Match Analysis: Tecia Torres vs Luana Pinheiro – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: May 17, 2025
- Time: 8:10 PM UTC
- Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, USA
Game Overview
Tecia Pennington (née Torres) faces Luana Pinheiro in a crucial women's strawweight bout at UFC Vegas 106. Pennington, ranked #13 in the UFC women's strawweight division, aims to build on her recent momentum after defeating Carla Esparza. Pinheiro, on the other hand, seeks to end a three-fight losing streak.
Key Factors to Consider
- Pennington has a strong record in the UFC, with 14 wins, while Pinheiro has lost her last three fights against formidable opponents.
- This is their first meeting, so no head-to-head data is available.
- No reported injuries for either fighter.
- The match is at the UFC Apex, a venue familiar to both fighters.
- Pennington is motivated to maintain her ranking, while Pinheiro is highly motivated to break her losing streak.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Tecia Torres: -325, Luana Pinheiro: 260 | Tecia Torres | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Spread | Luana Pinheiro: +3.5 -135, Tecia Torres: -3.5 100 | Tecia Torres | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | Over: 2.5 -475, Under: 2.5 325 | Under | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Tecia Torres -99% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 -97% |
⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.
Predicted Outcome
Tecia Pennington is favored to win based on her recent performances and experience.
Predicted Score: Decision Win for Tecia Torres