The San Diego Padres host the Tampa Bay Rays in the final game of their series at PETCO Park. The Padres hold a superior record (17-9) and lead the NL West, while the Rays come in with a 12-14 record and are fourth in the AL East. The matchup features Padres' right-handed pitcher R. Vásquez (1-2, 3.97 ERA) against Rays' right-handed pitcher Z. Littell (0-5, 5.28 ERA). Recent games have been tightly contested and low scoring, with the Rays winning the previous game 1-0 via strong pitching and a sacrifice fly run. Both teams are looking to gain momentum with this series finale under mild weather conditions (63°F, 11 mph WSW wind).
Key Factors to Consider
The Padres have shown strong form this season with a 17-9 record and are first in the NL West, though they have lost their last two games. The Rays have struggled with a 12-14 record but have won their last three games, demonstrating resilience especially in pitching and defense. Offensively, the Padres lead with a .260 batting average and 24 home runs, the Rays have a .252 average and 23 home runs. Pitching-wise, the Rays boast a superior ERA (3.61) vs Padres' 2.80 ERA, but Padres’ offense and home advantage are significant.
In the previous meeting on April 25, the Rays edged the Padres 1-0, highlighted by Shane Baz’s strong pitching and Yandy Díaz’s clutch sacrifice fly. The Padres have struggled offensively in this series, being shut out in one game and held to one run in the other. Historically, the Padres have dominated the season in standings but the Rays have been competitive in direct matchups.
No significant injuries reported affecting the starting lineups of both teams for tonight’s game.
Weather at PETCO Park is mild with 63°F temperature and a WSW wind at 11 mph, generally neutral conditions for hitting and pitching. Home field advantage favors the Padres who perform well at PETCO Park.
The Padres seek to reassert dominance after close losses and maintain their leading position in NL West. The Rays aim to capitalize on momentum from their recent wins and continue their surprising series performance on the road.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
San Diego Padres: -110, Tampa Bay Rays: -106
San Diego Padres
★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread
San Diego Padres -1.5: -192, Tampa Bay Rays +1.5: 158
San Diego Padres -1.5
★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under
Over 8: -105, Under 8: -115
Under 8 runs
★★★★☆ 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
San Diego Padres 3%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8 12%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The San Diego Padres are favored to win due to home advantage, better overall season performance, and stronger offensive metrics. However, pitching matchups are close with both starters having mixed results. Expect a low-scoring, tightly contested game likely decided late. Prediction leans towards Padres edging out the Rays.
Predicted Score: San Diego Padres 4 – Tampa Bay Rays 2
The Tampa Bay Rays are set to face the Boston Red Sox in a crucial matchup. The Rays, currently 8-9, are favorites at home against the 9-10 Red Sox. Recent performances highlight Alex Bregman's significant contributions to Boston, while Jonathan Aranda has been pivotal for Tampa Bay.
Key Factors to Consider
The Rays have been strong at home, while the Red Sox have shown inconsistency. Bregman's recent form could be crucial for Boston.
The Red Sox have shown strength in recent head-to-heads, with a win in the previous game.
No significant injuries reported for either team.
The game is being played at George M. Steinbrenner Field, where the Rays have performed well.
Both teams are highly motivated to win, with the Rays seeking to bounce back from a loss and the Red Sox looking to continue their momentum.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
-142 Tampa Bay Rays, +120 Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread
-1.5 (+138 Tampa Bay Rays, +1.5 -166 Boston Red Sox)
Tampa Bay Rays -1.5
★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under
Over 9 (-115), Under 9 (-105)
Over 9
★★★☆☆ 58%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Tampa Bay Rays 1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 9 -3%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Tampa Bay Rays at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The Rays are likely to edge out the Red Sox due to home advantage and their recent performances.
Predicted Score: Tampa Bay Rays 6, Boston Red Sox 5
The Tampa Bay Rays host the Atlanta Braves in the final game of a three-game series, with the series tied 1-1. Both teams are looking for momentum, with the Rays struggling at home despite their better overall record and the Braves seeking to improve their road performance.
Key Factors to Consider
The Rays have a 6-8 overall record and are 6-5 at home, while the Braves are 4-10 overall and 1-8 away. The Rays have gone 3-7 in their last ten games, while the Braves have gone 4-6 in the same period.
The series is tied 1-1, with each team winning a game in different circumstances. The Rays need a win to boost their momentum, especially after recent losses.
The Rays have several players on the injured list, including Kevin Kelly, Jonny Deluca, and Shane McClanahan, while the Braves are missing Ronald Acuna Jr. and Spencer Strider.
Weather and crowd support might influence the game, with Tampa Bay possibly benefiting from their home advantage. The estimated pleasant weather could favor both teams.
Both teams are highly motivated to win this final game of the series to improve their standings.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
-134 Braves, 114 Rays
Rays to win
★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread
-1.5 Braves 126, 1.5 Rays -152
Rays to cover
★★★☆☆ 60%
Over_under
Over 8 -102, Under 8 -120
Under 8
★★★☆☆ 58%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Tampa Bay Rays 13%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8 6%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Tampa Bay Rays at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the Rays' better home performance and Shane Baz's strong start to the season, they might have an edge, but Chris Sale can pose difficulties for the Rays' batters.
Predicted Score: Tampa Bay Rays 4, Atlanta Braves 3
The Los Angeles Angels (7-4) and Tampa Bay Rays (5-6) face off in a crucial series finale, with both teams seeking key wins. The Angels are looking to win their third series of the season, while the Rays aim to improve their record.
Key Factors to Consider
The Angels are off to a strong start, led by Mike Trout and the surprising Kyren Paris. The Rays have been involved in several close games, showcasing resilience.
Previous matches in this series have been tight, with each game decided by a single run until Wednesday's Rays win. This suggests another close contest.
Significant injuries for the Angels include Anthony Rendon and Robert Stephenson. The Rays are missing Shane McClanahan and Josh Lowe.
No reported external factors like weather conditions are expected to impact the game significantly.
Both teams are highly motivated; the Angels seek to maintain momentum, while the Rays aim to reach .500.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Los Angeles Angels +110, Tampa Bay Rays -130
Angels Moneyline
★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread
Angels +1.5 -200, Rays -1.5 +164
Angels +1.5
★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under
Over 8 -112, Under 8 -108
Under 8
★★★☆☆ 52%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Los Angeles Angels 16%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8 0%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Los Angeles Angels at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the Angels' strong start and the Rays' trend of close games, the series finale is likely to be competitive.