Match Analysis: Nyamjargal Tumendemberel vs Terrance Saeteurn – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-22
- Time: 4:00 AM UTC
- Location: Road to UFC Season 4: Shanghai Semifinals 2
Game Overview
Flyweight bout between Nyamjargal Tumendemberel from Mongolia and Terrance Saeteurn from the United States, taking place at the Road to UFC Season 4 semifinals in Shanghai. Both fighters have similar records of 8-1-0. Nyamjargal is slightly taller at 170 cm vs. Terrance's 165 cm. Terrance enters on a winning streak with a more KO-heavy record, while Nyamjargal shows a balanced style with decisions, submissions, and KOs.
Key Factors to Consider
- Nyamjargal Tumendemberel holds a record of 8-1-0 with a balanced finishing ability: 35% decision, 33% submission, 31% KO. Terrance Saeteurn also has an 8-1-0 record, known for 38% decision wins and 32% KOs, showing a slightly more aggressive finishing style. Average fight time for both is around 10:21 minutes.
- This is their first recorded matchup, so there is no direct head-to-head history. However, their performances and styles suggest a competitive fight with contrasting strengths—Nyamjargal's height and balanced finishing versus Saeteurn's winning momentum and KO power.
- No known or reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the bout.
- The fight is held in Shanghai as part of the Road to UFC tournament. This neutral location gives no clear home advantage but may slightly favor Nyamjargal who is on a bigger stage for UFC qualification.
- Both fighters are highly motivated to win in the Road to UFC semifinals to advance in this prestigious tournament. Terrance Saeteurn’s current winning streak may provide psychological confidence, whereas Nyamjargal aims to utilize his height and versatility to claim victory.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Nyamjargal Tumendemberel: -155, Terrance Saeteurn: 115 | Nyamjargal Tumendemberel | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Spread | Nyamjargal Tumendemberel: -1.5, Terrance Saeteurn: +1.5 | Nyamjargal Tumendemberel -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 57% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: 100 | Over 2.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Nyamjargal Tumendemberel 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Nyamjargal Tumendemberel at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Nyamjargal Tumendemberel is slightly favored to win by decision given his balanced skill set and height advantage, although it is expected to be a close fight with Terrance Saeteurn capable of a KO or decision victory. The fight likely will go the distance or end by late stoppage.
Predicted Score: Nyamjargal Tumendemberel wins by decision (split or unanimous)