Match Analysis: Sultan Almohammed vs Umesh Chavan – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-22
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: ANB Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
Game Overview
The lightweight bout between Sultan Almohammed and Umesh Chavan is scheduled for 4 rounds and forms part of the 'Night of the Champions' event promoted by Top Rank at the ANB Arena in Riyadh. Sultan Almohammed holds a perfect professional record of 1-0-0 while Umesh Chavan has a record of 3-1-1, indicating a slightly more experienced but less dominant fighter. The fight is streamed live on DAZN.
Key Factors to Consider
- Sultan Almohammed is undefeated with a 1-0 record, showing promise but limited professional experience. Umesh Chavan has more fights (3-1-1) including one loss and one draw, showing resilience but less dominance. Almohammed is favored heavily by the bookmakers due to his undefeated status and strong performance in his debut match.
- This appears to be the first professional meeting between the two lightweights, with no prior direct matchups available for comparison.
- No public information or reports indicate injuries for either fighter heading into the match.
- The bout is part of a major boxing event in Riyadh featuring high-profile fights, which may add motivation and pressure. The fight is on DAZN PPV, likely influencing fighters’ motivation to perform well on a big stage.
- Almohammed is likely motivated to maintain his undefeated record and prove himself on a growing international stage. Umesh Chavan, being the underdog, has motivation to cause an upset and improve his professional standing.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Sultan_Almohammed: -10000, Umesh_Chavan: 2200 | Sultan Almohammed | ★★★★★ 92% |
| Spread | Sultan_Almohammed: -2400, Umesh_Chavan: +810 | Sultan Almohammed to cover spread | ★★★★☆ 88% |
| Over/under | over_3.5_rounds: 1.03, under_3.5_rounds: 26.00 | Over 3.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 85% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Sultan Almohammed -8% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Sultan Almohammed at -8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Sultan Almohammed is the strong favorite to win based on his undefeated status, heavier betting favor, and less inconsistency in his record relative to Umesh Chavan. The fight is predicted to go the distance with Almohammed winning on points or potentially a late-round stoppage.
Predicted Score: Sultan Almohammed wins by unanimous decision or technical knockout between rounds 3 and 4