Burnley return home after a heavy opening day defeat while Sunderland come off an emphatic 3-0 home win. Both teams are eager for points early in the season, with Sunderland showing stronger momentum and Burnley needing to crack back defensively and offensively.
Key Factors to Consider
Burnley lost 3-0 at Tottenham in their Premier League return, struggling offensively and under pressure at the back. Sunderland won their opener 3-0 against West Ham, demonstrating potent attacking form and confidence.
Historically, Burnley has the advantage at home, but recent Premier League results favor Sunderland’s resilience. No recent high-scoring encounters; Burnley’s defense was steadier in past meetings but recent form shifts balance.
Burnley will miss Jordan Beyer and Zeki Amdouni due to injury, weakening defensive and attacking options. Sunderland’s key players mostly fit, with goalkeeper Anthony Patterson recently returning to fitness.
Burnley face pressure after last week's heavy defeat which may prompt tactical changes, including formation shift to 4-4-1-1 for better attacking structure. Sunderland have momentum from their last win and less pressure.
Burnley highly motivated to bounce back on home turf and maintain Premier League status, while Sunderland look to consolidate their strong start and capitalize on Burnley’s vulnerabilities.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Burnley +126, Sunderland +222, Draw +214
Sunderland
★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread
Burnley -0.5 +122, Sunderland +50 -163
Sunderland +0.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
Over 2.5 +122, Under 2.5 -163
Under 2.5
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Burnley 42%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.5 -6%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Burnley at 42% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Sunderland returns to the Premier League after promotion following back-to-back relegations, facing West Ham United who finished 15th last season. Both teams have made key signings, with West Ham slightly favored based on recent performance and historic head-to-head records.
Key Factors to Consider
Sunderland had a strong Championship playoff win but face challenges integrating ten new signings; West Ham showed mixed results last season but improved in pre-season with only one loss in five friendlies.
West Ham has dominated recent encounters with Sunderland, winning nine of the last ten meetings, yet they have won only once in their last six trips to Sunderland.
No significant injuries reported for either team affecting key positions; both have strong lineups available.
The match is at Sunderland's home, Stadium of Light, where they rely on a strong home atmosphere; West Ham’s long travel and Sunderland’s motivated fan base could influence the game.
Sunderland highly motivated to avoid immediate relegation and prove themselves; West Ham seeks to rebound after a disappointing last season, improving under their manager’s guidance.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Sunderland 223, West Ham United 132, Draw 240
West Ham United
★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread
Sunderland 25 -114, West Ham United -0.25 -102
West Ham United -0.25
★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under
Over 2.5 -104, Under 2.5 -112
Over 2.5 goals
★★★☆☆ 58%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
West Ham United 16%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2.5 8%
🔥 Best Value Pick: West Ham United at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Sheffield United and Sunderland face off in the Championship play-off final at Wembley Stadium. Sheffield United had a more consistent season, finishing with 90 points, while Sunderland struggled with form, losing five straight games before their semi-final win. Sheffield United dominated their semi-final against Bristol City, winning 6-0 on aggregate.
Key Factors to Consider
Sheffield United has been more consistent over the season, while Sunderland has shown resilience in crucial matches.
No recent head-to-head analysis available, but Sheffield United's form suggests an advantage.
No significant injury updates available, but Sheffield United's experience with Kefir Moore and Hmer in midfield could be crucial.
Pressure to return to the Premier League could influence team performance.
Both teams are highly motivated to secure promotion, but Sheffield United's recent form may give them an edge.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Sheffield United: 135, Sunderland: 225, Draw: 190
Sheffield United
★★★★☆ 70%
Spread
Sheffield United: -0.25 102, Sunderland: 25 -122
Sheffield United
★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under
Over: 2 -112, Under: 2 -108
Under
★★★☆☆ 55%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Sheffield United -1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2 2%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Sheffield United is predicted to win due to their consistent form and recent performances.
The upcoming match between Sunderland and Coventry City is a key fixture in the EFL Championship. Sunderland is currently positioned fourth in the table with 76 points, while Coventry City is fifth with 69 points.
Key Factors to Consider
Both teams have been performing well in the Championship. However, Sunderland's recent form suggests a slight advantage, particularly at home.
Historically, Coventry City has won more matches than Sunderland, but recent matches have been competitive. In their recent encounters, Coventry won 9 matches, Sunderland won 4, and 8 matches ended in a draw.
Information about specific injuries is not available, but both teams are expected to field their strongest lineups given the importance of the match.
Weather conditions and home support could play a role, as Sunderland's home advantage might influence the match's tempo and outcome.
