Tatsuro Taira vs. Hyun Sung Park Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Tatsuro Taira vs Hyun Sung Park – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-02
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada

Game Overview

This Flyweight UFC main event pits Tatsuro Taira, a highly skilled 25-year-old with a 16-1 record, against the undefeated 29-year-old Hyun Sung Park from South Korea, who is stepping in on short notice. Taira has more octagon experience and reach advantage, while Park carries a very high finishing rate and remains undefeated.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Taira has fought at a higher level with recent experience against top-tier fighters like Brandon Royval but comes off a split decision loss. Park is undefeated (10-0) with a 90% finishing rate, showing explosiveness and strong submission skills but less UFC experience.
  • No previous head-to-head encounters. This will be their first matchup.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter; Park is stepping in on short notice but appears healthy.
  • The fight is at UFC Apex, which is neutral ground for both fighters. Park is short-notice replacement, which may affect conditioning or strategy.
  • Park is motivated to capitalize on the sudden opportunity to break into the UFC flyweight spotlight, while Taira seeks to rebound from his last loss to restore his rise to the top ranks.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Taira -355, Park +280 Tatsuro Taira ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Taira -5.5 (-195), Park +5.5 (+140) Tatsuro Taira -5.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 3.5 (-105), Under 3.5 (-125) Under 3.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Tatsuro Taira -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Tatsuro Taira to win. Spread: Tatsuro Taira to win by more than 5.5 points (dominant decision or finish). Over/Under: Under 3.5 rounds.

Predicted Score: Taira wins by unanimous decision or late stoppage before round 4


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