Match Analysis: The Citadel Bulldogs vs Bellarmine Knights – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-25
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: McAlister Field House, Charleston, SC, USA

Game Overview

The Citadel Bulldogs host Bellarmine Knights in a non-conference NCAA Men's Basketball matchup. Both teams are coming off early-season struggles, with Bellarmine at 1-4 and The Citadel at 2-3. The game is scheduled for 7:00 PM EST (00:00 UTC) at McAlister Field House, a venue known for its home-court advantage. The matchup is part of a broader slate of early-season games with both teams seeking to build momentum.

Key Factors to Consider

• Bellarmine Knights have struggled offensively, averaging just 66.2 points per game and shooting 41.2% from the field. Their defense has allowed 75.8 points per game. The Citadel Bulldogs are slightly better offensively, averaging 68.8 points per game, but their defense is also porous, allowing 72.6 points per game. Citadel has shown more consistency at home, going 2-1, while Bellarmine is 0-2 on the road. Citadel's recent win streak (W1) contrasts with Bellarmine's losing streak (L2), indicating a slight edge in recent form for the Bulldogs.
• There is limited recent head-to-head data between these two teams, but Citadel has shown a slight edge in home matchups against similar competition. The teams have not met in the last two seasons, so historical trends are not strongly predictive.
• No major injuries have been reported for either team as of the latest updates. Both rosters are expected to be at full strength for this matchup.
• McAlister Field House is known for its loud and supportive home crowd, which could provide Citadel with a psychological edge. The game is being played on a Monday night, which may affect player fatigue and focus, especially for Bellarmine, who are on the road.
• Both teams are motivated to improve their records and build confidence early in the season. Citadel, as the home team, will be eager to capitalize on their home-court advantage and extend their winning streak. Bellarmine will be looking to bounce back from a recent loss and prove their ability to compete away from home.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Bellarmine Knights: -110, The Citadel Bulldogs: -110	The Citadel Bulldogs	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Bellarmine Knights: 1.5 -125, The Citadel Bulldogs: -1.5 105	The Citadel Bulldogs -1.5	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over: 157.5 -108, Under: 157.5 -112	Over 157.5	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	The Citadel Bulldogs 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 157.5 0%

🔥 Best Value Pick: The Citadel Bulldogs at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Citadel Bulldogs are favored to win this matchup due to their recent form, home-court advantage, and slightly better offensive production. Bellarmine's struggles on the road and recent losses make it difficult to see them overcoming the Bulldogs in Charleston. The game is expected to be close, with Citadel likely to edge out a narrow victory.

Predicted Score: The Citadel Bulldogs 78, Bellarmine Knights 76

Match Analysis: West Georgia Wolves vs The Citadel Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-15
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: The Coliseum, Carrollton, GA

Game Overview

The game features the West Georgia Wolves hosting The Citadel Bulldogs, both with 1-2 season records. West Georgia has struggled recently with 10 losses in their last 13 games and poor defensive showings, while The Citadel has similarly underperformed against non-ranked opponents and holds a 1-2 record. Both teams have close scoring averages, but Wolves score higher offensively whereas Bulldogs defend better.

Key Factors to Consider

• West Georgia averages 78.3 points per game but concedes 84 points on 44.3% shooting. The Citadel averages 59.5 points and allows 58.5 points on 45.9% shooting. Wolves rely on Shelton Williams-Dryden (16.3 ppg) and Josh Smith (12.3 ppg), while The Citadel's top scorer is Christian Moore with 15.3 ppg. Wolves shoot better from beyond the arc (39.7%) and on free throws (63.6%).
• Recent direct matchups are not detailed in the available data. Both teams have similar records and performance levels, suggesting a competitive game with no clear historical dominance.
• No specific injury information is provided in the data for either team ahead of this match.
• Home-court advantage favors West Georgia playing at The Coliseum in Carrollton, GA. Public betting is evenly split between both teams. West Georgia’s recent poor road performance (1-1 ATS) and The Citadel’s struggles against non-ranked opponents could influence outcomes.
• West Georgia is motivated to break their losing streak and improve defensive woes. The Citadel looks to capitalize on Wolf’s inconsistencies and secure a confidence-boosting road win.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	West Georgia Wolves: -205, The Citadel Bulldogs: 170	West Georgia Wolves to win	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	West Georgia Wolves: -5.5 -105, The Citadel Bulldogs: +5.5 -115	West Georgia Wolves to cover the -5.5 spread	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over: 148.5 -110, Under: 148.5 -110	Under 148.5 total points	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	West Georgia Wolves -8%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 148.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 148.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

West Georgia Wolves are favored to win due to better offensive weapons, a home venue advantage, and slightly stronger shooting percentages, despite overall poor recent form. The Citadel is expected to keep the game competitive but lack firepower to pull an upset.

