Match Analysis: Max Metzgar vs Steve Collins – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-15
• Time: 11:30 PM UTC
• Location: Undisclosed

Game Overview

A welterweight MMA bout featuring Max Metzgar, a current favorite with strong recent performances, facing Steve Collins, an underdog with less recent fight activity and lower-ranked status.

Key Factors to Consider

• Max Metzgar shows consistent recent form with multiple wins in 2025 over credible opponents, suggesting momentum and competitive sharpness. Steve Collins has less available recent fight data indicating possible inactivity or lower level competition.
• No documented previous head-to-head matches between Max Metzgar and Steve Collins, resulting in no direct comparative data.
• No publicly reported injuries affecting either fighter ahead of the matchup.
• No overt external conditions appear to impact this fight; the event occurs on schedule with neutral venue factors.
• Max Metzgar likely has higher motivation due to better recent results and probable rise in rankings, while Steve Collins might be the challenger with less capitalized momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Max Metzgar -138, Steve Collins +105	Max Metzgar	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Max Metzgar -1.5 (-220), Steve Collins +1.5 (+180)	Max Metzgar -1.5	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 1.5 rounds -450, Under 1.5 rounds +300	Over 1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Max Metzgar to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Max Metzgar wins via TKO in Round 2