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Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. New Orleans Privateers Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

Match Analysis: Texas Tech Red Raiders vs New Orleans Privateers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-26
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: United Supermarkets Arena, Lubbock, Texas

Game Overview

The No. 20 Texas Tech Red Raiders (4-2) host the New Orleans Privateers (3-4) in a highly one-sided matchup. Texas Tech is strong at home with a 3-0 record, while New Orleans has struggled on the road with a 2-4 away record. Key players include Texas Tech's JT Toppin, averaging 21.8 points at 53.5% shooting, and New Orleans' Coleton Benson, averaging 18.6 points per game. The Red Raiders aim to extend their home dominance against a Privateers team coming off a narrow overtime loss.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Texas Tech shows strong home form (3-0) and has a solid offense and defense balance. New Orleans has been inconsistent with a 3-4 record, and has recently lost a close OT game showing fighting spirit but insufficient to overcome stronger opponents.
  • Historically, Texas Tech has dominated matchups against the Privateers, reflected in current odds and performances. No recent detailed H2H data, but performance gap is evident.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team that would impact this game materially.
  • The game is played in Lubbock on Texas Tech’s home court, a notable advantage. Weather and travel conditions do not seem to be an issue.
  • Texas Tech, ranked No. 20, is motivated to maintain national standing and capitalize on home advantage. New Orleans aims to prove resilience and improve its road record.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline New Orleans Privateers: 3500, Texas Tech Red Raiders: -20000 Texas Tech Red Raiders to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜… 95%
Spread New Orleans Privateers: -104 (25.5 points), Texas Tech Red Raiders: -118 (-25.5 points) Texas Tech Red Raiders to cover -25.5 point spread β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜… 90%
Over/under Over: -110 (154.5 points), Under: -110 (154.5 points) Over 154.5 points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Texas Tech Red Raiders -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 154.5 15%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 154.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Texas Tech Red Raiders are heavily favored to win, likely covering the large spread due to their strong home performance and superior roster.

Predicted Score: Texas Tech Red Raiders 90 – New Orleans Privateers 62


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Purdue Boilermakers vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

Match Analysis: Purdue Boilermakers vs Texas Tech Red Raiders – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 21, 2025
  • Time: 2:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Baha Mar Convention Center, Nassau, Bahamas

Game Overview

The undefeated #1-ranked Purdue Boilermakers (5-0) face the #15-ranked Texas Tech Red Raiders (4-1) in the Baha Mar Hoops Bahamas Championship. This matchup features two strong defensive teams with distinct playing styles. Purdue has dominated opponents with efficient shooting and elite defense, while Texas Tech relies on offensive firepower led by JT Toppin. The Boilermakers enter as clear favorites, seeking to maintain their perfect record against a Texas Tech team coming off a close one-point victory over Wake Forest.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Purdue has been exceptional on both ends of the floor, averaging 86.6 points per game on 48% shooting with 40% three-point accuracy. Defensively, they allow just 71.6 points per game while holding opponents to 39.7% shooting. The Boilermakers' frontcourt duo of Cluff and Kaufman-Renn have controlled the boards with a 35-32 rebound edge in their last contest. Texas Tech averages 88.3 points on 46% shooting but allows 72.8 points per game defensively. JT Toppin leads the Red Raiders with 24.3 points and 11.7 rebounds per game, though the team leans heavily on him and Christian Anderson for offensive generation.
  • Texas Tech has struggled historically against top-tier competition, losing each of its last eight games against Top 5 AP-ranked opponents. Additionally, the Red Raiders have lost the opening half in each of their last nine night games against Top 5 AP-ranked opponents. Conversely, Purdue has won eight of its last nine games against non-conference opponents, demonstrating consistency in tournament-style play.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team in the available data.
  • Both teams are competing in a neutral-site tournament in the Bahamas, which eliminates home-court advantage. This format typically favors well-coached, disciplined teams like Purdue. Texas Tech's road record shows weakness at 0-1 against the spread, though they are 3-1 in their last five games overall.
  • Purdue seeks to maintain their perfect record and solidify their #1 ranking. Texas Tech, ranked #15 with one loss, aims to secure a signature win against the nation's top team and prove themselves as legitimate contenders.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Purdue -225 | Texas Tech +184 Purdue Boilermakers β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 82%
Spread Purdue -4.5 (-106) | Texas Tech +4.5 (-114) Purdue -4.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Over/under Over 153.5 (-114) | Under 153.5 (-106) Under 153.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 71%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Purdue Boilermakers 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 153.5 13%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 153.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Purdue Boilermakers will defeat Texas Tech Red Raiders. The Boilermakers' superior defensive efficiency, balanced scoring attack featuring Fletcher Loyer and Braden Smith's playmaking, and rebounding dominance should overwhelm Texas Tech's defense, which, while respectable, lacks the elite level needed to contain Purdue's multiple scoring options. Purdue's ability to control tempo and their proven success against non-conference opponents in tournament settings makes them the clear choice. Final score: Purdue 78, Texas Tech 65.

