Match Analysis: Steven Butler vs Stephane Fondjo – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-14
• Time: 1:00 AM UTC
• Location: Montreal Casino, Montreal, Canada

Game Overview

Steven Butler and Stephane Fondjo will face off in a 10-round Super Middleweight boxing match at the Montreal Casino. Butler, a two-time world title challenger, brings significantly more professional experience and a higher knockout percentage, while Fondjo is an emerging contender with fewer fights but a solid record.

Key Factors to Consider

• Steven Butler has a record of 36 wins, 5 losses, and 1 draw with 30 knockouts (83% KO rate), showing both power and experience over 179 rounds fought. Stephane Fondjo holds a record of 14 wins, 1 loss, and 1 draw with 9 knockouts (64% KO rate), indicating respectable power but less overall ring time (70 rounds).
• There is no direct head-to-head history between Steven Butler and Stephane Fondjo, making this their first professional encounter.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading into this bout.
• The fight is held in Montreal, Canada, which might favor Steven Butler slightly given his experience, although neither fighter is specifically noted as local. There is no broadcast planned for US or UK audiences, indicating a more localized event atmosphere.
• Butler, as a seasoned fighter and two-time world title challenger, likely aims to reinforce his status with a dominant win. Fondjo is motivated to prove himself against a high-profile opponent with a much longer professional record.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Stephane Fondjo: +600, Steven Butler: -1000	Steven Butler to win	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Steven Butler -2.5 rounds: -110, Stephane Fondjo +2.5 rounds: -110	Steven Butler -2.5 rounds (win by clear decision or KO)	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	Over 7.5 rounds: -120, Under 7.5 rounds: +100	Over 7.5 rounds (expected to go deep into the later rounds given Fondjo's durability)	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Steven Butler -9%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Steven Butler at -9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Steven Butler is favored to win by decision or knockout due to his substantial experience, higher volume of professional rounds, and greater knockout percentage, despite Fondjo’s strong recent performances.

Predicted Score: Steven Butler wins by unanimous decision or late-round TKO, estimated 8-2 in rounds

Match Analysis: Steven Butler vs Jose De Jesus Macias – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-27
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Centre Videotron, Quebec City, Canada

Game Overview

Steven Butler and Jose De Jesus Macias will face off in a 10-round super middleweight rematch at Centre Videotron. Their first fight in early 2021 ended with Macias winning by fifth-round TKO. Butler, a former two-time Canadian title challenger, looks to avenge that loss on home turf, while Macias aims to repeat his victory on foreign soil.

Key Factors to Consider

• Steven Butler holds a record of 35-5-1 with 29 KOs, showing strong knockout power and recent form with a quick KO in his last November bout. Jose De Jesus Macias has a record of 29-13-4 with 15 KOs and last fought in November as well, securing a fourth-round stoppage. Butler has the advantage of recent momentum and home crowd support, while Macias has proven finishing ability and experience.
• Macias leads the head-to-head after stopping Butler in the fifth round in their initial 2021 matchup. This rematch is highly anticipated with unfinished business, as Butler is motivated to reverse the previous outcome.
• No recent injury reports have been noted for either fighter, suggesting both are in full fitness for this rematch.
• The fight being held in Quebec City gives Butler a home advantage with strong local support. The event is undercard to a high-profile bout, increasing the spotlight. Macias has expressed dissatisfaction at returning to Butler’s home ground but is motivated to prove himself again.
• Butler is described as 'enraged' and 'hungry' for revenge after prior cancellations and the first fight loss, indicating high motivation. Macias is confident in repeating his victory and has public statements emphasizing his intent to finish Butler again, showing strong fighting spirit.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Steven Butler: -295, Jose De Jesus Macias: 225	Steven Butler	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	Steven Butler -1.5 rounds: -110, Jose De Jesus Macias +1.5 rounds: -110	Steven Butler -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 7.5 rounds: -105, Under 7.5 rounds: -115	Under 7.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Steven Butler -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Steven Butler at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Steven Butler is favored to win the rematch due to home advantage, improved form, and higher knockout power, but Macias’s previous win and resilience make an upset possible.

Predicted Score: Steven Butler wins by 7th round TKO