Match Analysis: Tariq Pell vs Adam Shelley – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-12
• Time: 7:30 PM UTC
• Location: Cage Warriors 192, London

Game Overview

Tariq Pell faces Adam Shelley in a 160lbs catchweight bout at Cage Warriors 192. Pell is the betting favorite with odds reflecting his perceived edge, while Shelley is a short-notice replacement with less time to prepare.

Key Factors to Consider

• Tariq Pell has demonstrated consistent recent form with a higher winning probability (58.4%) compared to Shelley (41.6%). Shelley is stepping in on short notice, which may impact his readiness.
• No recorded direct head-to-head matches between Pell and Shelley, making form and situational factors more critical.
• No reported significant injuries for either fighter, but Shelley’s short-notice acceptance could mean less recovery and preparation time.
• The fight is at Cage Warriors 192 in London, which may offer local crowd support for Pell. Shelley’s late call-up might affect his psychological and physical preparation.
• Both fighters have high stakes, but Pell benefits from being the original booking and likely better prepared, whereas Shelley’s motivation is high but tempered by short notice.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Pell -180, Shelley +140	Tariq Pell	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	No official published spread odds; implied spread about -1.5 rounds for Pell	Tariq Pell to win by more than 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over/Under 2.5 rounds	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Tariq Pell -4%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Tariq Pell at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Tariq Pell to win by moneyline

Predicted Score: Tariq Pell wins by 2nd round TKO

Match Analysis: Tariq Pell vs Ermil Xhaferi – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-21
• Time: 8:30 PM UTC
• Location: London

Game Overview

Tariq Pell and Ermil Xhaferi face off in a lightweight bout at Cage Warriors 186 in London. The event is part of a significant MMA weekend in the UK.

Key Factors to Consider

• Tariq Pell is favored with odds of -170, suggesting he has a strong performance record or recent form that gives him an edge. Ermil Xhaferi, with odds of 130, may be seen as the underdog but still poses a threat.
• There is no recorded head-to-head match between Tariq Pell and Ermil Xhaferi, making this a first encounter.
• No information is available regarding any injuries to either fighter.
• The event's timing and venue in London could influence crowd support, potentially favoring Pell if he has a local following.
• Both fighters are likely highly motivated, given the stage and potential career implications of this bout.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence

Predicted Outcome

Tariq Pell is predicted to win due to being favored by the odds.

Predicted Score: Not applicable for MMA bouts