The St. Louis Cardinals host the Miami Marlins with the Cardinals slight favorites in a close MLB matchup. Both teams have similar records just above and below .500, meeting under neutral conditions with starting pitchers Miles Mikolas for the Cardinals and Cal Quantrill for the Marlins, both showing above 4.9 ERA this season, indicating potential offensive opportunities.
Key Factors to Consider
The Cardinals hold a slight edge with a 55-54 record compared to the Marlins at 51-55. St. Louis performs well at home (32-23) while Miami struggles just below .500 overall.
Recent head-to-head trends marginally favor the Cardinals, with implied odds reflecting around 59.7% chance to win for St. Louis based on moneyline odds.
No major injuries flagged impacting starting pitchers or key position players for either team, supporting expected typical performance levels.
Game is at Busch Stadium, a hitter-friendly park in late July weather conditions. No notable external disruptions.
Both teams are near the middle of the standings with the Cardinals likely motivated to strengthen playoff contention and Marlins aiming to stabilize season performance.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Miami Marlins: +120, St. Louis Cardinals: -142
St. Louis Cardinals
★★★★☆ 72%
Spread
Miami Marlins +1.5: -170, St. Louis Cardinals -1.5: +140
St. Louis Cardinals -1.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
Over 8.5: -115, Under 8.5: -105
Over 8.5 runs
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
St. Louis Cardinals 2%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 8.5 3%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
St. Louis Cardinals to win on the moneyline, cover the -1.5 run line, and the game to go over 8.5 total runs
Predicted Score: St. Louis Cardinals 6, Miami Marlins 4
The St. Louis Cardinals host the San Diego Padres in an important National League matchup. Both teams have winning records, with the Padres slightly ahead at 56-49 versus the Cardinals at 54-52. The Cardinals are slight favorites at home with odds reflecting a moderate edge. The game features starting pitchers Michael McGreevy (Cardinals) and Stephen Kolek (Padres), whose recent performances will be critical.
Key Factors to Consider
The Cardinals enter just below .500 with a 54-52 record and have shown solid home form. The Padres hold a 56-49 record overall, performing consistently but with a higher ERA on their pitching staff. Offensively, the Padres feature strong hitters including Manny Machado on a recent hitting streak and Fernando Tatis Jr. with elite on-base skills.
Recent matchups show a tight contest with the Cardinals slightly favored. Both teams have competitive histories and closely matched talent levels. The Cardinals have marginal home advantage.
No significant injuries reported for either team affecting starting lineups or key players. Both teams appear at near full strength for this game.
The game is played indoors at Busch Stadium, minimizing weather impact. The neutral schedule context does not overly favor momentum for either side.
Both teams are competing for playoff positioning, adding motivation especially for the home Cardinals to capitalize in front of their fans.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Cardinals -123, Padres +112
Cardinals
★★★★☆ 72%
Spread
Cardinals -1.5 +157, Padres +1.5 -180
Cardinals -1.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
Over 9 -115, Under 9 -105
Under
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
St. Louis Cardinals 9%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 9 7%
🔥 Best Value Pick: St. Louis Cardinals at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: St. Louis Cardinals to win; Spread: St. Louis Cardinals -1.5; Over/Under: Under 9 runs
The St. Louis Cardinals (52-50) face the Colorado Rockies (25-76) at the hitter-friendly Coors Field in Denver. The Cardinals are favored on the moneyline and spread, with a notable expectation for a potent offensive game given the ballpark and recent scoring trends.
Key Factors to Consider
The Cardinals have a winning record (52-50) and average 4.52 runs per game, ranking 13th in MLB, while having a 4.17 ERA pitching staff. Colorado struggles significantly with a 25-76 record and a higher team ERA around 5.19 from probable starter Kyle Freeland, highlighting pitching weaknesses.
In the current series, Cardinals won Game 1 and Rockies won Game 2. Historically, Cardinals hold the advantage, and in recent head-to-head at Coors Field, Cardinals’ pitching and hitting balance out despite the elevation.
No significant injuries reported for either team affecting key position players or pitchers relevant to this matchup.
Coors Field’s altitude heavily favors hitters, inflating scoring totals. The Cardinals’ starting pitcher Andre Pallante has a 4.71 ERA, which could be challenged by the Rockies’ hitters in this environment.
With Cardinals looking to improve above .500 and maintain their edge in the playoff race, motivation is high. Rockies have minimal playoff hope, potentially reducing competitive intensity.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
COL +162, STL -194
St. Louis Cardinals
★★★★☆ 78%
Spread
COL +1.5 (+108), STL -1.5 (-130)
St. Louis Cardinals -1.5
★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under
Over 11 (-115), Under 11 (-105)
Over 11 runs
★★★★☆ 75%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
St. Louis Cardinals -9%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 11 27%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 11 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
St. Louis Cardinals moneyline win, Cardinals -1.5 spread, Over 11 total runs
Arizona Diamondbacks (49-50) face St. Louis Cardinals (51-48) in a crucial MLB game where both teams hover near playoff contention. Arizona has a slight edge as home favorites, backed by strong recent home performance and a dominant previous 10-1 win versus the Cardinals. St. Louis, although slightly more productive offensively on the road, must overcome pitching challenges and recent away losses.
Key Factors to Consider
Arizona is 5-5 in last 10 games and performs reliably at home, averaging over 3.5 runs per game against St. Louis. Cardinals have a balanced 51-48 season record, with a .252 batting average and 4.18 team ERA. Cardinals’ offense is slightly more productive overall, but the pitching staff’s 4.94 ERA from starter Mikolas poses concerns.
Recent head-to-heads favor Arizona, including a decisive 10-1 victory on July 20, 2025. Mikolas, the Cardinals' starter, has a career 3-2 record and a 2.97 ERA against Diamondbacks, but Merrill Kelly for Arizona has been more consistent with an 8-5 record and 3.34 ERA.
No significant injury reports affect starting pitchers or key offensive players for either team heading into this matchup.
Playing at Chase Field provides Arizona with home-field advantage, including familiar conditions such as pitcher-friendly park factors that can influence run environment.
Both teams are motivated to solidify playoff positioning with similar records around .500, but Arizona’s recent dominant performance over Cardinals adds confidence and drive.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
ARI: -142, STL: +120
Arizona Diamondbacks
★★★★☆ 75%
Spread
ARI -1.5 (+134), STL +1.5 (-162)
Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5
★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under
Over 8.5 (-122), Under 8.5 (+100)
Over 8.5
★★★☆☆ 62%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Arizona Diamondbacks -1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 8.5 9%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Arizona Diamondbacks win on the moneyline, cover -1.5 spread, with the game going over 8.5 total runs.
Predicted Score: Arizona Diamondbacks 6 – St. Louis Cardinals 4