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Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs. Sydney Roosters Prediction NRL in Rugby League

Match Analysis: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs Sydney Roosters – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 9:50 AM UTC
  • Location: Sharks Stadium, Sydney, Australia

Game Overview

The NRL Finals Week 1 match between the Cronulla Sutherland Sharks and Sydney Roosters is a gripping rematch with high stakes, as the Roosters seek a home semi-final by continuing their undefeated streak while the Sharks aim to rebound from a recent loss and secure a strong finals position. The Roosters enter in impeccable form, having won five of their past six, while the Sharks have also shown strong recent form, notably a 24-6 win over the Bulldogs. The match is set at the Sharks' home ground, adding importance to their performance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Roosters remain undefeated after 10 games, currently sitting 1st and demonstrating dominant attacking form with players like James Tedesco and Mark Nawaqanitawase contributing heavily. The Sharks, in 4th place, have won 7 of their last 8 games post-bye and are buoyed by a decisive victory over the Bulldogs and the return of key playmaker Nicho Hynes, boosting their creativity and chances.
  • Historically, the Roosters have won all three recent encounters against the Sharks, including last year’s grand final where the Roosters jumped to a strong 24-0 lead despite a strong comeback from the Sharks. The Sharks outscored the Roosters 28-8 in the grand final's second half but fell short overall. In their last meeting this season at Sharks Stadium, the Sharks won 31-18, showing improvement in their head-to-head competitiveness.
  • The Sharks have key players back including Nicho Hynes who was cleared to play after a downgraded charge, giving them a significant playmaking edge. The Roosters are fielding the same squad from Round 27, indicating no major injury concerns and full strength.
  • The match venue at Sharks Stadium favors the home team, though the Roosters have experience playing under high finals pressure and momentum from a strong winning streak. Weather and referee details are not suggestive of any game-impacting conditions.
  • The Sharks have strong motivation to redeem themselves after a prior loss and have recently been on a winning run, aiming to defend home advantage. The Roosters are motivated to maintain their undefeated season momentum and secure a home semi-final, adding intensity to their gameplay.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks: 118, Sydney Roosters: -132, Draw: 1800 Sydney Roosters win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Cronulla Sutherland Sharks: 2.5 -115, Sydney Roosters: -2.5 -115 Sydney Roosters -2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 45.5: -115, Under 45.5: -115 Under 45.5 points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sydney Roosters -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 45.5 12%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 45.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sydney Roosters are favored to win given their undefeated season, head-to-head dominance, and current momentum, but the Sharks' home advantage and recent strong form make this a closely contested match with potential for an upset.

Predicted Score: Sydney Roosters 24 – 20 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks


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Sydney Roosters vs. South Sydney Rabbitohs Prediction NRL in Rugby League

Match Analysis: Sydney Roosters vs South Sydney Rabbitohs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-05
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Allianz Stadium, Sydney, Australia

Game Overview

The Sydney Roosters face the South Sydney Rabbitohs in a crucial Round 27 NRL match at Allianz Stadium. The Roosters sit 8th on the ladder needing a win to secure a top-eight spot and hence a finals berth, while the Rabbitohs are 13th, aiming to upset the Roosters and spoil their playoff hopes. Both teams boast strong lineups with key returning players and a heated rivalry amplified by the Ron Coote Cup history. The game promises a high-intensity, tightly contested battle.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Roosters come into the match with strong momentum following a commanding 40-10 win over the Melbourne Storm, showcasing sharp attack and solid defense. South Sydney, with a 9-14 record for the season, have struggled with consistency but are boosted by the return of Cameron Murray and Jack Wighton, restoring some much-needed experience and physicality.
  • Historically, the Roosters and Rabbitohs are fierce rivals with the Ron Coote Cup evenly contested. In 2025, Rabbitohs lead the Cup by six points thanks to a 20-14 Round 5 win over the Roosters. Previous recent encounters have seen the Roosters dominate aggregate scores, including high-scoring matches in 2024 and 2023. This rivalry heightens competitive intensity.
  • Key injury update sees Roosters welcoming back halfback Sam Walker from concussion, strengthening their halves. The Rabbitohs gain a major boost with Cameron Murray returning from a season-ending Achilles rupture and Jack Wighton back from suspension. However, Latrell Mitchell remains out with a back injury, which is a significant loss for South Sydney.
  • The match is played at Allianz Stadium, providing home-ground advantage to the Roosters. It is also the Roosters’ final home game of the regular season and Red Rooster Member’s Round, likely boosting atmosphere and motivation. Weather or other external conditions were not specified but assume typical Sydney early spring conditions.
  • The Roosters are motivated to win to clinch a finals spot and close their home regular season on a high. The Rabbitohs seek to extend their slim chance for finals contention and have an additional incentive as Alex Johnston chases the premiership try-scoring record during this game, making personal milestones a key motivational factor.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline South Sydney Rabbitohs: 310, Sydney Roosters: -385, Draw: 2300 Sydney Roosters β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread South Sydney Rabbitohs: 10.5 -105, Sydney Roosters: -10.5 -125 Sydney Roosters -10.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over: 50.5 -145, Under: 50.5 110 Over 50.5 points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sydney Roosters -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 50.5 1%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 50.5 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on current form, home advantage, and squad strength, the Sydney Roosters are predicted to win this match. The return of key players and recent dominant performance position them as favorites, although the Rabbitohs' motivational storylines and key returning players could make the scoreline competitive.

