Match Analysis: Thad Jean vs Logan Storley – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-01
- Time: 10:30 PM UTC
- Location: Boardwalk Hall, Atlantic City, United States
Game Overview
The Welterweight final of the 2025 PFL World Tournament features Thad Jean, an undefeated knockout artist (10-0), against Logan Storley (18-3), a veteran with an elite wrestling background. This championship bout will take place at Boardwalk Hall, a historic fight venue in Atlantic City, and is the headline event of the PFL World Tournament 8: 2025 Finals, broadcast live on DAZN.
Key Factors to Consider
- Thad Jean has maintained a perfect 10-0 record with a high finishing rate via knockouts, demonstrating strong striking and finishing ability. Logan Storley brings experience with 18 wins and 3 losses, known particularly for his high-level wrestling skills and resilience. Both fighters have displayed consistent performances throughout the season, making this match highly competitive.
- There is no recorded previous matchup between Thad Jean and Logan Storley, making this their first direct meeting in a high-stakes final.
- No injury reports or fitness issues have been disclosed for either fighter ahead of the bout, indicating both are expected to be at full capacity.
- The fight takes place in a prestigious and potentially emotionally charged venue, Boardwalk Hall, which could impact fighter motivation and performance. The event is streamed globally on DAZN, emphasizing high stakes and visibility. Logan Storley’s training camp includes notable fighters such as Jason Jackson, potentially influencing his preparation.
- Thad Jean enters with the motivation of preserving an undefeated record and claiming his first PFL Welterweight title. Logan Storley aims to leverage his experience and wrestling pedigree to upset the unbeaten champion and secure the championship, adding substantial motivation in a career-defining moment.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Thad Jean: -240, Logan Storley: +190 | Thad Jean | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Spread | Thad Jean -1.5 rounds: -150, Logan Storley +1.5 rounds: +130 | Thad Jean by more than 1.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 3.5 rounds: +110, Under 3.5 rounds: -130 | Under 3.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Thad Jean -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Thad Jean at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Based on current live moneyline odds favoring Thad Jean (-240) over Logan Storley (+190) and Jean's unbeaten status and knockout power, the prediction favors Thad Jean by decision or late stoppage with a confidence level around 65%. However, Logan Storley’s wrestling and experience could allow him to control portions of the fight, making an upset possible at about 30% probability.
Predicted Score: Thad Jean wins by decision or late stoppage in round 3 or 4