete with regional rivals. Charleston Southern will be motivated to avenge their previous loss and establish themselves as a contender.
• N/A

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: 140, away: -170	The Citadel Bulldogs	Not available
Spread	home: 3.5, away: -3.5	The Citadel Bulldogs +3.5	Not available
Over/under	over: 145.5, under: 145.5	Under 145.5	Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	The Citadel Bulldogs 56%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 145.5 31%

🔥 Best Value Pick: The Citadel Bulldogs at 56% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 40% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Citadel Bulldogs are expected to cover the spread and keep the game close, leveraging their home advantage and recent dominance over Charleston Southern. The total points are likely to stay under due to Citadel's defensive strength and Charleston Southern's defensive vulnerabilities.

Predicted Score: 78-70

Top EV Parlay for Basketball – November 10, 2025

Game	Pick	Odds	EV
Utah Utes vs. Holy Cross Crusaders Prediction	Utah Utes	-7000	1958%
UCLA Bruins vs. West Georgia Wolves Prediction			57%
The Citadel Bulldogs vs. Charleston Southern Buccaneers Prediction	The Citadel Bulldogs	140	56%

Combined Odds: 100 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $0

Match Analysis: VMI Keydets vs The Citadel Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-08
• Time: 12:30 AM UTC
• Location: Cameron Hall

Game Overview

The VMI Keydets host The Citadel Bulldogs in a Southern Conference matchup. VMI seeks to maintain their dominance over The Citadel, having won six of the last ten matchups.

Key Factors to Consider

• VMI has shown stronger performance in recent games, while The Citadel struggles with consistency, particularly in conference play.
• VMI has a slight edge in the head-to-head series, winning six of the last ten games, including a recent 75-70 victory.
• No significant injury reports are available for either team.
• The game is at Cameron Hall, which could provide an advantage to VMI due to home support.
• Both teams are motivated, but VMI has more to gain from a win, potentially improving their conference standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	VMI -556, The Citadel +390	VMI Keydets	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	VMI -6 -110, The Citadel +6 -110	VMI Keydets	★★★☆☆ 58%
Over_under	Over 140.5 -110, Under 140.5 -110	Over 140.5	★★★☆☆ 52%

Predicted Outcome

VMI Keydets are favored to win due to their recent form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: VMI 78, The Citadel 72

Match Analysis: The Citadel Bulldogs vs East Tennessee St Buccaneers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-01
• Time: 6:00 PM UTC
• Location: McAlister Field House

Game Overview

The Citadel Bulldogs host the East Tennessee State Buccaneers in a matchup that sees East Tennessee State favored across most betting lines.

Key Factors to Consider

• East Tennessee State has shown stronger performance in recent games, while The Citadel has struggled to maintain consistency.
• Historically, East Tennessee State has had the upper hand in head-to-head matchups against The Citadel.
• No significant injury reports are available for either team.
• Home-court advantage might slightly favor The Citadel, but East Tennessee State's overall strength could mitigate this.
• Both teams are motivated to win, but East Tennessee State's stronger season performance might give them an edge in focus and determination.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-780 (East Tennessee St), 530 (The Citadel)	East Tennessee State	★★★★☆ 80%
Spread	-11.5 -110 (East Tennessee St), 11.5 -110 (The Citadel)	East Tennessee State	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over_under	o131.5 -110, u131.5 -110	Over	★★★☆☆ 55%

Predicted Outcome

East Tennessee State is likely to win due to their stronger team performance and historical dominance over The Citadel.

Predicted Score: East Tennessee State 72, The Citadel 60

Match Analysis: Furman Paladins vs The Citadel Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: February 27, 2025
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Bon Secours Wellness Arena

Game Overview

Furman Paladins host The Citadel Bulldogs in a matchup where Furman is heavily favored due to their strong season performance compared to Citadel's struggling record.

Key Factors to Consider

• Furman has a strong record of 21-8, while Citadel is 5-22. Furman's ability to score and defend is significantly better than Citadel's.
• Furman has historically performed well against Citadel, often using their three-point shooting to secure victories.
• No significant injury reports are available for this matchup.
• The game is at Furman's home venue, which could provide an additional advantage.
• Furman is motivated to maintain their strong season performance, while Citadel seeks to break their losing streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	N/A	Furman Paladins	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%
Spread	-15.5 -110	Furman Paladins	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%
Over_under	Over 138.5 -110 / Under 138.5 -110	Over	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%

Predicted Outcome

Furman is expected to win comfortably due to their superior performance and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Furman 79, Citadel 63

Match Analysis: Chattanooga Mocs vs The Citadel Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-02-22
• Time: 7:00 PM UTC
• Location: McKenzie Arena

Game Overview

The Chattanooga Mocs, with a strong record of 20-8, host The Citadel Bulldogs, who are struggling at 5-21. Chattanooga is favored heavily in this matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

• Chattanooga has been performing well, with a recent 8-2 record against the spread and 9-1 overall in their last 10 games. The Citadel, however, is on an 18-game losing streak.
• In their previous meeting this season, Chattanooga won 81-68 on the road, breaking a streak of home team wins.
• No significant injury reports are available for this matchup.
• Playing at home could give Chattanooga an additional advantage due to crowd support and familiarity with the court.
• The Citadel is highly motivated to break their losing streak, while Chattanooga aims to maintain their strong performance.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Chattanooga -4500, The Citadel 1300	Chattanooga	★★★★★ 95%
Spread	Chattanooga -20	Chattanooga	★★★★☆ 70%
Over_under	Over/Under 145.5	Over	★★★☆☆ 55%

Predicted Outcome

Chattanooga is expected to win comfortably due to their superior performance and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Chattanooga 85, The Citadel 65