Match Analysis: Melissa Croden vs Tainara Lisboa – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: October 18, 2025
- Time: 8:15 PM UTC
- Location: Rogers Arena, Vancouver, BC
Game Overview
The upcoming MMA matchup between Melissa Croden and Tainara Lisboa is set to take place at UFC Fight Night. Both fighters are closely matched, with Croden slightly favored by some bookmakers. The fight is expected to be competitive, with both fighters having recent experience in the UFC.
Key Factors to Consider
- Recent form shows both fighters have been active in the UFC. Tainara Lisboa has experienced a mix of wins and losses, while Melissa Croden is making her UFC debut.
- No head-to-head matchups exist between Croden and Lisboa, making this a first-time encounter.
- There are no reported injuries for either fighter.
- The fight taking place in Vancouver may not significantly impact either fighter, as both are likely to be well-prepared.
- Both fighters are highly motivated, with Croden seeking a win in her UFC debut and Lisboa looking to build on recent performances.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Melissa Croden: -118, Tainara Lisboa: -102 | Melissa Croden | ★★★☆☆ 53% |
| Spread | Melissa Croden: -3.5 150, Tainara Lisboa: 3.5 -205 | Tainara Lisboa +3.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over: 2.5 -220, Under: 2.5 170 | Over 2.5 | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Melissa Croden -4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 -13% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Melissa Croden at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
This matchup is expected to be closely contested, with a high chance of reaching the judges' scorecards.
Predicted Score: This fight is likely to go the distance, with both fighters displaying strong defensive skills.