Motivation is high for both teams as they aim to secure better playoff positions or automatic promotion spots.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Coventry City: 240, Sunderland: 110, Draw: 225
Sunderland
★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread
Coventry City: 25 -108, Sunderland: -0.25 -112
Sunderland
★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under
Over: 2.5 102, Under: 2.5 -122
Under 2.5
★★★☆☆ 58%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Sunderland 16%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.5 6%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Sunderland at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Sunderland is likely to win this match due to their strong home form and current standings.
This is the first leg of the Sky Bet EFL Championship playoff semi-final between Coventry City and Sunderland, taking place at Coventry's CBS Arena. Both teams are vying for promotion to the Premier League via playoffs, making this a high-stakes encounter. The match will be broadcast live on Sky Sports.
Key Factors to Consider
Coventry City have finished the regular season with a strong home record and a solid xG (expected goals) output. Sunderland, while less consistent away from home, have upset higher-placed teams throughout the season and possess dynamic attacking options. Both teams enter off mixed late-season form but found enough consistency to secure playoff spots.
Recent head-to-head encounters have been evenly matched, with both teams securing wins in their last few meetings. The average goals per game in head-to-head clashes is around 2.4. No team has consistently dominated the fixture in recent seasons.
No major injury news is currently reported for either side. Both teams are expected to field close to full-strength squads for this crucial first leg.
The playoff atmosphere at the CBS Arena is expected to be electric, with a sold-out crowd influencing the tempo and intensity. Weather is not forecast to be a significant factor.
Both teams are highly motivated, with the prize of Premier League promotion at stake. Coventry City will want to take a lead into the second leg at Sunderland, while the visitors will aim to keep the tie alive.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: 125, away: 230, draw: 200
Coventry City or Draw
Medium-High (65%)
Spread
home: -0.25 -107, away: +25 -113
Coventry City (-0.25)
Medium (55%)
Over/under
over: 2 -113, under: 2 -107
Under 2 goals total
Medium (52%)
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Coventry City 8%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2 1%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Coventry City at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Coventry City are slight favorites at home, but the match is expected to be tight and could easily end in a draw. Goals may be limited due to playoff caution.
Sunderland (4th in Championship) hosts QPR (15th) in a crucial late-season EFL Championship clash. Earlier this season saw a 0-0 draw[2], but historical data shows Sunderland's dominance with 8 wins in 19 meetings compared to QPR's 4[3].
Key Factors to Consider
Sunderland's higher league position and home advantage contrast with QPR's mid-table consistency. Recent head-to-head shows Sunderland unbeaten in last 5 meetings (4W-1D)[5].
8-7-4 in Sunderland's favor overall, with 27 goals for Sunderland vs 20 for QPR[3]. Last meeting ended 0-0[2].
No specific injury reports available; assume full squads.
Oxford United, currently 19th in the Championship, host Sunderland, who sit 4th, at Kassam Stadium. Sunderland have shown stronger form this season and hold a markedly better position in the standings. Oxford has struggled on home ground against Sunderland historically, failing to win in the last 8 home meetings with 4 draws and 4 losses. Sunderland dominated the previous encounter this season with a 2-0 win away.
Key Factors to Consider
Sunderland have 21 wins, 13 draws, and 10 losses this season with a positive goal difference of +17, while Oxford United have 12 wins, 13 draws, and 19 losses, with a negative goal difference of -18. Sunderland's recent form includes some inconsistency but they remain the stronger side overall. Oxford United have struggled at home, especially against Sunderland.
In 16 meetings since 2018, Sunderland have won 8 times, Oxford United only once, with 7 draws. At Kassam Stadium in their last 8 meetings, Sunderland won 4, and the rest were draws, with Sunderland leading the goal difference 11-4.
There are no explicit injury details available currently, but Sunderland's squad depth and recent match fitness appear better given their league position.
Playing at home offers Oxford United some advantage, but pressure to avoid relegation and Sunderland's pursuit of a top table finish adds intensity.
Sunderland are pushing for a higher finish or playoffs, while Oxford United are battling relegation, making this a high-stakes match for both sides.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Oxford United: 170, Sunderland: 151, Draw: 220
Sunderland Win
★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread
Oxford United: -102, Sunderland: -118
Sunderland -0
★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under
Over 2.25: -108, Under 2.25: -112
Under 2.25 Goals
★★★★☆ 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Sunderland 10%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.25 14%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Sunderland are favored to win given their superior league standing, head-to-head dominance, and recent form. A cautious game with limited scoring is expected, but Sunderland’s edge should secure at least a draw, potentially a narrow win.