Match Analysis: Tahmir Smalls vs Jose Roman – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-12
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, United States
Game Overview
The welterweight boxing match between Tahmir Smalls and Jose Roman Vazquez is scheduled for 10 rounds at the Wells Fargo Center. Smalls enters as a heavy favorite, with bookmakers strongly favoring him based on recent performances and odds movement.
Key Factors to Consider
- Tahmir Smalls has demonstrated dominant form with a sharp record and odds consistently favoring him significantly. Jose Roman Vazquez is viewed as a major underdog with modest chances.
- There is no recorded direct head-to-head matchup between these fighters, limiting direct comparison but bookmakers rely heavily on form and style analysis.
- No publicly reported injuries affecting either fighter at the time of analysis.
- The fight is held at a neutral yet familiar venue for Smalls (Philadelphia). No notable external disruptions or conditions reported.
- Smalls is motivated to maintain his favored status while Vazquez appears as an underdog seeking an upset to elevate his profile.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Smalls: -650, Roman: +416 | Tahmir Smalls | ★★★★☆ 88% |
| Over/under | Over 8.5: -110, Under 8.5: -120 | Under 8.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Tahmir Smalls 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 8.5 28% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 28% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 34% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Tahmir Smalls to win on the moneyline, covering the spread, and the fight to go under 8.5 rounds.
Predicted Score: Tahmir Smalls wins by stoppage before round 9