Match Analysis: Tecia Torres vs Denise Gomes – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada
Game Overview
The bout features Tecia Torres, a seasoned UFC strawweight with experience but recent form struggles, against Denise Gomes, a rising contender with aggressive striking and solid grappling. This fight is expected to test Torres' durability against Gomes' momentum.
Key Factors to Consider
- Denise Gomes is on an upward trajectory with recent wins showing her evolving skill set and finishing ability, while Tecia Torres has had mixed outcomes and slightly declining recent performances.
- No previous head-to-head matchups exist between Tecia Torres and Denise Gomes, making this a fresh tactical encounter with no direct historical data.
- No significant injuries reported for either fighter leading into the bout, suggesting both are at full strength.
- The fight takes place at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, an environment both fighters are accustomed to, minimizing travel or acclimation issues.
- Denise Gomes appears highly motivated to climb the rankings and make a statement, whereas Tecia Torres seeks to regain momentum after recent setbacks.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Denise Gomes: -175, Tecia Torres: +150 | Denise Gomes | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Spread | Denise Gomes: -3.5 +130, Tecia Torres: +3.5 -170 | Tecia Torres +3.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5: -410, Under 2.5: +280 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Denise Gomes -9% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 158% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 158% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 56.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Denise Gomes to win via moneyline.
Predicted Score: Denise Gomes wins by decision or late stoppage (2 – 1 rounds)