The Seattle Mariners host the St. Louis Cardinals in a crucial late-season MLB matchup. The Mariners currently hold a 77-68 record with strong home performance and are slight favorites, while the Cardinals (72-74) aim to spoil the Mariners' momentum in this pivotal series finale.
Key Factors to Consider
The Mariners enter on a 4-game winning streak, winning the first two games of this series. Seattle boasts a strong home record (43-27) and has recently favored games going over total runs. The Cardinals have struggled on the road compared to home, with an overall middling season record.
The Mariners currently lead this series 2-0, having defeated the Cardinals 5-3 most recently. Historically, the teams have split fairly evenly but the Mariners' recent dominance and home advantage tilt the H2H edge slightly in their favor.
No major injuries reported impacting either team significantly for this matchup. Both teams appear near full strength.
T-Mobile Park's pitcher-friendly conditions and Mariners' bullpen depth serve as advantages. Weather conditions appear stable, minimizing external disruption.
Mariners have motivation to solidify playoff positioning in the AL West and continue winning streak, while Cardinals face elimination pressure trying to improve standings, likely increasing their effort but hampered by inconsistency.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
-225 (Seattle), +188 (St. Louis)
Seattle Mariners
β β β β β 78%
Spread
-104 (Seattle -1.5), -115 (St. Louis +1.5)
Seattle Mariners -1.5
β β β β β 71%
Over/under
-102 (Over 7.5), -120 (Under 7.5)
Over 7.5 runs
β β β ββ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Seattle Mariners -2%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 7.5 13%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 7.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Seattle Mariners to win moneyline and cover the -1.5 run line; game to go over 7.5 total runs.
Predicted Score: Seattle Mariners 6 – 3 St. Louis Cardinals
The St. Louis Cardinals (71-72) host the San Francisco Giants (72-70) in the final game of their three-game series. This matchup features Cardinals' Sonny Gray against Giants' Kai-Wei Teng, with both teams around .500 but competing for valuable positioning late in the season.
Key Factors to Consider
Cardinals have a mediocre overall season record but boast a top-tier bullpen (11th in MLB). Giants also around .500 but have struggled offensively and with bullpen consistency (27th ranked).
In recent encounters, the Cardinals hold the edge with a walk-off win, but the Giants have shown resilience throughout the series. Sonny Gray has a good record against Giants with a 3.33 ERA over last five starts versus them.
No significant injuries reported for key players on either side that would impact today's game.
Game at Busch Stadium gives Cardinals home-field advantage. Weather expected to be neutral with no adverse conditions.
Both teams out of playoff contention but fighting to improve standings and gain momentum for next season. Cardinals may have slight edge due to playing at home and desire to close series strongly.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
San Francisco Giants: +130, St. Louis Cardinals: -154
St. Louis Cardinals
β β β β β 72%
Spread
San Francisco Giants +1.5: -166, St. Louis Cardinals -1.5: 138
St. Louis Cardinals -1.5
β β β ββ 65%
Over/under
Over 8: 100, Under 8: -122
Under 8
β β β ββ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
St. Louis Cardinals -4%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8 0%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: St. Louis Cardinals win; Spread: Cardinals -1.5; Over/Under: Under 8 runs
Predicted Score: St. Louis Cardinals 4, San Francisco Giants 2
The St. Louis Cardinals (69-71) host the Oakland Athletics (64-76) in a critical late-season MLB matchup with both teams aiming to improve their position. The Cardinals are slight favorites on the moneyline, despite inconsistency and bullpen concerns, while the Athletics have shown resilience as road underdogs.
Key Factors to Consider
Cardinals are 69-71 with a 50% win rate as favorites and recent form 5-5, showing inconsistency and a slight negative run differential. Athletics stand at 64-76 with solid recent success as road underdogs, having won the last six games after losses.
Recent head-to-head favors the Cardinals narrowly with 5 wins vs. 7 for the Athletics in past matchups; Cardinals won the last meeting 2-1. The Athletics have a higher scoring average (4.75 runs/game) compared to Cardinals (2.92 runs/game) in recent matches.
No significant injuries reported for either team affecting starting pitchers or key players.
