Match Analysis: Thad Jean vs Logan Storley – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-01
• Time: 10:30 PM UTC
• Location: Boardwalk Hall, Atlantic City

Game Overview

The 2025 PFL Welterweight Championship final between undefeated Thad Jean (10-0) and experienced Logan Storley (18-3) will be contested with a $1,000,000 prize at stake. Jean has youth, height, and an undefeated record, while Storley brings extensive MMA and wrestling experience.

Key Factors to Consider

• Thad Jean has an undefeated 10-0 record showing consistent recent performance; Logan Storley, despite starting PFL with a KO loss, is 3-0 in his last three fights and has significant high-level MMA and wrestling pedigree.
• No previous head-to-head matchup found between Jean and Storley, making styles and form analysis critical.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the bout.
• High stakes ($1 million prize) likely increase motivation. Jean's height and reach advantage may impact fight dynamics significantly.
• Both fighters are highly motivated by the title and large payday; Jean's undefeated status gives him confidence, while Storley’s comeback narrative adds psychological edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Thad Jean: -240, Logan Storley: +190	Thad Jean	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Thad Jean -1.5: +150, Logan Storley +1.5: -170	Thad Jean -1.5 (win by 2 or more rounds)	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110	Under 2.5 rounds (fight finishes in fewer rounds)	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Thad Jean -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Thad Jean at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Thad Jean to win via decision

Predicted Score: Thad Jean wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds

Match Analysis: Jason Jackson vs Thad Jean – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-13
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: PFL World Tournament (Not specified, main event likely in major arena)

Game Overview

This is a 2025 PFL World Tournament Welterweight Semifinals bout between Jason Jackson (former Bellator Welterweight Champion, 19-5-0) and Thad Jean (undefeated rising star, 9-0-0). Jackson brings world-class experience and composure, while Jean has knockout power and significant momentum. This fight is seen as a classic matchup of experience versus youth and aggression[2][3].

Key Factors to Consider

• Jason Jackson has a proven track record in high-level competition, including a Bellator title, and has faced tougher opposition. Thad Jean is undefeated but has less experience against top-tier competition. Jackson’s finishing rate is solid, but Jean’s knockout ratio is higher[3].
• No prior head-to-head record between Jason Jackson and Thad Jean[1].
• No major publicized injuries reported for either fighter leading into the bout.
• This is a high-stakes semifinal in a major tournament, likely to be televised internationally. Both fighters are highly motivated, with Jackson aiming to reclaim his championship status and Jean aiming to maintain his unbeaten record[2][5].
• Motivation is high for both: Jackson wants to reassert himself at the top, while Jean seeks to prove himself against elite competition and maintain his undefeated streak[2][5].

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Jason Jackson: -210, Thad Jean: 170	Jason Jackson to win	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Not specified by bookmakers; inferred: Jackson -3.5 (favorite by decision or late finish)	Jackson covers (wins by decision or late finish)	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Not specified by bookmakers; inferred: Over 2.5 rounds	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Jason Jackson -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Jason Jackson at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jason Jackson is favored due to his experience, composure, and proven ability in high-level fights. Thad Jean, while dangerous, has not faced the same caliber of opponents as Jackson. Jackson’s technical skills and ability to handle pressure are expected to be the difference-makers[2][3][5].

Predicted Score: Jackson wins by unanimous decision or late TKO (4th or 5th round), though a Jean knockout is a live underdog possibility.

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Jesus Pinedo vs. Gabriel Alves Braga Prediction	Jesus Pinedo Win	-215	★★★★☆ 70% (70%)
Mukhamed Berkhamov vs. Kendly St. Louis Prediction	Mukhamed Berkhamov Win	-260	★★★★☆ 70% (70%)
Jason Jackson vs. Thad Jean Prediction	Over 2.5 rounds	2.5	★★★☆☆ 65% (65%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +108

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $41.59

Match Analysis: Mukhamed Berkhamov vs Thad Jean – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: April 2, 2025
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: Universal Studios, Orlando, Florida, United States

Game Overview

Thad Jean and Mukhamed Berkhamov will face off in a welterweight bout as part of the PFL 2025 World Tournament. Jean, undefeated with an 8-0 record, is favored against Berkhamov, who has a 17-2 record.

Key Factors to Consider

• Thad Jean is undefeated with a strong record in the PFL, while Mukhamed Berkhamov has also demonstrated a strong performance with fewer losses across his career.
• There is no recorded head-to-head match between these fighters, making it difficult to gauge past interactions.
• No publicized injuries for either fighter as of the latest reports.
• The PFL environment and recent victories could impact each fighter's strategy and confidence.
• Both fighters are highly motivated to advance in the tournament, with Berkhamov looking to upset an undefeated Jean.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-250 (Thad Jean), 200 (Mukhamed Berkhamov)	Thad Jean	★★★★☆ 75%

Predicted Outcome

Thad Jean will likely win against Mukhamed Berkhamov due to his current undefeated streak and recent performance.

Predicted Score: Decision or early stoppage in favor of Thad Jean.

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Magomed Umalatov vs. Logan Storley Prediction	Magomed Umalatov Win	-330	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Mukhamed Berkhamov vs. Thad Jean Prediction	Thad Jean Win	-250	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Jeremy Kennedy vs. Movlid Khaybulaev Prediction	Movlid Khaybulaev Win	-750	★★★★☆ 70% (70%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +107

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $41.35