Match Analysis: Floyd Scholfield vs Tevin Farmer – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-06-29
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Honda Center, Anaheim, California, US
Game Overview
This is a 10-round lightweight boxing bout between undefeated Floyd Schofield and veteran Tevin Farmer. Schofield, known as Kid Austin, is an undefeated 22-year-old with a record of 18-0, holding a significant power advantage with a 67% knockout rate. Farmer, dubbed the American Idol, is 34 years old with a record of 33-8-1 and a more defensive style, relying on extensive experience and tactical defense. Both fighters use an orthodox stance, with Schofield having a slight height and equal reach advantage. The fight will test Schofield’s power and youth against Farmer’s experience and defensive skills.
Key Factors to Consider
- Schofield shows consistent winning form with no defeats in 18 fights, while Farmer, though less dominant with 8 losses, has demonstrated strong technical and defensive boxing, especially against powerful opponents. Schofield has superior knockout power (67%) compared to Farmer’s 24%, which can be decisive in this matchup.
- There is no prior head-to-head encounter between Floyd Schofield and Tevin Farmer, making this bout their first competitive meeting.
- No injury reports or health concerns have been disclosed for either fighter leading into the match.
- The fight takes place at the Honda Center in Anaheim, California, which is neutral ground for both fighters but with Schofield being American and younger, potentially giving slight local crowd support.
- Schofield aims to maintain his undefeated record and climb further in WBA and IBF rankings, while Farmer seeks to leverage his experience to upset the rising star and reaffirm his standing among top lightweights.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Floyd Scholfield: -185, Tevin Farmer: 155 | Floyd Scholfield | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Over/under | Over 8.5: -750, Under 8.5: 475 | Under 8.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Floyd Scholfield -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 8.5 303% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 303% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 63.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given Schofield’s youth, power advantage, and undefeated momentum against Farmer’s experience and defensive style, the prediction favors Schofield winning by decision or late-round stoppage. Farmer's durability and tactical approach could extend the fight but may not be enough to overcome Schofield's combination of power and ranking position.
Predicted Score: Scholfield wins by unanimous decision or stoppage after round 7