Predicted Score: Sydney Roosters 28 – South Sydney Rabbitohs 18


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Melbourne Storm vs. Sydney Roosters Prediction NRL in Rugby League

Match Analysis: Melbourne Storm vs Sydney Roosters – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-29
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: AAMI Park, Melbourne

Game Overview

The upcoming NRL Round 26 clash between Melbourne Storm and Sydney Roosters is a critical late-season match at AAMI Park, pivotal for Melbourne's push for the minor premiership and the Roosters’ quest to solidify a top-eight finish. Melbourne sits 2nd on the ladder, while the Roosters occupy 8th, needing a strong performance especially after recent disruptions including the loss of key halfback Sam Walker to concussion. The match marks coach Craig Bellamy's 600th game milestone, adding sentimental significance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Melbourne Storm have been dominant recently, winning their last seven head-to-head matches against the Roosters and securing a top-two ladder finish. They have shown adaptability with key players rested and replacements stepping up effectively. The Roosters have been inconsistent at AAMI Park, winning only 4 of their last 14 games there and struggling without Sam Walker. Melbourne’s recent form and squad depth provide them a strong advantage.
  • Melbourne Storm hold a psychological edge with seven consecutive wins against Sydney Roosters, including a close 34-30 Round 21 victory this season. The Roosters have not won at AAMI Park since Round 24, 2022, and historically struggle to overcome the Storm’s defensive resilience and tactical discipline on home turf.
  • Melbourne Storm will be without Harry Grant, Eliesa Katoa, Josh King, Nick Meaney, and Xavier Coates, with some key players rested strategically. The Roosters are missing star halfback Sam Walker due to concussion and also have Blake Steep, Daniel Tupou, Sandon Smith, Taylor Losalu, Toby Rodwell, and Tom Rodwell in the squad, with some returning from injury. The absence of Walker is a significant blow to Roosters’ playmaking.
  • Craig Bellamy’s milestone of 600 games as a senior coach could provide motivational uplift for Melbourne Storm. The home venue, AAMI Park, is a fortress for the Storm, making travel and crowd support an advantage. Weather and refereeing have not been noted as concern factors. Game officials include referee Todd Smith and senior review official Liam Kennedy.
  • Storm are fighting to secure the minor premiership and maintain top-four positioning for finals advantage, while the Roosters aim to climb into safer finals positioning after mixed recent form. The Storm’s established culture of success and milestone celebrations add motivation, whereas Roosters face pressure to overcome recent setbacks and key player losses.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Melbourne Storm: -152, Sydney Roosters: 132, Draw: 2000 Melbourne Storm to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Melbourne Storm: -2.5 -115, Sydney Roosters: +2.5 -115 Melbourne Storm -2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over: 44.5 -115, Under: 44.5 -115 Over 44.5 points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Melbourne Storm 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 44.5 3%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 44.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Melbourne Storm are favored to extend their advantage and secure a home victory, given their superior form, psychological head-to-head dominance, and stronger squad depth despite some resting of key players. Sydney Roosters will struggle to contain Melbourne's structured attack and defend at AAMI Park without their star halfback.