Predicted Score: Purdue 78, Texas Tech 65 (Total: 143)


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Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

Match Analysis: Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs Texas Tech Red Raiders – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-21
  • Time: 1:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Baha Mar Convention Center

Game Overview

Wake Forest Demon Deacons face Texas Tech Red Raiders in a highly anticipated NCAA college basketball matchup. Both teams enter with 3-1 records, but Texas Tech is favored due to their stronger defensive metrics and recent form. The game will be played at a neutral venue, adding an extra layer of intrigue to the contest.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Texas Tech has shown a strong defensive presence, holding opponents to 41.7% shooting and 28.8% from three-point range. They also dominate the glass with a rebounding margin of 38.5 per game. Wake Forest, while capable of pushing the tempo, struggles with turnovers (averaging 10.8 per game) and ranks poorly in assists (330th in college basketball). Their perimeter defense is solid, limiting opponents to 23% from three, but their overall offensive efficiency is inconsistent.
  • There is no recent head-to-head data available for this specific matchup, as these teams have not faced each other in the past few seasons.
  • No significant injuries have been reported for either team leading up to this game.
  • The game is being played at a neutral venue, which could impact team performance. Both teams have shown the ability to control tempo and limit scoring opportunities, which may influence the final score and betting outcomes.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure a strong start to their season. Texas Tech aims to build on their defensive reputation, while Wake Forest looks to improve their offensive efficiency and reduce turnovers.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Texas Tech Red Raiders: -425, Wake Forest Demon Deacons: 330 Texas Tech Red Raiders β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 80%
Spread Texas Tech Red Raiders: -8.5 -110, Wake Forest Demon Deacons: 8.5 -110 Texas Tech Red Raiders -8.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Over/under Over: 158.5 -105, Under: 158.5 -115 Under 158.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Texas Tech Red Raiders -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 158.5 22%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 158.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Texas Tech is favored to win this game due to their superior defensive metrics and recent form. The predicted final score is 74-83 in favor of Texas Tech, with a high probability of the game staying under the over/under line of 158.5 points.

Predicted Score: Wake Forest 74 – Texas Tech 83


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Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. UCF Knights Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Texas Tech Red Raiders vs UCF Knights – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: Saturday, November 15, 2025
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Jones AT&T Stadium, Lubbock, Texas

