Match Analysis: Long Xiao vs Su Young You – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-23
• Time: 7:35 AM UTC
• Location: Shanghai Indoor Stadium, Shanghai, China

Game Overview

The upcoming UFC bantamweight bout between Long Xiao and Su Young You on August 23, 2025, in Shanghai features two skilled fighters competing in the 135 lbs division. Su Young You enters the fight with a 15-3-0 record and strong striking and takedown metrics, while Long Xiao is slightly the underdog by moneyline odds.

Key Factors to Consider

• Su Young You holds a strong MMA record (15-3) with notable striking accuracy (44%) and takedown accuracy (55%), combined with solid defense stats. Long Xiao's detailed stats are limited, but recent odds suggest a competitive matchup though with a slight disadvantage versus You.
• No official past head-to-head fights recorded between Long Xiao and Su Young You.
• No significant injuries reported for either fighter leading into the match.
• The fight takes place in Shanghai, which may slightly favor Long Xiao due to local crowd advantage, but overall no major external factors affecting performance are known.
• Both fighters appear motivated for a high-stakes UFC bout; Su Young You may have slight momentum given recent fight success and odds favoring her as the favorite.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Long Xiao: +110, Su Young You: -130	Su Young You to win	★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under	Over 2.5: -300, Under 2.5: +240	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Su Young You -8%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 121%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 121% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 50.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Su Young You is favored to win the bout via a decision, given her superior striking defense, takedown accuracy, and recent odds movement favoring her by -130 moneyline. Expect a tactical fight with possible takedown attempts and striking exchanges.

Predicted Score: Su Young You wins via unanimous decision after 3 rounds

Match Analysis: A.J. Cunningham vs Su Young You – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-15
• Time: 8:10 PM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Game Overview

Su Young You faces A.J. Cunningham in a highly anticipated MMA bout at UFC Vegas 104. You is favored due to his grappling prowess, while Cunningham relies on high-volume striking.

Key Factors to Consider

• Su Young You excels in grappling with 4.67 takedowns per 15 minutes and a 72% striking defense. A.J. Cunningham has a high striking volume but struggles defensively, absorbing 11.90 significant strikes per minute.
• There is no prior head-to-head matchup between the two fighters.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The fight takes place at the UFC Apex, which may favor neither fighter due to its neutral environment.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, but You's dominant style may give him an edge in confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-625 (Su Young You), +455 (A.J. Cunningham)	Su Young You	★★★★☆ 85%
Over_under	Over 2.5: -115, Under 2.5: -115	Over 2.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Su Young You is likely to win by decision, leveraging his grappling skills to control the fight.

Predicted Score: Su Young You wins by unanimous decision.