Match Analysis: Arizona State Sun Devils vs Texas Tech Red Raiders – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-18
- Time: 8:00 PM UTC
- Location: Mountain America Stadium, Tempe, Arizona
Game Overview
The No. 7 Texas Tech Red Raiders (6-0) visit the Arizona State Sun Devils (4-2) for a Big 12 conference matchup. Texas Tech enters as a strong favorite with a significant points advantage and a potent offense and defense, while Arizona State has struggled recently, notably losing 42-10 to Utah in their last game.
Key Factors to Consider
- Texas Tech is undefeated (6-0) with the 2nd highest scoring offense averaging 47.5 points per game and a top-ranked defense allowing only 12.2 points on average. Arizona State has a 4-2 record but is coming off a heavy loss and lower offensive/defensive performance.
- Recent direct matchups show Texas Tech as dominant. Betting markets heavily favor Texas Tech both in moneyline and spread, supporting their superiority.
- Key update on Texas Tech quarterback Sam Levit's status indicated potential participation which influenced odds movement favorably towards Texas Tech. No major injury concerns reported for Arizona State affecting starting lineup.
- The game is at Arizona Stateβs home stadium; however, Texas Techβs superior form and health mitigate typical home advantage impact. Weather or other venue conditions not noted as factors.
- Texas Tech aims to maintain an undefeated streak and solidify their top-10 ranking, while Arizona State needs a win to stay competitive in conference standings and restore momentum.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Arizona State Sun Devils: 250, Texas Tech Red Raiders: -310 | Texas Tech Red Raiders | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | Arizona State Sun Devils +7.5: -112, Texas Tech Red Raiders -7.5: -108 | Texas Tech Red Raiders will cover -7.5 points | β β β β β 78% |
| Over/under | Over 52.5: -105, Under 52.5: -115 | Total points will go Over 52.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Texas Tech Red Raiders -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 52.5 17% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 52.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Texas Tech is favored to win decisively given their stronger offense, defense, and overall form. The Red Raiders are expected to cover the spread, with the total points likely around the projected over/under line.
Predicted Score: Texas Tech Red Raiders 38 – 20 Arizona State Sun Devils