Predicted Score: West Georgia Wolves 76 – 68 The Citadel Bulldogs

Match Analysis: The Citadel Bulldogs vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-11
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: McAlister Field House, Charleston, South Carolina

Game Overview

The Citadel Bulldogs will host the Charleston Southern Buccaneers in a closely contested NCAAB match. Both teams have a 1-1 record to start the season, with contrasting performances: Charleston Southern showcases a high-scoring offense but has defensive vulnerabilities, while The Citadel has strong defensive starts but has struggled to score consistently.

Key Factors to Consider

• Charleston Southern averages 86.5 points per game with strong playmakers like Brycen Blaine (17.0 PPG, 9.5 RPG) and Luke Williams (13.5 PPG, 5.0 APG). The Citadel has shown defensive strength but lost significantly on the road recently (76-47 vs Boston College). Charleston Southern’s defense has allowed 84.5 points per game, indicating potential for a high-scoring contest.
• The previous meeting was decisively won by The Citadel Bulldogs 81-52. Both teams are 1-1 overall this season, and head-to-head could favor The Citadel based on past dominance, though current form may narrow this gap.
• No significant injury reports available for either team, suggesting both squads are near full strength going into the match.
• Home court advantage at McAlister Field House may benefit The Citadel. The game is broadcast on ESPN+, increasing pressure and exposure for both teams.
• The Citadel looks to bounce back from a recent road loss, motivated to defend their home court and improve their start. Charleston Southern aims to leverage their offensive capabilities and recent road win momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Charleston Southern Buccaneers: -170, The Citadel Bulldogs: 140	Charleston Southern Buccaneers	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Charleston Southern Buccaneers: -3.5 -110, The Citadel Bulldogs: 3.5 -110	The Citadel Bulldogs +3.5	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over: 145.5 -105, Under: 145.5 -115	Over 145.5 points	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Charleston Southern Buccaneers -6%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 145.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 145.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Although Charleston Southern is favored on the moneyline, the best betting opportunity is backing The Citadel to cover the spread due to their strong defensive potential and motivation at home. Expect a competitive game, with a slight edge to Charleston Southern in the moneyline given the odds.

Predicted Score: Charleston Southern Buccaneers 76 – The Citadel Bulldogs 73

Match Analysis: Boston College Eagles vs The Citadel Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-07
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Silvio O. Conte Forum, Chestnut Hill, MA

Game Overview

The Boston College Eagles, coming off a close 83-78 overtime loss to Florida Atlantic and starting the season 0-1, host the The Citadel Bulldogs, who are 1-0 after a commanding 105-61 win over Erskine. Boston College has struggled defensively, allowing 75.8 points per game last season and committing many fouls, while The Citadel has shown strong offensive efficiency, averaging 105 points with high 3-point volume and good ball sharing.

Key Factors to Consider

• The Citadel Bulldogs are showing strong offensive form with 45.6% shooting and 35.6% from three, highlighted by Sola Adebisi's 15 PPG. Boston College struggled initially, especially in defense, allowing high-percentage shooting and 18.6 fouls per game last season. Boston College relies on Donald Hand Jr., who recently scored 20 points.
• The last meeting on Nov 4, 2024, saw Boston College defeat The Citadel 69-60. Historically, Boston College has been stronger in this matchup.
• No major injury information available for either team for this game.
• Boston College's home court (Conte Forum) provides a significant advantage. The Eagles' fans are heavily backing their team with roughly 89% of public bets favoring Boston College.
• Boston College is highly motivated to bounce back from an opening loss at home while The Citadel aims to build on their strong start and shock on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Boston College Eagles: -3500, The Citadel Bulldogs: 1280	Boston College Eagles to win	★★★★★ 92%
Spread	Boston College Eagles: -17.5 -110, The Citadel Bulldogs: +17.5 -110	The Citadel Bulldogs +17.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over: 143.5 -110, Under: 143.5 -110	Over 143.5	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Boston College Eagles -4%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 143.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 143.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Boston College is heavily favored to win given their home advantage and stronger program history. However, The Citadel is expected to cover the 17.5-point spread, with the game likely to go over the 143.5 total due to both teams' offensive performances early in the season.

