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Match Analysis: Stephen Costello vs Manuel Del Valle – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-27
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: Dublin, Ireland
Game Overview
Stephen Costello and Manuel Del Valle face off in a Cage Warriors 194 Welterweight prelims bout. Costello, known for striking and speed, contrasts with Del Valle's strong ground game and grappling skills. The match hinges on whether Costello can maintain control on the feet or if Del Valle can impose grappling dominance.
Key Factors to Consider
- Stephen Costello holds a 5-3 record, showing solid striking ability and quick pace, while Manuel Del Valle holds a 4-1 record with emphasis on grappling and ground control. Costello favors early aggression and striking, whereas Del Valle excels if the fight goes to the ground.
- No prior recorded bouts between Stephen Costello and Manuel Del Valle. This will be their first competitive encounter at Cage Warriors 194.
- No reported injuries or recent health problems for either fighter as of fight week; both appear fully prepared for the contest.
- Fight is in Dublin, Ireland, potentially giving a slight home crowd advantage to Costello. The bout is prelims on the Cage Warriors card, which might affect motivation levels slightly. Both fighters have a point to prove at this level. No weather or travel issues reported.
- Costello aims to bounce back from recent losses by leveraging striking advantage; Del Valle seeks to prove himself in a bigger promotion with dominant grappling to establish his position. Both have strong incentives for a decisive win.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Stephen Costello: +140, Manuel Del Valle: -180 | Manuel Del Valle | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Spread | Stephen Costello +1.5 rounds: +105, Manuel Del Valle -1.5 rounds: -125 | Manuel Del Valle -1.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Stephen Costello is predicted to win by decision or late-round stoppage, based on superior striking and pace control. However, a grappling finish by Manuel Del Valle remains plausible if he successfully brings the fight to the ground.
Predicted Score: Stephen Costello 2 rounds – Manuel Del Valle 3 rounds