Match Analysis: St. Louis Cardinals vs San Francisco Giants – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-07
- Time: 6:16 PM UTC
- Location: Busch Stadium, St. Louis, MO
Game Overview
The San Francisco Giants visit the St. Louis Cardinals for the series finale. Giants starter Kyle Teng (2-3, 7.23 ERA) faces off against Cardinals starter Jon Gray (12-8, 4.43 ERA). Both teams have closely matched overall records, with the Cardinals at 71-72 and Giants at 72-70. The Cardinals hold a slight home advantage with a 40-34 record at Busch Stadium, while the Giants are 37-36 on the road.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Cardinals have a stronger home record and a more consistent pitching performance from their starter Jon Gray compared to Giants' Kyle Teng, who has struggled this season with a 7.23 ERA. Both teams have nearly equal overall records, reflecting a balanced matchup, but the Cardinals' pitching and home advantage may provide them an edge.
- Recent head-to-head details are limited, but the matchup appears balanced with no dominant trend. Both teams compete closely within their division and have mirrored success rates, suggesting a tightly contested game.
- No major injury reports or key player absences have been indicated for either team leading up to this game.
- The game is held at Busch Stadium in St. Louis, which favors the Cardinals with their superior home record. Weather and other external factors are typical for early September with no significant disruptions reported.
- As this is a late-season game in early September, both teams are motivated to improve their standings for potential postseason positioning, adding competitive intensity to the matchup.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | San Francisco Giants: +130, St. Louis Cardinals: -154 | St. Louis Cardinals win | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Spread | San Francisco Giants: -1.5 (-166), St. Louis Cardinals: +1.5 (138) | San Francisco Giants +1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 8 runs: 100, Under 8 runs: -122 | Under 8 runs | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | St. Louis Cardinals 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 8 0% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: St. Louis Cardinals at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The St. Louis Cardinals are favored to win due to stronger pitching matchup, home advantage, and balanced team performance, although the game may be close given the Giants’ resilience and nearly even season record.
Predicted Score: St. Louis Cardinals 4 – 3 San Francisco Giants