Match Analysis: Tammara Thibeault vs Cristina Mazzotta – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-27
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Théâtre St-Denis, Montreal, Quebec, Canada

Game Overview

The matchup features Canadian Olympian and highly ranked middleweight contender Tammara Thibeault (3-0, 2 KOs) against Italy's rising prospect Cristina Mazzotta (1-0). Scheduled for six 2-minute rounds at 160 lbs, the bout serves as the co-main event of the Most Valuable Prospects 15 Championship Edition on September 27, 2025, in Montreal.

Key Factors to Consider

• Thibeault boasts an unbeaten professional record with significant amateur accolades including two Olympic appearances and multiple international gold medals, positioning her as a dominant force in the division. Mazzotta, meanwhile, is an undefeated newcomer with only one pro fight, albeit a decision win in her hometown.
• This will be their first matchup with no previous head-to-head meeting.
• No publicly reported injuries affecting either fighter leading up to this bout.
• Thibeault benefits from home advantage fighting in Montreal with strong local support. Mazzotta faces the challenge of her first fight abroad in a high-pressure environment with a strong audience favoring her opponent.
• Thibeault is highly motivated to consolidate her status as the #1 contender for the IBF and WBA middleweight titles and create a memorable home performance. Mazzotta is driven to prove herself on a much bigger stage and to represent Italy internationally.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Tammara Thibeault: -6000, Cristina Mazzotta: +1600	Tammara Thibeault	★★★★★ 90%
Spread	Thibeault -3.5 rounds: -150, Mazzotta +3.5 rounds: +130	Thibeault -3.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under	Over 5.5 rounds: +140, Under 5.5 rounds: -180	Under 5.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Tammara Thibeault -6%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Tammara Thibeault at -6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Tammara Thibeault to win by moneyline

Predicted Score: Thibeault wins by late stoppage in round 5 or 6

Match Analysis: Tammara Thibeault vs Mary Casamassa – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-11
• Time: 1:04 AM UTC
• Location: Madison Square Garden

Game Overview

This boxing match features undefeated fighters Tammara Thibeault and Mary Casamassa, with Thibeault being the strong favorite due to her undefeated record and recent performances.

Key Factors to Consider

• Tammara Thibeault remains undefeated with a strong record, while Mary Casamassa also holds an undefeated record but has fewer bouts. Thibeault's performance suggests she is the more formidable opponent.
• There is no previous head-to-head matchup between the two, making it difficult to assess their historical performance against each other.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The fight is set at 160 pounds, a weight class both fighters are familiar with.
• Both fighters are highly motivated to maintain their undefeated status.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-4000 for Tammara Thibeault, +1400 for Mary Casamassa	Tammara Thibeault	High

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Tammara Thibeault -99%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Tammara Thibeault is likely to win given her odds and recent performance.

Predicted Score: Tammara Thibeault win by decision or early stoppage.

Match Analysis: Tammara Thibeault vs Sonya Dreiling – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-07
• Time: 1:00 AM UTC
• Location: The Theatre at Great Canadian Casino Resort Toronto, Etobicoke, ON

Game Overview

Tammara Thibeault, a rising Canadian boxer, faces Sonya Dreiling in a six-round middleweight bout. Thibeault, the 2023 Pan Am Games champion, is favored to win, having recently turned pro and seeking her second victory. Dreiling, with a record of 6-7, aims to break her four-fight losing streak.

Key Factors to Consider

• Tammara Thibeault is a highly decorated amateur boxer now transitioning to professional boxing, with a strong debut win. Sonya Dreiling has struggled with four consecutive losses, which may impact her confidence and performance.
• There is no previous head-to-head match between Tammara Thibeault and Sonya Dreiling, making this their first encounter.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The event marks MVP's debut in Canada, which could add pressure but also motivation for Thibeault fighting on home soil.
• Thibeault is highly motivated, returning to Canada and fighting alongside former teammates. Dreiling is motivated to break her losing streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Tammara Thibeault: -4000, Sonya Dreiling: +1400	Tammara Thibeault	★★★★★ 98%

Predicted Outcome

Tammara Thibeault is expected to win due to her strong amateur background and recent professional success.

Predicted Score: Tammara Thibeault wins by unanimous decision