Game Overview

The No. 8 ranked Texas Tech Red Raiders (9-1 overall, 6-1 Big 12) host the UCF Knights (4-5 overall, 1-5 Big 12) in a Big 12 conference matchup. Texas Tech enters as a dominant 23.5-point favorite with a strong offensive attack ranking 18th nationally in passing yards, while UCF's defense ranks 13th in passing defense. This represents a significant mismatch between a conference contender and a struggling Group of Five program that has won just one Big 12 game. The Red Raiders are seeking to maintain their position atop the Big 12 standings as they approach the conference championship.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Texas Tech has established itself as one of the Big 12's elite programs with a 9-1 record and is ranked No. 8 nationally. The Red Raiders rank 18th in college football for passing yards and maintain a strong overall offensive profile. UCF, conversely, is struggling significantly in Big 12 play with a 1-5 conference record despite starting the season as a Group of Five school. The Knights have been outmatched in their Big 12 transition, averaging 31.3 points overall but only 30.7 points in away games where they are 1-2.
  • No historical head-to-head data is available as this represents UCF's first season in the Big 12 conference and their first matchup against Texas Tech. Both teams are meeting for the first time in recent history.
  • No specific injury information is currently available from official injury reports for either team as of November 13, 2025.
  • Weather conditions in Lubbock are forecasted at 86Β°F with 0% chance of rain and minimal wind, creating ideal playing conditions favoring an established home team like Texas Tech. The game will be broadcast on FOX, ensuring maximum viewership. This is a late-season matchup with conference championship implications for Texas Tech but represents a must-win scenario for UCF to salvage their Big 12 inaugural season.
  • Texas Tech is motivated to maintain their conference-leading position and strengthen their College Football Playoff credentials heading into the final three weeks of the regular season. UCF faces desperation in their first Big 12 season, currently sitting at 1-5 in conference play. However, the stark disparity in resources, recruiting, and program quality heavily favors the established Power Conference program.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Texas Tech: -3500 | UCF: +1400 Texas Tech Red Raiders β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜… 97%
Spread Texas Tech: -23.5 (-120) | UCF: +23.5 (-102) Texas Tech -23.5 COVER β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Over/under Over: 47.5 (-115) | Under: 47.5 (-105) UNDER 47.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Texas Tech Red Raiders -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 47.5 21%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Texas Tech is overwhelming favorites to secure a dominant victory. The Red Raiders possess superior talent, experience in conference play, home-field advantage, and are facing a UCF program struggling in their Big 12 transition. Texas Tech should control this game from start to finish, with the primary question being margin of victory rather than outcome. Expect the Red Raiders to establish their passing game early and maintain pressure throughout.

Predicted Score: Texas Tech 38, UCF 14 (Final Score: 38-14)


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Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Milwaukee Panthers Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

Match Analysis: Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Milwaukee Panthers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-14
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: United Supermarkets Arena, Lubbock, Texas

Game Overview

The Texas Tech Red Raiders (2-1) host the Milwaukee Panthers (2-2) in a key early season NCAAB matchup. Texas Tech, ranked No. 11, is coming off a close road loss to No. 14 Illinois and looks to bounce back at home. Milwaukee, picked preseason to win the Horizon League, presents a tough, hard-playing opponent. The game is expected to be competitive despite large odds differences.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Texas Tech has a strong home record (2-0) so far with a top-15 ranking and solid performance against ranked Illinois. Milwaukee is 0-2 on the road but has a notable offensive threat in S. Hubbard averaging 18.8 PPG with high shooting percentages. Texas Tech’s defense and team cohesion are key advantages.
  • This appears to be an early-season meeting with limited recent head-to-head data available. Texas Tech’s higher ranking and recent performance suggest a historical edge.
  • No significant injuries reported or impacting key starters for either team at this time, implying both squads are near full strength.
  • Texas Tech benefits from home court advantage in Lubbock’s United Supermarkets Arena. Milwaukee faces travel fatigue and a hostile environment. Weather and schedule are not significant disruptive factors.
  • Texas Tech looks motivated to rebound from a narrow recent loss and maintain Big 12 strength. Milwaukee is eager to prove Horizon League dominance against a top-ranked opponent, adding to the competitive drive.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Milwaukee Panthers: 4000, Texas Tech Red Raiders: -30000 Texas Tech Red Raiders win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜… 95%
Spread Milwaukee Panthers: -28.5 at -115, Texas Tech Red Raiders: +28.5 at -105 Texas Tech Red Raiders cover -28.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Over/under Over: 163.5 at -110, Under: 163.5 at -110 Under 163.5 points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Texas Tech Red Raiders -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 163.5 34%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 163.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Texas Tech is heavily favored to win by a large margin given their ranking, performance, and home advantage. Milwaukee will struggle to keep pace with the Red Raiders’ defense and balanced attack.

