Match Analysis: SE Missouri St Redhawks vs St. Thomas (MN) Tommies – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: November 15, 2025
• Time: 8:00 PM UTC
• Location: Show Me Center, Cape Girardeau, MO

Game Overview

St. Thomas (MN) Tommies travel to Cape Girardeau as preseason Summit League favorites to face the Southeast Missouri State Redhawks. St. Thomas enters with a 2-2 record after a dominant 80-61 win over Green Bay where they scored 50 first-half points. Southeast Missouri State sits at 1-2 but has shown offensive firepower with consecutive games scoring 84+ points. This matchup features a significant rest disadvantage factor that could play a role in the outcome.

Key Factors to Consider

• St. Thomas is 22-8 SU in their last 30 games but only 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games, showing concerning recent form despite strong win-loss record. Southeast Missouri State has won six consecutive home games against non-AP-ranked opponents and has scored 84+ points in back-to-back games, indicating offensive momentum. However, SEMO is currently on a 3-game losing streak overall with a 0-2 record in their last 5 games.
• No recent head-to-head history provided in available data. This appears to be a non-conference matchup with teams from different conferences.
• No injury information available in provided data.
• St. Thomas has lost each of its last three games when playing with a rest disadvantage, which may apply here. Southeast Missouri State has lost 13 of its last 14 day games against non-conference opponents, creating conflicting trends. The game time (3:00 PM EST Saturday) qualifies as a day game, which favors St. Thomas' day-game record of 6-1 in their last 7.
• St. Thomas is positioned as the preseason conference favorite, carrying higher expectations. Southeast Missouri State has momentum at home but faces a tougher road matchup against Iowa on Tuesday, potentially affecting preparation intensity.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

St. Thomas (MN) Tommies will cover the spread and win this matchup, though it will be closer than the current -2.5 line suggests. The Tommies' superior overall record, strong day-game performance, and status as conference favorites outweigh Southeast Missouri State's impressive home court record. However, SEMO's recent offensive firepower and home-court advantage present value on the spread.

Predicted Score: St. Thomas (MN) 74 – Southeast Missouri State 70

Match Analysis: St. Thomas (MN) Tommies vs Green Bay Phoenix – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: November 14, 2025
• Time: 1:00 AM UTC
• Location: Lee & Penny Anderson Arena, Saint Paul, MN

Game Overview

St. Thomas (MN) hosts Green Bay in a Summit League matchup between two evenly matched 1-2 teams. St. Thomas enters as a heavy favorite despite identical records, reflecting the home court advantage and recent betting market confidence. Green Bay has shown defensive struggles (allowing 80.3 PPG, ranked 224th), while St. Thomas demonstrates offensive firepower with leading scorer N. Minessale averaging 21.3 PPG.

Key Factors to Consider

• Green Bay struggles defensively and ranks 302nd in offensive efficiency (63.5 PPG), losing to Buffalo 83-76 on November 7th before rebounding with an 83-63 win over Ripon on November 10th. St. Thomas maintains more balanced scoring (80.3 PPG allowed) and leads 21.3 PPG through Minessale. Green Bay's scoring margin sits at -25.0 (ranked 322nd), indicating significant offensive deficiency.
• No recent head-to-head data available in provided search results. This is the teams' first matchup or prior meetings lack recent statistical context.
• No injury reports provided in available data. Both teams appear at full roster strength based on available information.
• St. Thomas plays at home with crowd support in a controlled environment. The betting market shows heavy public money backing St. Thomas (100% of money percentages favoring home team in some sportsbooks). Green Bay faces a significant road test with early morning tip-off (1:00 AM UTC) potentially affecting West Coast team performance.
• Both teams sit at 1-2 and face elimination pressure in early season. St. Thomas seeks to establish home dominance, while Green Bay needs a statement road win to salvage tournament credentials. Home court psychological advantage favors St. Thomas significantly.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

St. Thomas (MN) Tommies will defeat Green Bay Phoenix, covering the 13.5-point spread with a predicted final score of 78-64. The Tommies' superior offensive efficiency, home court advantage, and Green Bay's defensive vulnerabilities create a clear value play on the spread. St. Thomas' moneyline presents poor value at -1000 odds despite high win probability.

Predicted Score: St. Thomas 78, Green Bay 64

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: -107

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $38.65

Match Analysis: Washington St Cougars vs St. Thomas (MN) Tommies – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-11
• Time: 2:30 AM UTC
• Location: Beasley Coliseum, Pullman

Game Overview

Washington State hosts St. Thomas (MN) in a non-conference matchup. Both teams are off to shaky starts, with Washington State at 0-2 and St. Thomas at 1-1. The Cougars are favored at home, but St. Thomas showed resilience in their last outing.

Key Factors to Consider

• Washington State has struggled defensively, allowing 168 points in two games and losing both by double digits. St. Thomas has been inconsistent, but their recent win over Army shows they can compete. Both teams have poor ATS records recently.
• No recent H2H data available.
• No major injuries reported for either team.
• Washington State is at home, which may provide a slight edge. The game is early in the season, so both teams are still finding their rhythm.
• Washington State is desperate for a win after two losses, while St. Thomas seeks to build momentum after a recent victory.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Washington State covers the spread and wins outright, but the game stays under the total due to defensive struggles and early-season inefficiency.

Predicted Score: Washington State 75, St. Thomas 72

Match Analysis: Omaha Mavericks vs St. Thomas (MN) Tommies – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-09
• Time: 1:00 AM UTC
• Location: Denny Sanford PREMIER Center

Game Overview

The Omaha Mavericks face off against the St. Thomas (MN) Tommies in a Summit League matchup. Omaha has secured a spot in the NCAA Tournament, while St. Thomas is ineligible due to NCAA protocols. This unique situation could affect motivation and focus for both teams.