Game at Busch Stadium benefits Cardinals home advantage. Pitcher matchup: Jeffrey Springs (OAK) 10-9, 4.17 ERA vs. Matthew Liberatore (STL) 6-11, 4.32 ERA; Liberatoreβs second start against Athletics.
Cardinals motivated to solidify playoff chances in final stretch; Athletics aim to rally momentum and improve sub-.500 record by continuing strong road underdog performance.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
STL -116, OAK -102
St. Louis Cardinals
β β β ββ 60%
Spread
OAK -1.5 +160, STL +1.5 -194
St. Louis Cardinals +1.5
β β β ββ 65%
Over/under
Over 8.5 -115, Under 8.5 -105
Over 8.5 runs
β β β ββ 58%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
St. Louis Cardinals 2%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 8.5 -1%
π₯ Best Value Pick: St. Louis Cardinals at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Cardinals win; Spread: Cardinals +1.5; Over/Under: Over 8.5 runs
Location: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
Game Overview
The Cincinnati Reds host the St. Louis Cardinals in an NL Central showdown. Both teams hover around .500 with similar records. Reds favored on moneyline and spread, while total runs set at 8.5. Key factors include starting pitching matchup with Reds' dominant pitcher versus struggling Cardinal starter Andre Pallante.
Key Factors to Consider
Reds are 68-68 and have performed solidly at home with strong pitching led by Spencer Strider (dominant in August). Cardinals are 68-69, riding a 3-game win streak but their pitching staff overall has a higher ERA and WHIP. Cardinals offense features Willson Contreras hot in away games; however, Andre Pallante has been struggling with a 5.44 ERA and poor recent outings.
Cardinals have had recent success against the Reds with hitters like Nolan Arenado recording hits in 14 of last 16 games vs Cincinnati. However, Reds have home advantage and better pitching matchup in this contest.
Cardinals missing Alec Burleson (IL), which weakens their lineup. Reds have no major injuries reported affecting lineup or pitching.
Great American Ball Park is a hitter-friendly park but Reds' pitching has limited long balls (tied 23rd in MLB for HR allowed). Weather conditions expected to be neutral without rain or wind extremes.
Both teams fighting for playoff relevance with Cardinals just slightly behind in division. Reds motivated to avoid series sweep at home and continue strong pitching performances to close season.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Cincinnati Reds -142, St. Louis Cardinals +120
Cincinnati Reds
β β β β β 75%
Spread
Cincinnati Reds -1.5 +146, St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 -176
St. Louis Cardinals +1.5
β β β ββ 65%
Over/under
Over 8.5 -115, Under 8.5 -105
Under 8.5
β β β ββ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Cincinnati Reds 2%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8.5 7%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.8% (Kelly Criterion)
The Pittsburgh Pirates (59-75) travel to face the St. Louis Cardinals (65-69) at Busch Stadium. The Pirates hold a 2-1 series lead and will start Braxton Ashcraft, who has a strong 2.70 ERA and 4-2 record, while the Cardinals counter with struggling Miles Mikolas (6-10, 5.17 ERA). The game features a total set at 8.5 runs with close moneyline odds favoring the Cardinals slightly as home favorites.
Key Factors to Consider
The Pirates have shown recent improvement, winning two of the first three games in the series and playing better pitching recently. The Cardinals have underperformed overall, with Mikolas' recent form weak (14 ER in last 17.1 innings) and a middling 50% record when favorites around -122 odds.
This seasonβs series is close, with the Pirates leading 2-1 so far. Historically, the Cardinals have a slight edge but recent performance favors Pittsburgh's momentum.
No critical injuries reported for either team affecting starting rotation or lineup significantly.
Game played at Busch Stadium favors the Cardinals slightly due to home advantage, but Piratesβ Ashcraft has strong road numbers (2.28 ERA in 23.2 road innings) reducing impact of venue.
Pirates motivated to complete series win and build momentum heading into challenging upcoming schedule; Cardinals seek to avoid losing series at home and improve below .500 record.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Pittsburgh Pirates +104, St. Louis Cardinals -122
Pittsburgh Pirates
β β β ββ 65%
Spread
Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 -196, St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 +162
Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5
β β β β β 72%
Over/under
Over 8.5 -105, Under 8.5 -115
Under 8.5
β β β ββ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Pittsburgh Pirates 10%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8.5 7%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.8% (Kelly Criterion)