Predicted Score: Texas Tech Red Raiders 90 – Milwaukee Panthers 60


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Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

Match Analysis: Illinois Fighting Illini vs Texas Tech Red Raiders – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-12
  • Time: 1:30 AM UTC
  • Location: State Farm Center, Champaign, Illinois

Game Overview

The No. 14 Illinois Fighting Illini (2-0) host the No. 11 Texas Tech Red Raiders (2-0) in a high-profile early-season NCAAB matchup. Both teams enter the game undefeated, with Illinois showing dominant offensive performances at home and Texas Tech also posting strong wins. The game is set for a national audience on FS1, adding extra pressure and spotlight to both squads.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Illinois has averaged 113 points per game through two contests, including a 113-70 win over Florida Gulf Coast. Texas Tech has averaged 98 points per game, highlighted by a 98-77 win over Sam Houston State. Illinois has shown superior offensive firepower and defensive efficiency, while Texas Tech has been solid but less dominant. Both teams are 2-0 ATS, and Illinois has seen the total go over in both of its games.
  • The two teams have faced each other once previously, with Texas Tech winning that matchup. However, both teams have undergone roster changes since then, and the current form favors Illinois.
  • No significant injuries have been reported for either team as of the latest updates.
  • Illinois enjoys a strong home-court advantage at State Farm Center, where they are 2-0 this season. The game is nationally televised, which could impact player performance and motivation. The weather and travel conditions are not expected to be a factor.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to prove themselves in a ranked matchup. Illinois aims to solidify its top-15 status, while Texas Tech seeks to bounce back from a previous loss to Illinois and establish itself as a national contender.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Illinois Fighting Illini: -180, Texas Tech Red Raiders: 150 Illinois Fighting Illini β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Spread Illinois Fighting Illini: -3.5, Texas Tech Red Raiders: 3.5 Illinois Fighting Illini β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over: 165.5, Under: 165.5 Over β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Illinois Fighting Illini -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 165.5 12%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 165.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Illinois is favored to win this game, with most experts and betting markets projecting a comfortable victory. The spread is set at -3.5 for Illinois, and the total is 165.5 points. Illinois is expected to cover the spread and the game is likely to go over the total.

Predicted Score: Illinois 86, Texas Tech 79


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Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. BYU Cougars Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Texas Tech Red Raiders vs BYU Cougars – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Jones AT&T Stadium, Lubbock, Texas

Game Overview

The No. 9 Texas Tech Red Raiders (8-1) host the undefeated No. 8 BYU Cougars (8-0) in a top-10 matchup featuring Texas Tech’s top-ranked run defense against BYU’s 15th-ranked rushing attack. Both teams have strong recent form, with Texas Tech dominating their last game 43-20 and BYU winning 41-27. The game is expected to be high-scoring, with an over/under of 52.5 points.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Texas Tech has proven itself a powerhouse in 2025 with one loss when missing their starting QB. They excel defensively, especially stopping the run. BYU remains undefeated with a dynamic freshman QB who can both run and throw but is prone to mistakes. BYU’s offensive strength lies in the rushing attack while their defense is tested. Texas Tech's offense is very productive, averaging over 43 points per game recently while BYU scores about 36 points per game.
  • No recent head-to-head data available from the sources, but both teams are highly ranked and carry strong momentum into this matchup.
  • No explicit injury reports from search results; Texas Tech overcame their QB absence earlier in the season, currently no reported critical injuries.
  • The game is at Texas Tech’s home stadium, Jones AT&T Stadium, which should confer a home-field advantage. The presence of College GameDay adds energy and publicity, potentially motivating both teams.
  • Texas Tech aims to solidify its place among the nation's elite with a signature win at home. BYU seeks to maintain its undefeated record and prove its legitimacy on a national stage, making motivation high on both sides.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Texas_Tech_Red_Raiders: -375, BYU_Cougars: 300 Texas Tech Red Raiders to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 79%
Spread Texas_Tech_Red_Raiders: -10.5 at -105, BYU_Cougars: +10.5 at -115 Texas Tech to cover -10.5 spread β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over: -105 at 52.5, Under: -115 at 52.5 Over 52.5 points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Texas Tech Red Raiders -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 52.5 27%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 52.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Texas Tech is favored to win this game due to its strong defense, home advantage, and slightly more consistent team performance. The prediction favors Texas Tech covering the 10.5-point spread and the game going over the 52.5 total points.

