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St George Illawarra Dragons vs. Parramatta Eels Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: St George Illawarra Dragons vs Parramatta Eels – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-28
  • Time: 7:30 AM UTC
  • Location: WIN Stadium, Wollongong, Australia

Game Overview

This NRL Round 17 match features St George Illawarra Dragons hosting Parramatta Eels at WIN Stadium. Both teams have demonstrated competitive form this season, with the Dragons favored to win at home. The game is expected to be closely contested with impactful plays from both sides, making it an exciting fixture for fans and bettors.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Dragons have shown solid home form and consistent performances in recent rounds, while the Eels have been resilient on the road but marginally less consistent overall. St George Illawarra's defense and structured attack have been key strengths, whereas Parramatta's ability to capitalize on turnovers has improved lately.
  • Recent head-to-head meetings have been tight, with some wins shared between both teams. The last five matches show a near even split, including a close 23-22 win for Parramatta earlier in the season. This historical parity suggests the match could be decided by small margins.
  • No major injuries have been publicly disclosed affecting key starters for either team at this time, suggesting both sides can field near-full strength lineups.
  • The match being played at WIN Stadium gives the Dragons a home ground advantage with familiar conditions and fan support. Weather conditions are expected to be typical for Wollongong in late June, without adverse impacts.
  • St George Illawarra is motivated to consolidate their position in the mid-table standings and maintain winning momentum at home. Parramatta Eels aim to climb higher on the ladder and will be motivated by the chance to upset an in-form home team.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Parramatta Eels: 131, St George Illawarra Dragons: -150, Draw: 2000 St George Illawarra Dragons ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Parramatta Eels: 3.5 -115, St George Illawarra Dragons: -3.5 -115 St George Illawarra Dragons -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 47.5 -115, Under: 47.5 -115 Under 47.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline St George Illawarra Dragons -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 47.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the home advantage and slightly better recent consistency, the prediction favors St George Illawarra Dragons to win a close match. Expect a tight contest with defense playing a major role.

Predicted Score: St George Illawarra Dragons 24 – Parramatta Eels 20


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Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs. St George Illawarra Dragons Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs St George Illawarra Dragons – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-12
  • Time: 9:50 AM UTC
  • Location: Sharks Stadium

Game Overview

The Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks are set to face the St George Illawarra Dragons in a highly anticipated NRL match. With the Sharks favored heavily, they enter as strong contenders to win, driven by their recent form and home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks have shown consistent performance in recent matches, whereas the St George Illawarra Dragons have been struggling with inconsistency.
  • Historically, both teams have had closely contested matches, but Cronulla has a slight edge in recent encounters.
  • Any significant injuries to key players could impact team performance, but no major updates are available as of now.
  • Weather conditions and crowd support could influence the game, with the Sharks having a home advantage.
  • Both teams are motivated to win, but the Dragons might have extra drive to prove themselves against a strong opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks: -325, St George Illawarra Dragons: 260, Draw: 2500 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Cronulla Sutherland Sharks: -10.5 -115, St George Illawarra Dragons: 10.5 -115 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over: 47.5 -115, Under: 47.5 -115 Over ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 47.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 47.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks are predicted to win, given their strong recent form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks 28 – St George Illawarra Dragons 18


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Dolphins vs. St George Illawarra Dragons Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Dolphins vs St George Illawarra Dragons – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-06
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Suncorp Stadium

Game Overview

The Dolphins and St George Illawarra Dragons face off in NRL Round 14, with the Dolphins favored to win. Both teams have five wins heading into this match.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Dolphins have shown strong form, while the Dragons have had inconsistent results. The Dolphins' performance at home could be a deciding factor.
  • Historical match-ups between these teams are limited due to the Dolphins being a new team in the NRL.
  • No significant injury reports have been highlighted for this match.
  • Home advantage could play a significant role for the Dolphins.
  • Both teams are motivated to win, but the Dolphins' recent form might give them an edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Dolphins -182, Dragons 145 Dolphins win High
Spread Dolphins -4.5, Dragons +4.5 Dolphins cover Moderate
Over/under Over 47.5, Under 47.5 Over Moderate

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Dolphins -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 47.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Dolphins are likely to win due to their recent performance and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Dolphins 25, Dragons 20


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St George Illawarra Dragons vs. Newcastle Knights Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: St George Illawarra Dragons vs Newcastle Knights – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-30
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Netstrata Jubilee Stadium

Game Overview

This NRL match pits the St George Illawarra Dragons against the Newcastle Knights. The Dragons are favored, with odds indicating a higher probability of winning. The game is expected to be competitive, given the spread and over/under odds.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams have shown mixed performances in the current season. The Dragons have been consistent at home, while the Knights have struggled away from their home ground.
  • Historically, the head-to-head matches have been closely contested, with both teams having their share of wins.
  • Injuries could play a crucial role in this match, as missing key players can significantly impact team performance.
  • External factors such as weather conditions and crowd support might influence the game, though specific details are not available.
  • Motivation levels are high for both teams, as they seek to improve their standings in the league.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -186 for St George Illawarra Dragons, 159 for Newcastle Knights, 2200 for a draw St George Illawarra Dragons ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread -5.5 for St George Illawarra Dragons, 5.5 for Newcastle Knights St George Illawarra Dragons to cover ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under 44.5 Under 44.5 ★★★☆☆ 50%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline St George Illawarra Dragons -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 44.5 -7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: St George Illawarra Dragons at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on the current odds and team performance, the St George Illawarra Dragons are likely to win this match.