Predicted Score: Melbourne Storm 28 – Sydney Roosters 20


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Parramatta Eels vs. Sydney Roosters Prediction NRL in Rugby League

Match Analysis: Parramatta Eels vs Sydney Roosters – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 9:35 AM UTC
  • Location: CommBank Stadium, Sydney

Game Overview

The Round 25 NRL match between the Parramatta Eels and Sydney Roosters at CommBank Stadium is pivotal for both teams. The Roosters currently sit 8th on the ladder while the Eels are 14th, struggling to secure a finals berth. The Roosters have been in strong form, winning six of their last seven head-to-head matches against the Eels and scoring 116 points in recent victories, boosted by form players James Tedesco and Sam Walker. Meanwhile, the Eels rely heavily on halfback Mitch Moses and winger Zac Lomax’s try-scoring ability to mount an upset. Both teams feature several injury-related changes, but the Roosters have a slightly stronger lineup overall.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sydney Roosters have been on an upward trajectory, having scored heavily in recent rounds and consolidating their finals place push. Parramatta Eels have been less consistent, positioned low on the ladder at 14th, but show potential with dynamic players like Zac Lomax and the returning Isaiah Iongi at fullback.
  • The Roosters have dominated the recent encounters, winning six of the last seven matches against the Eels. The previous Round 25 match at CommBank Stadium was a draw, indicating close competition though the Roosters generally hold the edge.
  • Parramatta’s Luca Moretti is out for the season due to a calf injury. Isaiah Iongi returns from a hand injury to start at fullback. For the Roosters, Daniel Tupou is out due to concussion symptoms, replaced by Junior Tupou on the wing, while Siua Wong returns from concussion. These line-up changes could slightly weaken Roosters’ wing depth but overall their squad remains strong.
  • The game will be played at CommBank Stadium, giving the Eels home advantage. Weather and other environmental factors have not been highlighted as significant in recent reports. The crowd support might slightly favor the Eels.
  • The Roosters are highly motivated to maintain their finals push and secure a top-eight finish for the ninth consecutive year. The Eels, lower on the ladder, are motivated to spoil the Roosters’ campaign and demonstrate their potential before season’s end.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Parramatta Eels: 255, Sydney Roosters: -315, Draw: 2300 Sydney Roosters win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread Parramatta Eels +8.5: -110, Sydney Roosters -8.5: -120 Roosters to cover the -8.5 spread β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Over/under Over 46.5: -145, Under 46.5: 110 Over 46.5 points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sydney Roosters -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 46.5 1%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 46.5 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sydney Roosters to win by a margin, but Parramatta Eels capable of a strong fight leading to a competitive, moderately high scoring game.

Predicted Score: Sydney Roosters 26 – Parramatta Eels 16


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Sydney Roosters vs. Canterbury Bulldogs Prediction NRL in Rugby League

Match Analysis: Sydney Roosters vs Canterbury Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-15
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Allianz Stadium, Sydney, Australia

Game Overview

The Sydney Roosters will host the Canterbury Bulldogs in Round 24 of the 2025 NRL Telstra Premiership at Allianz Stadium, Sydney. This match forms part of the Indigenous Round's Gadhu Gathering, a celebration of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander culture that includes significant cultural events alongside the game. The Roosters come into this match with a strong home ground advantage and cultural momentum while the Bulldogs look to challenge them after their recent performances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sydney Roosters have had a solid season with stable squad selection despite some rotation and bench movements. They are missing forward Siua Wong. Canterbury Bulldogs recently added bench players Jake Turpin and Daniel Suluka-Fifita and had a close game in Round 23 against the Warriors. Roosters have been consistent in attack and defense, while Bulldogs have shown resilience but less consistency overall.
  • Recent head-to-head matches generally favor the Sydney Roosters, especially at Allianz Stadium. Historically, the Roosters have been stronger at home against the Bulldogs, leveraging their more cohesive squad depth and home crowd advantage.
  • Sydney Roosters are missing Siua Wong (second row) due to injury. Bulldogs have no major injuries reported but have included several bench and reserve players to strengthen depth.
  • This match is part of the Indigenous Round's Gadhu Gathering, generating significant atmosphere and motivation for both teams. Playing at Allianz Stadium in front of a culturally engaged crowd may boost Roosters' performance. Weather or field condition specifics are unavailable but Allianz is a premier venue with usually optimal playing conditions.
  • The Roosters have additional motivation due to the Indigenous Round celebration and launching the Gadhu Gathering, wearing Indigenous jerseys. Bulldogs aim to disrupt Roosters' momentum and improve their standings in the finals race, motivating a strong competitive effort.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canterbury Bulldogs: -136, Sydney Roosters: 116, Draw: 2000 Sydney Roosters win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Canterbury Bulldogs: -1.5 -120, Sydney Roosters: +1.5 -110 Sydney Roosters +1.5 points cover β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 41.5: -115, Under 41.5: -115 Over 41.5 points total β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sydney Roosters 25%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 41.5 12%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Sydney Roosters at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sydney Roosters have the edge to win this match given home advantage, recent form, and squad depth. Expect a competitive game but Roosters to prevail by a margin around 8-12 points.

