Match Analysis: Calvin Kattar vs Steve Garcia Jr. – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-12
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Bridgestone Arena, Nashville, Tennessee, USA
Game Overview
Featherweight clash featuring veteran Calvin Kattar against rising contender Steve Garcia Jr. Garcia brings powerful striking and speed, while Kattar is a high-volume, experienced striker with solid cardio but coming off a rough patch.
Key Factors to Consider
- Kattar is on a four-fight losing streak and appears slowed by a recent knee injury, while Garcia is in better recent form and known for fast finishes and clean, powerful strikes.
- No prior head-to-head matchups between Kattar and Garcia.
- Kattar has a notable knee injury that seems to have reduced his speed and overall competitiveness recently.
- Fight is at Bridgestone Arena with favorable weather conditions in Nashville, no anticipated external disruptions.
- Kattar aims to stop his losing streak and climb back into contention; Garcia looks to break into contender status with a high-profile win.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Calvin Kattar: +105, Steve Garcia Jr.: -125 | Steve Garcia Jr. | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Spread | Calvin Kattar +3.5: -150, Steve Garcia Jr. -3.5: +110 | Steve Garcia Jr. -3.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over 1.5 rounds: -160, Under 1.5 rounds: +124 | Under 1.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Steve Garcia Jr. -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 1.5 34% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Steve Garcia Jr. to win by knockout or technical knockout
Predicted Score: Steve Garcia Jr. wins by KO/TKO in round 1 or early round 2