The Pittsburgh Pirates host the St. Louis Cardinals in this MLB matchup following a tight 1-0 Pirates win the day before. Both teams show competitive pitching and slightly varied offensive capabilities, with the Cardinals favored in betting odds. The Pirates, as home underdogs, look to capitalize on momentum and home-field advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
The Pirates recently edged the Cardinals 1-0, showing strong pitching but limited offense. The Cardinals enter with a season record favoring solid performance when favored (-140 or better) with a 69.2% win rate in such games. Pittsburgh has managed a 40.7% win rate as underdogs at +118 or higher odds. Recent form indicates tight games and moderate scoring, with Cardinals hitting the over on totals only 4 of last 10 games.
The immediate previous game saw the Pirates win narrowly 1-0 on July 1, 2025, indicating a competitive series. Both teams have shown defensive strength, but Pirates took the pitching edge in recent matchup with Isaac Mattson credited with the win.
No specific injury reports detailed from recent data; both teams appear near-full strength for this matchup.
The game is played at Pirates' home park (PNC Park) which may influence performance dynamics and crowd support. Weather and other conditions not provided but typically July weather in Pittsburgh is favorable for baseball.
The Pirates will aim to continue their momentum following a narrow win to assert home advantage, while the Cardinals seek to bounce back and leverage their favored status and strong season form as favorites.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Pittsburgh Pirates: +118, St. Louis Cardinals: -138
St. Louis Cardinals
★★★☆☆ 61%
Spread
Pittsburgh Pirates: 1.5 -144, St. Louis Cardinals: -1.5 120
St. Louis Cardinals -1.5
★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under
Over 8: -105, Under 8: -115
Over 8 runs
★★★☆☆ 55%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
St. Louis Cardinals 1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 8 3%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
St. Louis Cardinals to win a close and competitive game, leveraging slight overall season dominance and betting market confidence despite Pirates' momentum at home.
The Cleveland Guardians are hosting the St. Louis Cardinals at Progressive Field. The teams faced off the previous day, June 28, 2025, where both clubs showed competitive batting performances, with notable contributions from Cardinals' Willson Contreras and Guardians' Steven Kwan. The match is part of the ongoing MLB 2025 season series between these two teams.
Key Factors to Consider
Both teams have demonstrated solid offensive capabilities recently. On June 28, Cardinals hitters like B. Donovan (.302 AVG) and M. Winn (.259 AVG) contributed significantly, while Guardians' lineup showed resilience and depth. The Guardians have the home-field advantage, which historically benefits their performance.
The teams played on June 28, 2025, with competitive gameplay and key players on both sides contributing to the scoreline. The Guardians have shown slightly better adaptability at home, but the Cardinals have managed to stay close in recent encounters, indicating a balanced rivalry.
No specific injury information was identified in the available data for this match, suggesting both teams are likely near full strength.
The game is played at Cleveland's Progressive Field, giving Guardians the familiar venue advantage. Weather and other external conditions were not highlighted as impacting factors.
Both teams are mid-season with momentum to build for potential playoff contention. The Guardians, playing at home, have extra motivation to capitalize and secure wins in front of their home crowd.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Cleveland Guardians: +104, St. Louis Cardinals: -122
St. Louis Cardinals
★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread
Cleveland Guardians +1.5: -162, St. Louis Cardinals -1.5: +134
Cleveland Guardians +1.5
★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under
Over 8.5: -105, Under 8.5: -115
Under 8.5 runs
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
St. Louis Cardinals 0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8.5 12%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the small moneyline disadvantage but home field edge, and recent competitive play, a close contest is expected. The prediction favors the St. Louis Cardinals on the moneyline but expects a tight game possibly decided by a small margin.
Predicted Score: St. Louis Cardinals 4 – Cleveland Guardians 3
The Chicago White Sox host the St. Louis Cardinals for a doubleheader after a rain postponement. The second game, starting at 21:11 UTC, features starting pitchers Mike Vasil (White Sox) with a 3-2 record and 1.99 ERA, and Michael McGreevy (Cardinals) with a 1-1 record and 3.09 ERA. The Cardinals enter the game with a better overall record (38-35) compared to the struggling White Sox (23-50). The White Sox are fighting to improve a poor home record and end a six-game losing streak, while the Cardinals look to build on recent performances and maintain momentum in the NL Central division.
Key Factors to Consider
The Cardinals have a solid 38-35 record and are 16-21 on the road, showing consistency. The White Sox have struggled significantly at home with a 3-7 record and an overall 23-50, marking a difficult season. The Cardinals feature key players like Brendan Donovan (.323 AVG) and Willson Contreras (9 HR, 45 RBI), while the White Sox rely on Miguel Vargas (.242 AVG, 10 HR, 31 RBI). Pitching strengths favor the White Sox’s Vasil with a low 1.99 ERA and Cardinals’ McGreevy with a respectable 3.09 ERA.
Recent head-to-head matchups have favored the Cardinals. The White Sox have lost their last six games, including recent encounters with the Cardinals. The doubleheader itself is a makeup for the postponed game, adding some unusual scheduling pressure on the White Sox.
The White Sox recently added left-hander Tyler Gilbert, replacing Adrian Houser on the paternity list, but Houser is still tentatively expected to start Sunday. No major injury concerns are reported for the Cardinals, giving them a relative edge in stable roster availability.
Weather conditions are clear and sunny at Rate Field with a temperature of 27.8°C and low wind, ideal for baseball. The scheduling of a doubleheader could challenge the White Sox physically and mentally. The Cardinals appear more rested and better prepared.
The White Sox are highly motivated to break their losing streak and improve their poor home form in front of their fans, while the Cardinals aim to solidify their position in the NL Central and build on their recent winning momentum.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Chicago White Sox: +140, St. Louis Cardinals: -166
St. Louis Cardinals
★★★★☆ 75%
Spread
Chicago White Sox +1.5: -126, St. Louis Cardinals -1.5: +105
St. Louis Cardinals -1.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
Over 8: -106, Under 8: -114
Over 8 runs
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
St. Louis Cardinals -5%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 8 7%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the Cardinals' superior record, recent form, stronger offensive leaders, and the low ERA of both starting pitchers, the prediction favors the St. Louis Cardinals to win. The White Sox face an uphill battle with poor home statistics and a significant losing streak. The over/under prediction leans slightly towards the over due to both teams having capable offenses and favorable weather conditions.