Key Factors to Consider

• St. Thomas boasts an excellent offense, ranking 56th in adjusted efficiency and 3rd in effective field goal percentage. Omaha's defense is ranked 236th in adjusted defensive efficiency, which could be exploited by St. Thomas. Omaha's offense might be less focused after securing their NCAA Tournament spot.
• No recent head-to-head data is provided, but St. Thomas's strong offense and Omaha's defensive vulnerabilities suggest an advantage for the Tommies.
• No specific injury reports are mentioned for either team.
• The game is played at a neutral site, the Denny Sanford PREMIER Center, which might not significantly impact either team's performance.
• Omaha's motivation might be lower since they have already secured an NCAA Tournament spot, while St. Thomas is looking to end their season on a high note with a conference title.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

St. Thomas is likely to win due to their strong offense and Omaha's defensive weaknesses, compounded by potential motivational differences.

Predicted Score: St. Thomas 79, Omaha 76

Match Analysis: St. Thomas (MN) Tommies vs North Dakota Fighting Hawks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: March 9, 2025
• Time: 3:30 AM UTC
• Location: Sanford Center, Sioux Falls

Game Overview

The St. Thomas Tommies, with a strong 23-9 record, face the North Dakota Fighting Hawks, who are 12-20, in the Summit League Tournament. St. Thomas is favored by 7.5 points.

Key Factors to Consider

• St. Thomas has shown consistent performance with a balanced offense, while North Dakota struggles defensively, allowing high scoring averages.
• St. Thomas recently defeated North Dakota 86-71, showcasing their dominance.
• No significant injury reports are available for either team.
• The game is part of the Summit League Tournament, which could increase motivation for both teams.
• Both teams are highly motivated to advance in the tournament, but St. Thomas's recent form and home advantage give them an edge.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

St. Thomas is likely to win due to their strong recent performance and dominance over North Dakota.

Predicted Score: St. Thomas 83, North Dakota 75

Match Analysis: St. Thomas (MN) Tommies vs Denver Pioneers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-07
• Time: 2:30 AM UTC
• Location: St. Thomas (MN) Home Venue

Game Overview

The St. Thomas (MN) Tommies face the Denver Pioneers in an NCAA basketball matchup. St. Thomas has a strong offense, averaging 84.6 points per game, while Denver averages 72.8 points. The Tommies have a higher field goal percentage and three-point shooting percentage compared to the Pioneers.

Key Factors to Consider

• St. Thomas (MN) Tommies have a strong offense, ranking 13th in points per game with 84.6. They also have a higher field goal percentage (49%) and three-point shooting percentage (39%) compared to Denver. However, they allow more points per game (75.3) than Denver (79.4), but Denver's defense is ranked lower overall.
• Recent head-to-head data shows the Pioneers have been competitive against the spread, but the Tommies' overall performance suggests they should dominate in a straight matchup.
• No reported injuries for either team.
• Home advantage could benefit St. Thomas, but Denver has shown resilience as underdogs, going 4-1 ATS in their last five games as underdogs.
• Both teams will be motivated to win, but St. Thomas may have more pressure to perform well at home.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

St. Thomas (MN) Tommies are likely to win due to their strong offense and home advantage.

Predicted Score: St. Thomas (MN) Tommies 75 – Denver Pioneers 68

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: -172

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $31.61

Match Analysis: St. Thomas (MN) Tommies vs UMKC Kangaroos – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-02
• Time: 1:00 AM UTC
• Location: Not specified

Game Overview

The St. Thomas Tommies, currently performing well in the Summit League, face the UMKC Kangaroos, who are looking to improve their standings. St. Thomas has shown strong offense, while UMKC has a solid defense.

Key Factors to Consider

• St. Thomas averages 85.6 points per game, ranking 10th nationally, while UMKC averages 75.0 points, ranking 179th. St. Thomas also has a higher three-point shooting percentage.
• Recent head-to-head data is limited, but St. Thomas has been favored in recent matchups.
• No significant injury reports are available for either team.
• Home-court advantage could play a role, but specific venue details are not provided.
• UMKC is motivated to break a losing streak, while St. Thomas aims to maintain its strong league position.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

St. Thomas is likely to win due to its strong offense and recent performance.

Predicted Score: St. Thomas 82, UMKC 73

Match Analysis: Oral Roberts Golden Eagles vs St. Thomas (MN) Tommies – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: February 22, 2025
• Time: 1:00 AM UTC
• Location: Mabee Center

Game Overview

The St. Thomas Tommies, with a strong record of 20-8, face the Oral Roberts Golden Eagles, who are struggling at 6-20. St. Thomas is favored by 8.5 points, reflecting their superior performance this season.

Key Factors to Consider

• St. Thomas averages 84.6 points per game on 50.1% shooting, while Oral Roberts averages significantly fewer points. St. Thomas has a strong ATS record when favored by large margins.
• Recent head-to-head data shows St. Thomas dominating Oral Roberts in their last few meetings, both in terms of score and ATS performance.
• No significant injury reports are available for either team.
• The game is at Oral Roberts' home venue, which might provide some advantage, but St. Thomas's overall strength is expected to prevail.
• St. Thomas is highly motivated to maintain their strong season record, while Oral Roberts seeks to break a losing streak.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

St. Thomas is likely to win due to their superior performance and recent dominance over Oral Roberts.

Predicted Score: St. Thomas 84, Oral Roberts 75