Predicted Score: Texas Tech Red Raiders 35 – BYU Cougars 24


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Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Sam Houston St Bearkats Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

Match Analysis: Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Sam Houston St Bearkats – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: United Supermarkets Arena, Lubbock, TX

Game Overview

The Texas Tech Red Raiders, with a strong record and playing at home, face the Sam Houston State Bearkats, both entering at 1-0. Texas Tech is heavily favored by 27.5 points, reflecting a significant disparity in team strength and expected dominance. Both teams recently won their opening games convincingly, but Texas Tech's offense and defense statistics and prior head-to-head dominance position them as clear favorites.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Texas Tech won their opener 98-60 against Lindenwood, showcasing a powerful offense and solid defense. Sam Houston State won 95-59 against LeTourneau, demonstrating offensive capability but against a weaker opponent. Texas Tech boasts a superior recent record (25-8) versus Sam Houston's (13-19), indicating overall stronger season performance.
  • The most recent matchup saw Texas Tech defeating Sam Houston decisively, 96-60, indicating a strong advantage. Historical data confirms Texas Tech's dominance in past encounters.
  • Texas Tech's Jazz Henderson (Guard) is out for the season due to a lower body injury, potentially affecting backcourt depth. Sam Houston State has no reported significant injuries impacting this game.
  • Game takes place at Texas Tech's home arena, United Supermarkets Arena, providing a substantial home court advantage. Public betting percentages show an evenly split public bet, but odds heavily favor Texas Tech, indicating sharp money on the home team. Weather or other environmental factors are not expected to impact this indoor game.
  • Texas Tech aims to assert dominance early in the season and build momentum for conference play, with pressure to perform at home. Sam Houston State looks to prove competitiveness against a top-tier opponent, motivated to cover the large spread and avoid a heavy defeat.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Texas Tech Red Raiders: -30000, Sam Houston St Bearkats: 4000 Texas Tech Red Raiders win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜… 96%
Spread Texas Tech Red Raiders: -27.5 -120, Sam Houston St Bearkats: +27.5 -102 Texas Tech Red Raiders cover -27.5 spread β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Over/under Over 152.5: -110, Under 152.5: -110 Over 152.5 points total β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Texas Tech Red Raiders -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 152.5 24%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 152.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Texas Tech Red Raiders are highly likely to win convincingly against Sam Houston State Bearkats, covering the large point spread and exceeding scoring expectations on both sides.

Predicted Score: Texas Tech Red Raiders 100 – Sam Houston St Bearkats 70


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Kansas State Wildcats vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Kansas State Wildcats vs Texas Tech Red Raiders – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-01
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Kansas State Wildcats' home stadium