Predicted Score: Boston College Eagles 78 – The Citadel Bulldogs 71

Match Analysis: VMI Keydets vs The Citadel Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-08
• Time: 12:30 AM UTC
• Location: Cameron Hall

Game Overview

The VMI Keydets host The Citadel Bulldogs in a Southern Conference matchup. VMI seeks to maintain their dominance over The Citadel, having won six of the last ten matchups.

Key Factors to Consider

• VMI has shown stronger performance in recent games, while The Citadel struggles with consistency, particularly in conference play.
• VMI has a slight edge in the head-to-head series, winning six of the last ten games, including a recent 75-70 victory.
• No significant injury reports are available for either team.
• The game is at Cameron Hall, which could provide an advantage to VMI due to home support.
• Both teams are motivated, but VMI has more to gain from a win, potentially improving their conference standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	VMI -556, The Citadel +390	VMI Keydets	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	VMI -6 -110, The Citadel +6 -110	VMI Keydets	★★★☆☆ 58%
Over_under	Over 140.5 -110, Under 140.5 -110	Over 140.5	★★★☆☆ 52%

Predicted Outcome

VMI Keydets are favored to win due to their recent form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: VMI 78, The Citadel 72

Match Analysis: The Citadel Bulldogs vs East Tennessee St Buccaneers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-01
• Time: 6:00 PM UTC
• Location: McAlister Field House

Game Overview

The Citadel Bulldogs host the East Tennessee State Buccaneers in a matchup that sees East Tennessee State favored across most betting lines.

Key Factors to Consider

• East Tennessee State has shown stronger performance in recent games, while The Citadel has struggled to maintain consistency.
• Historically, East Tennessee State has had the upper hand in head-to-head matchups against The Citadel.
• No significant injury reports are available for either team.
• Home-court advantage might slightly favor The Citadel, but East Tennessee State's overall strength could mitigate this.
• Both teams are motivated to win, but East Tennessee State's stronger season performance might give them an edge in focus and determination.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-780 (East Tennessee St), 530 (The Citadel)	East Tennessee State	★★★★☆ 80%
Spread	-11.5 -110 (East Tennessee St), 11.5 -110 (The Citadel)	East Tennessee State	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over_under	o131.5 -110, u131.5 -110	Over	★★★☆☆ 55%

Predicted Outcome

East Tennessee State is likely to win due to their stronger team performance and historical dominance over The Citadel.

Predicted Score: East Tennessee State 72, The Citadel 60

Match Analysis: Furman Paladins vs The Citadel Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: February 27, 2025
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Bon Secours Wellness Arena

Game Overview

Furman Paladins host The Citadel Bulldogs in a matchup where Furman is heavily favored due to their strong season performance compared to Citadel's struggling record.

Key Factors to Consider

• Furman has a strong record of 21-8, while Citadel is 5-22. Furman's ability to score and defend is significantly better than Citadel's.
• Furman has historically performed well against Citadel, often using their three-point shooting to secure victories.
• No significant injury reports are available for this matchup.
• The game is at Furman's home venue, which could provide an additional advantage.
• Furman is motivated to maintain their strong season performance, while Citadel seeks to break their losing streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	N/A	Furman Paladins	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%
Spread	-15.5 -110	Furman Paladins	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%
Over_under	Over 138.5 -110 / Under 138.5 -110	Over	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%

Predicted Outcome

Furman is expected to win comfortably due to their superior performance and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Furman 79, Citadel 63

Match Analysis: Chattanooga Mocs vs The Citadel Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-02-22
• Time: 7:00 PM UTC
• Location: McKenzie Arena

Game Overview

The Chattanooga Mocs, with a strong record of 20-8, host The Citadel Bulldogs, who are struggling at 5-21. Chattanooga is favored heavily in this matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

• Chattanooga has been performing well, with a recent 8-2 record against the spread and 9-1 overall in their last 10 games. The Citadel, however, is on an 18-game losing streak.
• In their previous meeting this season, Chattanooga won 81-68 on the road, breaking a streak of home team wins.
• No significant injury reports are available for this matchup.
• Playing at home could give Chattanooga an additional advantage due to crowd support and familiarity with the court.
• The Citadel is highly motivated to break their losing streak, while Chattanooga aims to maintain their strong performance.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Chattanooga -4500, The Citadel 1300	Chattanooga	★★★★★ 95%
Spread	Chattanooga -20	Chattanooga	★★★★☆ 70%
Over_under	Over/Under 145.5	Over	★★★☆☆ 55%

Predicted Outcome

Chattanooga is expected to win comfortably due to their superior performance and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Chattanooga 85, The Citadel 65