Match Analysis: Sulaiman Segawa vs Bryan Acosta – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-06
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Entertainment and Sports Arena, Washington D.C.
Game Overview
Sulaiman Segawa, a seasoned Ugandan featherweight known for his aggressive style and close-range power, faces Bryan Acosta, a technically skilled and versatile Mexican fighter with strong defensive skills in a 10-round featherweight boxing match.
Key Factors to Consider
- Segawa holds a 17-5-1 record with an aggressive, forward-pressing style, but has fought less frequently, averaging about one fight every 1 year and 7 months with an average fight length of 9 rounds. Acosta, with a 20-1 record, employs a more technical, defensive style, adapts well to opponents, and has fought slightly more frequently, with fights averaging 8 rounds over his last two bouts.
- No documented prior head-to-head matchups exist between Segawa and Acosta, making strategic assessment reliant on style and recent activity rather than direct comparisons.
- No recent injury reports affecting either fighter have been disclosed or found in available data.
- Fight is held at Entertainment and Sports Arena, Washington, potentially favoring Segawa due to proximity and fan support, as he is based in Silver Spring, Maryland. The fight will be broadcast live on ProBox TV, which should motivate both fighters to perform well on a significant platform.
- Segawa aims to leverage his experience and home-region advantage, while Acosta, younger and with a strong undefeated record, is motivated to solidify his standing with a statement victory, indicating high motivation on both sides.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -190, away: +160 | Segawa | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Spread | Segawa -1.5: -120, Acosta +1.5: +100 | Segawa -1.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 8.5: -400, Under 8.5: +300 | Under 8.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Sulaiman Segawa -8% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 8.5 188% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 188% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 62.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Sulaiman Segawa to win by decision given his experience, aggression, and home advantage, overcoming Acosta’s technical skills.
Predicted Score: Segawa wins by unanimous decision after 10 rounds