Predicted Score: Sydney Roosters 26 – Canterbury Bulldogs 16


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Dolphins vs. Sydney Roosters Prediction NRL in Rugby League

Match Analysis: Dolphins vs Sydney Roosters – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 7:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane, Australia

Game Overview

The Dolphins will face the Sydney Roosters in Round 23 of the 2025 NRL season at Suncorp Stadium. This Indigenous Round blockbuster is expected to be a tightly contested match given the teams' competitive form throughout the season and their rivalry in previous encounters.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Sydney Roosters enter as slight favorites given their stronger recent form and historical record. The Dolphins, playing at home at Suncorp Stadium, have shown resilience but are slightly less consistent. Both teams have had a solid season but momentum slightly favors the Roosters.
  • In recent head-to-head matchups, the Sydney Roosters have edged the Dolphins with close results. Their last meetings have been competitive with narrow margins, highlighting a balanced matchup although the Roosters have had an upper hand historically.
  • No major injuries have been reported for either side leading into the match, allowing both teams to field near full-strength lineups.
  • Playing at a neutral venue that is home ground for the Dolphins may provide them a slight advantage. Weather and pitch conditions expected to be ideal for a fast-paced game. The match is part of the Indigenous Round, adding emotional motivation for both teams to perform strongly.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure valuable points late in the season to bolster their positions for finals contention. The Indigenous Round adds further incentive to play with passion and commitment.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Dolphins: 102, Sydney Roosters: -121, Draw: 1900 Sydney Roosters win Not available
Spread Dolphins +1.5: -115, Sydney Roosters -1.5: -115 Sydney Roosters -1.5 Not available
Over/under Over 48.5: -115, Under 48.5: -115 Under 48.5 total points Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sydney Roosters -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 48.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Sydney Roosters are slightly favored to win this match due to their consistent form and greater experience in close games. However, the Dolphins' home ground advantage and motivation could keep the match very close.

Predicted Score: Sydney Roosters 24 – 20 Dolphins


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Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs. Sydney Roosters Prediction NRL in Rugby League

Match Analysis: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs Sydney Roosters – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-02
  • Time: 9:35 AM UTC
  • Location: 4 Pines Park, Sydney

