Match Analysis: Islam Reda vs Taha Bendaoud – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-27
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: The Green Halls, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
Game Overview
The featherweight semifinal between Islam Reda and Taha Bendaoud is a high-stakes PFL MENA 3 tournament match. Islam Reda (31 years, 170 cm tall) holds a professional record of 13-1-0 with a seven-fight winning streak, known for his striking and submission skills. Taha Bendaoud (30 years, 173 cm tall) is undefeated at 5-0-0 and trained internationally in Canada and Mexico. Both fighters made weight with Reda at 145.8 lbs and Bendaoud at 145 lbs. The fight is scheduled at The Green Halls in Riyadh and is part of the main card with significant competitive history and stakes for the PFL MENA featherweight title.
Key Factors to Consider
- Islam Reda has demonstrated more experience with a 14-fight professional career including 7 submissions and 1 KO victory, boasting a solid winning streak. Taha Bendaoud, although undefeated, has fewer pro fights (5 total, with 3 submissions) but shows strong potential with an undefeated record and diverse international training. Reda's larger number of fights and high finishing rate give him a performance edge.
- This match appears to be the first professional encounter between Islam Reda and Taha Bendaoud, so no direct head-to-head data exists. Comparative statistics show Reda’s higher experience and more finishes, while Bendaoud remains undefeated, indicating a classic veteran vs. rising star scenario.
- No public information or reports on injuries for either fighter prior to the match. Both have successfully made weight and appear fit, as per official weigh-in reports.
- The match takes place in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, potentially favoring regional fighters psychologically. The PFL MENA organizational pressure and live broadcast on DAZN could influence fighter preparation and performance. No reported disruptions or unusual external conditions noted.
- Islam Reda comes off a notable seven-fight winning streak and is motivated to maintain momentum toward the PFL MENA featherweight title. Taha Bendaoud's undefeated status and international training suggest high motivation to prove himself on regional and global stages.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Islam Reda: -375, Taha Bendaoud: 300 | Islam Reda | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Spread | Islam Reda: -1.5, Taha Bendaoud: +1.5 | Islam Reda to win by more than 1.5 rounds or finishes | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | over_2.5_rounds: 1.85, under_2.5_rounds: 1.95 | Over 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Islam Reda -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Islam Reda at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Islam Reda is favored to win given his superior experience, recent form, and finishing ability, but the undefeated and well-rounded Taha Bendaoud could challenge strongly, potentially pushing the fight to later rounds or decision.
Predicted Score: Islam Reda wins by decision or submission in round 3