Match Analysis: Steve Garcia Jr. vs David Onama – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-02
- Time: 1:45 AM UTC
- Location: UFC APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
Game Overview
Featherweight UFC main event between Steve Garcia Jr. and David Onama, both highly ranked contenders with strong win streaks, featuring contrasting styles: Garcia's relentless striking pressure versus Onama's knockout power and grappling.
Key Factors to Consider
- Garcia is on a six-fight winning streak with recent knockouts; Onama is on a four-fight winning streak with noted grappling control over opponents like Giga Chikadze.
- No previous head-to-head meetings; this will be their first matchup.
- No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout.
- Fight takes place at UFC APEX in Las Vegas, familiar venue for both fighters; no reported disruptions or travel issues.
- Both fighters are motivated to break into higher UFC featherweight ranks, with Garcia looking to continue dominant form and Onama aiming to prove himself against a top contender.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Steve Garcia Jr. -125, David Onama +105 | Steve Garcia Jr. | ★★★★☆ 74% |
| Spread | Steve Garcia Jr. -5.5 (-120), David Onama +5.5 (-110) | Steve Garcia Jr. -5.5 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 1.5 rounds -135, Under 1.5 rounds +105 | Over 1.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Steve Garcia Jr. 4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 1.5 8% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Steve Garcia Jr. to win by knockout
Predicted Score: Garcia to win by 2nd round TKO