Game Overview

This Round 22 NRL match features two bottom-half finalists fighting for survival: the 9th-placed Manly Warringah Sea Eagles hosting 10th-placed Sydney Roosters at 4 Pines Park. Both teams have shown flashes of quality in 2025 but suffer from inconsistency. The Roosters recently lost 3 of 4 games while the Sea Eagles ended a 3-game winning streak with a heavy defeat. Key injuries affect Manly, including season-ending loss of star Haumole Olakau'atu. Historically, Manly have won six of nine home games in 2025 and lead their all-time head-to-head narrowly over 43 encounters. The Roosters have won 5 of their past 7 meetings against Manly, making this a very tight contest.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Manly has been solid at home, winning 6 of 9 at 4 Pines Park this season, though recent form dipped with a heavy loss. The Roosters have fought hard, notably pushing Melbourne Storm closely but falling short in 3 of their last 4, revealing some defensive shortcomings.
  • Across 43 matches, Manly leads with 22 wins to Sydney's 21, showing a historically even rivalry. Recently, the Roosters won 5 of the last 7 clashes, indicating a slight upper hand in recent encounters.
  • Manly faces a significant blow with Haumole Olakau'atu ruled out for the season. Other key players like Waddell expected to start, with Smith and Savala fit, offering some relief. No major injuries reported for the Roosters.
  • The match is played at Manly’s home ground, potentially favoring the Sea Eagles with strong local support. Weather and other external conditions are not specified but should be typical for Sydney in early August.
  • Both teams are motivated by a fight for finals qualification, locked in a battle for spots in the bottom half of the top eight. The packed Brookvale crowd and the significance of the match add intensity to this rivalry.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -134, away: 115, draw: 2100 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread home: -2.5 -110, away: 2.5 -120 Manly to cover -2.5 points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under over: 48.5 110, under: 48.5 -145 Under 48.5 points total β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manly Warringah Sea Eagles -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 48.5 5%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 48.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the home ground advantage, recent home form, and motivation to secure a finals spot, Manly Warringah Sea Eagles have a slight edge, but the Roosters' recent dominance in head-to-head and resilience keep this prediction tight. Expect a closely contested game with a lean towards Manly pulling a narrow win.

Predicted Score: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 24 – Sydney Roosters 20


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Sydney Roosters vs. Melbourne Storm Prediction NRL in Rugby League

Match Analysis: Sydney Roosters vs Melbourne Storm – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-24
  • Time: 9:50 AM UTC
  • Location: Allianz Stadium, Sydney

Game Overview

The Sydney Roosters face the Melbourne Storm in Round 21 of the NRL 2025 season at Allianz Stadium. The Storm enter this match as favorites, backed by strong recent form and a solid head-to-head record against the Roosters. The game is anticipated to be competitive, with both teams eager to secure critical points in the premiership race.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Melbourne Storm have demonstrated consistent performance this season, placing 3rd on the ladder and winning the majority of recent matches. Sydney Roosters have been competitive but are currently viewed as underdogs against the Storm, struggling to match their opponent's defensive and offensive execution.
  • Historically, Melbourne Storm has had the upper hand against Sydney Roosters in recent encounters, including a notably strong 67% winning probability in simulated matches for this fixture. Previous matches at Allianz Stadium have often been closely contested, with the last meeting resulting in a draw.
  • No specific injury updates have been detailed for either team in the available data, suggesting both teams are likely to field near-full strength squads, maintaining high competition levels.
  • Playing at Allianz Stadium gives the Roosters home ground advantage, but crowd influence may be mitigated by the Storm's superior form and mental resilience.
  • Both teams have strong motivation to win, with the Storm pushing to consolidate their top-tier position and the Roosters aiming to upset a favored opponent to boost their season prospects.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline melbourne_storm: -210, sydney_roosters: 178, draw: 2100 Melbourne Storm β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 67%
Spread melbourne_storm: -5.5 (-115), sydney_roosters: +5.5 (-115) Melbourne Storm to cover -5.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under over_46.5: -115, under_46.5: -115 Over 46.5 points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Melbourne Storm -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 46.5 3%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 46.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Melbourne Storm to win narrowly, leveraging their superior form and historical edge against the Roosters at Allianz Stadium.

Predicted Score: Melbourne Storm 24 – Sydney Roosters 18


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St George Illawarra Dragons vs. Sydney Roosters Prediction NRL in Rugby League

Match Analysis: St George Illawarra Dragons vs Sydney Roosters – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-12
  • Time: 7:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Netstrata Jubilee Stadium, Sydney, Australia

Game Overview

The NRL clash between St George Illawarra Dragons and Sydney Roosters is set for July 12, 2025, at Netstrata Jubilee Stadium. The Roosters are looking to rebound after a recent upset loss, while the Dragons are fighting to keep their season alive amidst inconsistent form. Both teams bring strong rivalry history and key player returns, making this an intense contest.