Game Overview

This NCAA American football matchup features Kansas State Wildcats hosting the Texas Tech Red Raiders. Kansas State has a historical edge over Texas Tech with a 15-9 record all-time and an ongoing 8-game winning streak since 2016. Texas Tech offers a strong offensive profile ranked 4th in points per game nationally (43.6), outperforming Kansas State’s 31 PPG, but their defense is a top 4 unit also, allowing only 12.4 points per game compared to Kansas State's weaker 88th-ranked defense (25.8 points allowed). The live betting market favors Texas Tech on the moneyline and spread due to their more explosive offense and superior defensive stats.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Texas Tech leads offensively (43.6 PPG, 4th ranked) with dual-threat QB and dynamic RBs, while Kansas State emphasizes balanced scoring (31 PPG) with an average defense. Texas Tech’s defense excels (12.4 PPG allowed, ranked 4th) versus Kansas State’s more porous defense (25.8 PPG allowed, ranked 88th). Turnover margin favors Kansas State slightly (17 forced vs 15 for Texas Tech).
  • Kansas State dominates historically with a 15-9 all-time record and an 8-game winning streak over Texas Tech since 2016. Home advantage is strong for Kansas State, with a home win percentage of approximately 78%. Their average points per game in head-to-head matches are similar, but Kansas State has scored 100 points over the last three meetings compared to Texas Tech’s 73.
  • No specific injury data currently available from provided sources, suggesting no major injury concerns reported for either team at this time.
  • Game played at Kansas State’s home venue likely offering them crowd support and familiarity advantage. Weather or other external conditions not noted, presumed neutral.
  • Kansas State’s 8-game winning streak vs Texas Tech adds motivation to maintain dominance, while Texas Tech seeks to overturn historical trends with a highly ranked offense and defense, pushing for a key conference win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Kansas State Wildcats: 235, Texas Tech Red Raiders: -290 Texas Tech Red Raiders win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Kansas State Wildcats: -7 at -105, Texas Tech Red Raiders: +7 at -115 Texas Tech covers -7 spread β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under over: 52.5 at -112, under: 52.5 at -108 Over 52.5 points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Texas Tech Red Raiders -13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 52.5 14%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 52.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Texas Tech is favored due to superior offensive and defensive stats supported by moneyline and spread odds, despite Kansas State’s historical dominance and home advantage. Expect a close and competitive game with Texas Tech likely to cover the spread.

Predicted Score: Texas Tech Red Raiders 35 – 28 Kansas State Wildcats


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Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Oklahoma State Cowboys – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-25
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Jones AT&T Stadium, Lubbock, Texas

Game Overview

The No. 14 Texas Tech Red Raiders (6-1) host the struggling Oklahoma State Cowboys (1-6) in a Big 12 conference match. Texas Tech seeks to rebound from a close 26-22 loss against Arizona State while Oklahoma State is struggling under new coaching, following an overall poor season performance. Texas Tech is heavily favored with a large point spread, indicating a mismatch given current form and season records.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Texas Tech holds a solid 6-1 record, recently losing narrowly to Arizona State and aiming to improve their running game after limited success last week. Oklahoma State, with a poor 1-6 record, is under new coaching following the dismissal of Mike Gundy after only three games in the season, entering this match with low morale and recent heavy losses.
  • Historically, Oklahoma State and Texas Tech have an even 24-24-3 series record, but in recent decades Oklahoma State dominated the rivalry with a 14-5 record under Mike Gundy. However, the tide appears to be shifting in favor of Texas Tech recently, including a current winning streak of 1 game and two recent wins over Oklahoma State.
  • Texas Tech's starting quarterback Behren Morton is day-to-day with a leg injury and missed the last game, putting some uncertainty on their offense. Backup quarterback Will Hammond showed competence last game with decent passing stats. Oklahoma State's injury status is not explicitly detailed, but no major injuries are reported that affect the matchup significantly.
  • The game is played at Texas Tech's home stadium, giving them a home-field advantage. Texas Tech also has higher morale and motivation to bounce back after their first loss. Oklahoma State has recently undergone coaching changes, which may impact team stability and performance negatively. Weather and other external conditions were not reported to be major factors.
  • Texas Tech is motivated to prove themselves after their first season setback and establish a stronger running game. Oklahoma State is motivated to reverse their poor season trajectory and prove competitiveness despite coaching upheaval, but their recent form suggests low confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Spread Texas Tech Red Raiders: -38.5 -105, Oklahoma State Cowboys: +38.5 -115 Texas Tech to cover the -38.5 spread β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Over/under Over: 56.5 -105, Under: 56.5 -115 Over 56.5 total points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 56.5 17%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 56.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Texas Tech Red Raiders are strongly favored to win this match due to superior season performance, home advantage, and Oklahoma State's coaching instability and poor recent form. The prediction strongly favors a Texas Tech victory by a large margin.

Predicted Score: Texas Tech Red Raiders 45 – Oklahoma State Cowboys 14


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