Predicted Score: St George Illawarra Dragons 24 – Newcastle Knights 18


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Brisbane Broncos vs. St George Illawarra Dragons Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Brisbane Broncos vs St George Illawarra Dragons – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 18 May 2025
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane, Australia

Game Overview

The Brisbane Broncos face the St George Illawarra Dragons in a crucial NRL match at Suncorp Stadium. The Broncos are favored to win, given their strong performance and home advantage. The Dragons, however, have shown resilience in previous matches and could pose a challenge.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Brisbane Broncos have been performing well lately, with a solid team structure and strong defense. St George Illawarra Dragons have struggled with consistency but have the potential to upset any team on their day.
  • Recent head-to-head statistics show that the Broncos have had a slight edge over the Dragons, but the Dragons have managed to secure important wins historically.
  • Injury reports are not specified, but any significant absences could impact team dynamics.
  • Weather conditions and crowd support could influence the game, with Brisbane's home crowd potentially boosting their performance.
  • Both teams are motivated, with the Broncos aiming to maintain their form and the Dragons seeking an upset to improve their standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Brisbane Broncos: -315, St George Illawarra Dragons: 260, Draw: 2500 Brisbane Broncos ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread Brisbane Broncos: -10.5 -115, St George Illawarra Dragons: 10.5 -115 Brisbane Broncos to cover the spread ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over: 50.5 -115, Under: 50.5 -115 Over ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Brisbane Broncos 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 50.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Brisbane Broncos at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Brisbane Broncos are likely to win, given their current form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Brisbane Broncos 28 – 20 St George Illawarra Dragons


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St George Illawarra Dragons vs. New Zealand Warriors Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: St George Illawarra Dragons vs New Zealand Warriors – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 7:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Netstrata Jubilee Stadium / WIN Stadium (Note: Some sources report venue as WIN Stadium, Wollongong. Please verify closer to matchday as venue may be subject to change or discrepancy in reporting.)

Game Overview

The St George Illawarra Dragons host the New Zealand Warriors in Round 10 of the 2025 NRL season. The Warriors are favored in both statistical models and bookmaker odds, but the Dragons remain competitive with recent form and home advantage potentially playing a role. The clash is projected as a tight contest, with bookmakers and predictive models split on the margin and likelihood of an upset.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Warriors have shown superior recent form, with predictive models giving them a clear edge. The Dragons, while underdogs, are performing closely and could benefit from playing at home.
  • Historical matchups between these teams have varied, but recent trends slightly favor the Warriors.
  • No specific injury updates provided in available data. Recommend checking NRL official injury list closer to matchday for updates as this is a key factor.
  • Potential venue discrepancy exists; some sources list Netstrata Jubilee Stadium, others WIN Stadium. Weather and crowd support may also impact.
  • Both teams are motivated for a crucial mid-season win. The Warriors are pushing for a top-four spot, while the Dragons are aiming to build momentum and climb the ladder.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: 113, away: -130, draw: 2000 New Zealand Warriors High (61% predictive model; 51-56% other models)
Spread home: 1.5 -115, away: -1.5 -115 New Zealand Warriors -1.5 Moderate (slight favorite, line close to pick'em; Warriors favored to cover by 1-3 points)
Over/under over: 47.5 -115, under: 47.5 -115 Under 47.5 Moderate (total line is above average, but game expected to be tight and potentially defensive)

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New Zealand Warriors -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 47.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

The New Zealand Warriors are slight to moderate favorites. Predictive models assign a 61% chance of a Warriors win (per Stats Insider), while other sources have the margin much tighter, with the Warriors at 51-56% likelihood. The Dragons offer value at their current odds, but the Warriors are the safer pick for victory, with a predicted winning margin of 2-4 points. The total points market suggests a moderate-scoring game, possibly just under the line given the defensive tendencies and stakes involved.

Predicted Score: New Zealand Warriors 22-18 St George Illawarra Dragons


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Wests Tigers vs. St George Illawarra Dragons Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Wests Tigers vs St George Illawarra Dragons – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-03
  • Time: 9:45 AM UTC
  • Location: Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane

Game Overview

The Wests Tigers (9th) face the St George Illawarra Dragons (10th) in a tightly contested Round 9 NRL clash at Magic Round, with both teams fielding lineup changes. The Dragons debut Corey Allan and promote Lyhkan King-Togia to halfback, while the Tigers deal with off-field distractions surrounding Lachlan Galvin.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Tigers are marginally favored (60% win probability per Stats Insider's model[5]), but face instability due to Galvin's contract dispute[3]. The Dragons' reshaped halves pairing (King-Togia/Ilias) introduces unpredictability[2][4].
  • Recent historical data unavailable in sources, but current rankings (9th vs 10th) suggest parity.
  • Dragons: Hamish Stewart returns from concussion[4]. Corey Allan debuts after 2024 ACL recovery[4]. Tigers: No explicit injury reports, but Galvin's legal issues may affect focus[3].
  • Magic Round atmosphere at Suncorp Stadium could intensify pressure on inexperienced players like King-Togia[4][5].
  • Dragons seek to capitalize on Tigers' off-field turmoil[3], while Wests aim to leverage home crowd momentum (designated home team per NRL draw[1][5]).