Key Factors to Consider

  • St George Illawarra Dragons have only one win in their last four games and are currently 11th on the ladder, showing inconsistency. The Sydney Roosters slipped to ninth following a shock defeat but have a strong recent dominance over the Dragons, winning 12 of the last 14 matches including the last four. The Roosters have scoring power with James Tedesco’s nine tries in six games against the Dragons, while Damien Cook anchors the Dragons' defense with a high tackle count.
  • Sydney Roosters have a significant edge in recent head-to-head encounters against the Dragons, having won 12 out of the past 14 meetings and the last four straight matches, suggesting a psychological and tactical advantage.
  • The Dragons see the return of Luciano Leilua (quad) and Hamish Stewart (concussion), strengthening their lineup. The Roosters welcome back key playmaker Sam Walker, which could be a decisive factor. There are no critical new injuries reported altering team strength drastically.
  • The match is hosted by the Dragons at Netstrata Jubilee Stadium, which could offer some home advantage despite their form. The Roosters are motivated to recover from their recent upset. Weather and pitch conditions are not mentioned, so assumed normal.
  • The Roosters are eager to make a statement after their upset loss and solidify their finals credentials. The Dragons battle to keep their season alive and improve consistency, indicating high motivation levels on both sides but with Roosters slightly more driven to prove themselves.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline St George Illawarra Dragons: 161, Sydney Roosters: -182, Draw: 2000 Sydney Roosters win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread St George Illawarra Dragons: 5.5 -110, Sydney Roosters: -5.5 -120 Sydney Roosters to cover the -5.5 spread β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 47.5: -117, Under 47.5: -109 Under 47.5 points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sydney Roosters -12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 47.5 15%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sydney Roosters to win due to stronger recent form, better head-to-head results, key player returns, and higher motivation after a recent loss.

Predicted Score: Sydney Roosters 24 – 18 St George Illawarra Dragons


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Sydney Roosters vs. Wests Tigers Prediction NRL in Rugby League

Match Analysis: Sydney Roosters vs Wests Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-06
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Allianz Stadium, Sydney

Game Overview

The Sydney Roosters will host the Wests Tigers at Allianz Stadium in Round 18 of the 2025 NRL season. The Roosters are currently positioned 6th on the ladder and have a strong winning history against the Tigers, having won 18 of their last 19 encounters. The Tigers, struggling in 14th place with six consecutive losses, are desperate to reverse their fortunes and avoid a fourth consecutive wooden spoon. The match features Roosters missing five Origin players, somewhat balancing the scale as Tigers also miss key players Jarome Luai and Api Koroisau. Expect a highly motivated Tigers team eager for a rare upset and a Roosters side with strong attacking threats including try-scorers Mark Nawaqanitawase and Daniel Tupou.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Roosters have a dominant recent record over Tigers and strong attacking form with players like Nawaqanitawase (9 tries in last 7 games) and Tupou (21 tries in 15 games vs Tigers). Tigers have struggled, currently on a six-game losing streak, but have some attacking threats such as Starford To’a and Sunia Turuva with multiple recent tries.
  • Roosters have won 18 of their past 19 games against the Tigers, indicating a significant historical advantage.
  • Roosters missing five players due to Origin duties and absences include Robert Toia, Lindsay Collins, Connor Watson, Angus Crichton, Siua Wong, and Spencer Leniu. Tigers missing key players Jarome Luai (NSW Origin) and Api Koroisau (concussion).
  • The game is at Allianz Stadium with a large crowd expected for a double-header day including NRLW and AFL matches, potentially boosting home team morale. The Roosters are also celebrating the 50th anniversary of their 1975 premiership, adding to the occasion atmosphere.
  • The Tigers are highly motivated to avoid the wooden spoon and end their losing streak. The Roosters aim to consolidate a finals position and capitalize on Tigers' form slump despite missing Origin players.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sydney Roosters: -420, Wests Tigers: 315, Draw: 2500 Sydney Roosters win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Spread Sydney Roosters: -13.5 -115, Wests Tigers: 13.5 -115 Sydney Roosters -13.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Over/under Over: 49.5 -120, Under: 49.5 -110 Under 49.5 points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sydney Roosters -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 49.5 15%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 49.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sydney Roosters are predicted to win by a comfortable margin due to superior form, dominant historical record, and home advantage. However, Tigers may keep the margin competitive due to their motivation and some attacking talent.

Predicted Score: Sydney Roosters 28 – 12 Wests Tigers


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