Match Analysis: Taylor Lapilus vs Ali Taleb – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-05
- Time: 3:00 PM UTC
- Location: ING Arena, Brussels, Belgium
Game Overview
The bantamweight co-main event of PFL Europe 2 features Taylor Lapilus making his Professional Fighters League debut against Ali Taleb. Lapilus, a seasoned French fighter with a record of 21-4, is coming off a strong run including wins in the UFC and a recent eight wins in nine fights streak. Ali Taleb, the 2024 PFL MENA bantamweight champion from Sweden, holds a record of 12-1, known for powerful striking and only one career loss. This fight is highly anticipated as a clash between two of the world's best bantamweights, showcasing contrasting styles and career trajectories in the PFL bantamweight division.
Key Factors to Consider
- Taylor Lapilus has demonstrated consistent high performance with eight wins in his last nine fights and UFC experience, including a unanimous decision win in his last Octagon fight. Ali Taleb is coming in as the reigning PFL MENA bantamweight champion with only a single career loss, indicating strong dominance in his regional circuit and readiness for this bigger stage.
- This will be the first meeting between Taylor Lapilus and Ali Taleb, so no direct head-to-head data is available.
- No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the bout, indicating both competitors are expected to be in peak physical condition.
- The fight takes place in Brussels, Belgium, which is closer to Lapilus’ home turf (France), possibly providing him some crowd support and motivation. Ali Taleb was originally scheduled for the world championship tournament but was pulled, potentially adding to his motivation for this bout.
- Taylor Lapilus returns to a high-profile stage in Europe with strong motivation to establish himself further in the PFL. Ali Taleb looks to capitalize on his 2024 PFL MENA bantamweight championship status and prove himself on a larger international platform.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Taylor Lapilus: -230, Ali Taleb: 160 | Taylor Lapilus | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Spread | Taylor Lapilus: -1.5, Ali Taleb: +1.5 | Taylor Lapilus to win by more than 1.5 rounds or dominant decision | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | over: 1.5 rounds -110, under: 1.5 rounds -110 | Over 1.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Taylor Lapilus -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Taylor Lapilus at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Taylor Lapilus is favored to win based on his experience, recent form, and the home-region advantage. However, Ali Taleb’s striking power and championship pedigree make this a competitive bout likely to test both fighters thoroughly.
Predicted Score: Taylor Lapilus wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds