Location: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
Game Overview
The Cincinnati Reds host the Tampa Bay Rays in a closely matched MLB contest. Both teams have similar overall records around .500, with the Rays slightly favored. Starting pitchers are Brady Singer for the Reds and Shane Baz for the Rays. The betting markets show tight moneyline and spread odds, with an over/under total at 9.5 runs.
Key Factors to Consider
The Reds carry a 3-game winning streak and hold a 55-50 record, while the Rays are 53-52 and have lost 5 of their last 6 games. Tampa Bay's pitching staff ERA is 3.89, with an offense scoring 487 runs this season. Reds have a solid 53-46 record against the spread.
Recent head-to-head series has favored the Reds with two wins in the last three games, where the Rays scored below average runs. The teams are evenly matched overall based on win probabilities (Rays 51%, Reds 49%).
No significant injuries reported affecting starting pitchers or key hitters for either team.
Game played at Reds' home park, Great American Ball Park, which is historically a hitter-friendly park but poses no abnormal weather disruptions. July weather generally stable.
The Reds are on a positive momentum streak and motivated to extend their winning run, while the Rays are looking to break their recent losing skid.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Cincinnati Reds: -102, Tampa Bay Rays: -116
Cincinnati Reds
β β β ββ 64%
Spread
Cincinnati Reds +1.5: -164, Tampa Bay Rays -1.5: 136
Cincinnati Reds +1.5
β β β β β 70%
Over/under
Over 9.5: -104, Under 9.5: -118
Under 9.5
β β β ββ 68%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Cincinnati Reds 7%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 9.5 3%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Cincinnati Reds at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.1% (Kelly Criterion)
The Tampa Bay Rays host the Chicago White Sox in a mid-summer MLB matchup. Tampa Bay is slightly favored at home with a solid recent pitching form, while Chicago struggles on the road this season. Both teams have starting pitchers demonstrating strong recent performances.
Key Factors to Consider
Tampa Bay is 31-27 at home this season and 30-21 as favorites; they have won 3 of their last 4 games as at least -200 favorites. Chicago has a 15-37 road record, with only a 19.4% win rate when underdogs at odds +168 or more.
Recent matchups tend to be low scoring, with the 'inning 1 under 0.5 runs' hitting in all last 8 encounters. The teams have balanced outcomes, but Rays hold a slight edge playing at home.
No major injuries reported affecting starting pitching or key offensive players for either team in the available data.
Tampa Bay's home park is pitcher-friendly, often leading to lower scoring games. The game is scheduled after a prior day game for the Rays, which tends to correlate with under total runs. Weather data is not provided but assumed normal.
Tampa Bay aims to stay competitive in the AL East playoff race, suggesting high motivation. Chicago is underperforming this year with a poor road record, lowering their motivation efficacy.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: -205, away: 172
Tampa Bay Rays
β β β β β 78%
Spread
home: 100, away: -120
Tampa Bay Rays -1.5
β β β β β 70%
Over/under
over: -105, under: -115
Under 9 runs
β β β β β 72%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Tampa Bay Rays -5%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 9 5%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 9 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bet on the Tampa Bay Rays moneyline winner; take Tampa Bay on the spread (-1.5); bet the under on total runs (under 9).
Predicted Score: Tampa Bay Rays 4 – Chicago White Sox 2
Location: George M. Steinbrenner Field, Tampa, Florida
Game Overview
The Tampa Bay Rays (52-47) host the Baltimore Orioles (43-54) in the final game of the series. The Rays lead 2-0 in the series and aim to complete a sweep. The probable starting pitchers are Ryan Pepiot for the Rays, who holds a 6-7 record with a 3.38 ERA, and Trevor Rogers for the Orioles, with a 2-1 record and a stellar 1.53 ERA. The Rays are slight favorites at home, with moneyline odds around -126, while Orioles are underdogs at +108.
Key Factors to Consider
The Rays have a better overall record and have dominated the Orioles in this series with two wins (11-1, 4-3). Tampa Bay's pitching and offense have been effective, whereas Baltimore's team offensive average is 4.10 runs per game ranked 22nd, and pitching struggles with a 4.99 ERA and 1.41 WHIP, ranking 27th in MLB.
In series play, the Rays have been dominant, winning the first two games decisively and denying Baltimore a win in the series so far. During Ryan Pepiotβs starts, his team performs better as favorites (7-3) whereas when Trevor Rogers starts as an underdog, Orioles go 2-1.
No major injury concerns reported affecting starting pitchers or key players for either team impacting this matchup significantly.
Home field advantage for the Rays at George M. Steinbrenner Field, with the Rays more comfortable and motivated to complete the series sweep.
Tampa Bay seeks to strengthen their playoff positioning with a sweep, while Baltimore aims to avoid a series whitewash and salvage momentum moving forward.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Baltimore Orioles: +108, Tampa Bay Rays: -126
Tampa Bay Rays
β β β β β 72%
Spread
Baltimore Orioles +1.5: -210, Tampa Bay Rays -1.5: 172
Tampa Bay Rays -1.5
β β β ββ 65%
Over/under
Over 9: 100, Under 9: -122
Under 9
β β β ββ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Tampa Bay Rays 4%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 9 4%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Tampa Bay Rays at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Tampa Bay Rays to win the match on the moneyline, cover the -1.5 run spread, and the total runs to go under 9.
Predicted Score: Tampa Bay Rays 5 – Baltimore Orioles 3
The Boston Red Sox host the Tampa Bay Rays in a competitive MLB matchup. Both teams have similar season records, with the Red Sox slightly ahead. Starting pitchers are Brayan Bello for Boston and Ryan Pepiot for Tampa Bay. The game is expected to be closely contested with a total run line set at 9.
Key Factors to Consider
Boston Red Sox hold a slightly better season record (52-45) than Tampa Bay Rays (50-46). The Red Sox have been strong at home, especially with Bello starting, who has a 6-2 record and 3.27 ERA. Tampa Bay has struggled on the road and against Bello's starts.
In recent matchups, Pepiot holds a 0-3 record versus Boston with a higher ERA (4.91), while Bello is 2-2 against Tampa Bay. Boston also won the previous day's game 1-0, giving them momentum.
No significant injury updates reported for either team impacting this game.
Weather and venue are typical for Fenway Park in July with no adverse conditions expected. Home crowd advantage favors the Red Sox.
Both teams are motivated to solidify playoff positioning post All-Star break. The Red Sox have a slight edge due to recent win and home advantage.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Boston Red Sox -126, Tampa Bay Rays +108
Boston Red Sox
β β β β β 75%
Spread
Boston Red Sox -1.5 +162, Tampa Bay Rays +1.5 -196
Boston Red Sox -1.5
β β β ββ 68%
Over/under
Over 9 runs -100, Under 9 runs -120
Under 9 runs
β β β β β 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Boston Red Sox 8%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 9 9%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 9 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Boston Red Sox to win the game outright
Predicted Score: Boston Red Sox 4 – 2 Tampa Bay Rays
The Detroit Tigers host the Tampa Bay Rays in an MLB regular season match. The Tigers recently defeated the Rays 5-1 on July 7, 2025, showcasing strong pitching and timely hitting. Both teams are competitive, but the Tigers have the home advantage and recent momentum against Tampa Bay.
Key Factors to Consider
Detroit Tigers have demonstrated solid pitching, with Keider Montero securing the win in their last meeting, and consistent offense scoring 5 runs. Tampa Bay Rays, despite having a strong lineup, were held to only 1 run and 5 hits in the last game. The Rays' starting pitcher Shane Baz took the loss and needs to rebound.
Recent head-to-head favors the Detroit Tigers, who won the last encounter decisively by 5-1. The Tigers have taken advantage of Tampa Bay's pitching struggles, especially on the road.
No specific injury reports are available from the data, suggesting key players for both teams are likely available.
The game is played at Comerica Park, giving Detroit home-field advantage. Weather, crowd attendance, and playing conditions likely favor the Tigers.
The Tigers are motivated to extend their winning streak against Tampa Bay and defend their home turf. The Rays will be eager to respond after their recent loss and stabilize their pitching staff.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Detroit Tigers: -144, Tampa Bay Rays: 122
Detroit Tigers win
β β β β β 75%
Spread
Detroit Tigers: -1.5, Detroit Tigers_odds: 150, Tampa Bay Rays: 1.5, Tampa Bay Rays_odds: -182
Tampa Bay Rays +1.5
β β β ββ 65%
Over/under
Over 8: -118, Under 8: -104
Under 8 runs
β β β β β 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Detroit Tigers -0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8 12%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Detroit Tigers are favored to win due to recent form, home advantage, and pitching matchup. Expect a moderately low scoring game reflecting strong pitching performances. Tigers to win with a controlled margin.
Predicted Score: Detroit Tigers 4 – 2 Tampa Bay Rays