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Tigers -121 / Dragons +102 / Draw +1900 Wests Tigers ML (-121) ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Tigers -1.5 (-115) / Dragons +1.5 (-115) Tigers -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 52%
Over/under Over 46.5 (-115) / Under 46.5 (-115) Under 46.5 ★★★☆☆ 54%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Wests Tigers 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 46.5 -3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Wests Tigers at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Wests Tigers by ≤4 points in high-variance contest. Stats Insider's 60% probability aligns with slight edge, but Dragons' revamped lineup introduces hedging risk[5].

Predicted Score: Wests Tigers 24-20 Dragons


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Sydney Roosters vs. St George Illawarra Dragons Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Sydney Roosters vs St George Illawarra Dragons – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-25
  • Time: 6:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Allianz Stadium

Game Overview

The ANZAC Round match between the Sydney Roosters and St George Illawarra Dragons promises to be a competitive affair. Both teams will be highly motivated for the occasion.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sydney Roosters have shown strong form recently and are favored to win. St George Illawarra Dragons will need to improve their performance to challenge the Roosters.
  • The head-to-head statistics might slightly favor the Roosters, but recent matchups have been closely contested.
  • Injury updates are crucial; however, specific details are not provided here. Generally, fewer injuries could boost a team's chances.
  • The ANZAC Round commemoration could add motivational factors for both teams.
  • Both teams are highly motivated due to the ANZAC Day significance and the desire to improve their standings in the league.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -132 (Sydney Roosters), 106 (St George Illawarra Dragons) Sydney Roosters ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 44.5: -112, Under 44.5: -112 Under ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sydney Roosters 14%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 44.5 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sydney Roosters at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sydney Roosters are likely to win based on their current form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Sydney Roosters 22, St George Illawarra Dragons 18


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Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs. St George Illawarra Dragons Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs St George Illawarra Dragons – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-17
  • Time: 9:50 AM UTC
  • Location: Lottoland, Sydney, Australia

Game Overview

The Manly Warringah Sea Eagles are set to host the St George Illawarra Dragons in a crucial NRL match. Both teams are focused on improving their league standings and securing a stronger position for the finals. Manly, with a strong home record, will aim to capitalize on their past performances at Lottoland. The Dragons, who have recently shown impressive form, look to extend their winning streak and improve their away performance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Manly has shown a strong home record, while the Dragons have been inconsistent on the road. However, the Dragons have recently demonstrated significant improvement with high-scoring victories.
  • The Dragons hold a slight advantage in recent meetings, but Manly's home advantage often tilts the balance in their favor.
  • The absence of key players can significantly impact team dynamics. Manly's recent adjustments have been due to suspensions and injuries.
  • Weather conditions and crowd support can influence the game's intensity and momentum.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to secure wins to enhance their playoff chances, given the congested mid-table standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -157 for Manly, 135 for Dragons Manly Warringah Sea Eagles ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread -3.5 (-115) for Manly, 3.5 (-115) for Dragons Manly Warringah Sea Eagles to cover the spread ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over_under Over 46.5 (-125), Under 46.5 (-105) Over 46.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manly Warringah Sea Eagles -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 46.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Manly Warringah Sea Eagles could have a slight edge due to their home advantage and strong past performances at Lottoland, but the Dragons' recent form suggests a competitive match.

Predicted Score: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 25, St George Illawarra Dragons 20


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St George Illawarra Dragons vs. Gold Coast Titans Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: St George Illawarra Dragons vs Gold Coast Titans – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-11
  • Time: 8:00 AM UTC
  • Location: WIN Stadium, Wollongong

Game Overview

The St George Illawarra Dragons, despite an inconsistent start to the season, face the Gold Coast Titans, who have shown flashes of brilliance but struggle with consistency, particularly after losing to the Dolphins last week.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Dragons have had a mixed season but performed well in their last home game. The Titans have been erratic with losses and wins, and their defense has struggled.
  • The Dragons have won recent encounters, especially at WIN Stadium, where they have beaten the Titans by 13+ points in two straight meetings.
  • The Titans are dealing with a suspension to their captain, Tino Fa'asuamaleaui, but have players returning from injury.
  • Home-field advantage could significantly boost the Dragons' chances.
  • Both teams need a win to stabilize their performances and build momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence EV Pick

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline N/A
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Dragons are likely to win, given their recent form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Dragons 24 – Titans 20


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