Match Analysis: Szymon Bajor vs Ricardo Prasel – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-20
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: KSW Event Venue
Game Overview
Heavyweight MMA fight on the main card of KSW 110 between Szymon Bajor and Ricardo Prasel. Bajor is a strong striker with significant reach and height advantages, while Prasel is known for his submission skills and grappling prowess.
Key Factors to Consider
- Bajor has demonstrated consistent striking power and durability in recent fights, often winning by TKO or KO. Prasel's recent form is marked by effective grappling and submissions but less consistent in stand-up exchanges.
- No prior head-to-head matchups recorded between Bajor and Prasel, making this a stylistic clash between stand-up striking and submission grappling.
- No reported injuries for either fighter leading into this match, indicating both are likely at full physical capacity.
- Fighting on home soil for Bajor (Poland) may provide a motivational edge and crowd support. The fight's main card status adds pressure but also motivation to perform.
- Bajor motivated to assert dominance in his home region, leveraging striking strengths. Prasel aims to capitalize on grappling to secure a definitive win and improve standing in heavyweight rankings.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Szymon Bajor -188, Ricardo Prasel +140 | Szymon Bajor | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Spread | Bajor -1.5 (-190), Prasel +1.5 (+145) | Bajor -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds -135, Under 2.5 rounds +105 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Szymon Bajor to win due to striking superiority and home advantage. Spread: Bajor by -1.5 rounds due to probable early dominance. Over/Under: Under 2.5 rounds given potential for early finish by either fighter.
Predicted Score: Szymon Bajor wins by TKO 2nd round