Match Analysis: Troy Trojans vs St. Francis (PA) Red Flash – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: November 26, 2025
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: Alico Arena, Fort Myers, FL

Game Overview

Troy Trojans host St. Francis (PA) Red Flash in a heavily lopsided matchup featuring a dominant home team facing one of the weakest teams in college basketball this season. Troy enters at 4-4 while St. Francis PA is winless at 0-5, having suffered multiple blowout losses including a devastating 94-57 defeat to Belmont on Monday. This game represents a massive talent and performance disparity, with Troy favored by over 22 points.

Key Factors to Consider

• Troy Trojans have shown competitive ability with a .500 record, including a notable victory over SDSU (108-107). St. Francis PA has been historically poor, failing to win any games while averaging under 67 points per contest. In their most recent loss to Belmont, the Red Flash shot just 33.9% from the field, 20% from three, and committed 16 turnovers while being outrebounded 30-25. This demonstrates fundamental offensive and defensive breakdowns that Troy should easily exploit.
• No previous matchup history available between these programs in recent seasons.
• No specific injury reports available in the provided data for either team.
• The game is played at a neutral site (Alico Arena in Fort Myers) as part of the Coconut Hoops Championship tournament. This eliminates typical home-court advantage benefits, though Troy still maintains superior talent and execution.
• Troy has motivation to build momentum and establish dominance over an inferior opponent. St. Francis PA faces desperation but limited realistic paths to victory given their systematic failures across shooting, ball handling, and rebounding.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Troy Trojans will decisively defeat St. Francis (PA) Red Flash by a substantial margin. The talent gap is enormous, and St. Francis PA's inability to execute on either end of the floor makes them vulnerable to any competent opponent, let alone one like Troy.

Predicted Score: Troy 87, St. Francis PA 64

Match Analysis: Belmont Bruins vs St. Francis (PA) Red Flash – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-24
• Time: 6:30 PM UTC
• Location: Alico Arena, Fort Myers

Game Overview

The Belmont Bruins (5-0) host the St. Francis (PA) Red Flash (0-4) in a college basketball NCAAB matchup where Belmont is heavily favored. Belmont has been dominant with a strong home record and comprehensive victories, while St. Francis has struggled significantly, with losses in all games including recent double-digit defeats.

Key Factors to Consider

• Belmont is undefeated, averaging around 83 points per game while allowing approximately 64 points, showing strong defense and efficient scoring. St. Francis averages roughly 67.5 points but concedes about 87 points, indicating defensive challenges. Belmont’s recent 96-49 home blowout showcases their offensive firepower. St. Francis, on the other hand, was last beaten 79-62 on the road.
• Recent direct matchups show Belmont overwhelmingly superior with multiple wins and large margins. St. Francis has not secured a victory against Belmont recently, emphasizing a clear trend favoring Belmont.
• No specific injury reports found, suggesting both teams are likely at full strength going into the game.
• Belmont enjoys home court advantage at Alico Arena with strong fan support and a higher power rating (#110 vs #361 for St. Francis). St. Francis faces tough travel and has a weak away rating (#358). Strength of schedule favors Belmont's momentum and conditioning.
• Belmont looks motivated to maintain their perfect season start, bolstered by confidence from recent dominant wins. St. Francis aims to break their losing streak but face serious uphill odds against an elite Belmont team.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Belmont Bruins are expected to win convincingly, potentially by 20 points or more, considering their dominant form and St. Francis’s ongoing struggles. The total points are expected to stay under the 154.5 line due to both Belmont’s controlled offense in recent games and St. Francis’s low scoring.

Predicted Score: Belmont Bruins 83 – St. Francis (PA) Red Flash 63

Match Analysis: Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs St. Francis (PA) Red Flash – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-19
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Stabler Arena, Bethlehem, PA

Game Overview

The Lehigh Mountain Hawks host the St. Francis (PA) Red Flash in an early-season NCAA basketball matchup. Lehigh, with a 1-3 record, is favored heavily against a struggling St. Francis team at 0-3. The game features both teams trying to find rhythm, with Lehigh favored by 9.5 points and an over/under set at 153.5 points.

Key Factors to Consider

• Lehigh has shown slightly better offensive efficiency, shooting around 41% field goals and controlling rebounds better. St. Francis has struggled with shooting consistency (39% FG) and turnovers, but plays stronger defensively recently, allowing about 93 points over their last three games compared to Lehigh's 70 points allowed. Lehigh's defense is more potent, offering a substantial edge.
• Recent direct encounters suggest Lehigh has the upper hand given their home advantage and stronger overall performance, but exact past head-to-head records are limited. Lehigh's home court at Stabler Arena is a known advantage.
• No significant injury reports available for either team at this time, indicating both teams should have their primary rosters available.
• Lehigh's home court and local fan support provide a motivational boost, especially given their favored status. St. Francis's travel and prior losses might dampen momentum. No major external disruptions noted.
• Lehigh aims to improve their losing record and capitalize on home advantage by asserting dominance early. St. Francis seeks to end their winless start and build confidence despite tough odds.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Lehigh Mountain Hawks to win by at least 10 points due to stronger defense, rebounding advantage, and home court edge. The game is expected to hit the under on total points given Lehigh's effective defense limiting St. Francis scoring.

Predicted Score: Lehigh Mountain Hawks 82 – St. Francis (PA) Red Flash 70

Match Analysis: St. Francis (PA) Red Flash vs Mt. St. Mary's Mountaineers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-12
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: DeGol Arena, Loretto, PA

Game Overview

This matchup features two struggling teams early in the season, both entering with 0-2 records. Mt. St. Mary's Mountaineers are coming off a 73-62 loss to Bucknell, while St. Francis (PA) Red Flash suffered a heavy 104-63 defeat at TCU. The game is the first home contest for St. Francis (PA), who will look to rebound in front of their home crowd. Mt. St. Mary's has dominated the recent head-to-head series, winning six of the last ten meetings, including a 66-58 victory last season.

Key Factors to Consider

• Mt. St. Mary's is averaging 58 points per game and allowing 71.5, with a 39.2% field goal percentage and 72% free throw shooting in their last game. St. Francis (PA) is averaging 64.5 points per game but has allowed 103 per game, with a poor defensive showing against TCU. Both teams have struggled offensively and defensively, but Mt. St. Mary's has shown more consistency in their recent head-to-head matchups.
• Mt. St. Mary's has won six of the last ten meetings, including the most recent 66-58 victory. The Mountaineers have a clear edge in recent history, which could provide a psychological advantage.
• No significant injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates.
• The game is being played at DeGol Arena, the home court for St. Francis (PA). However, the Red Flash have not performed well on the road this season and are seeking their first win at home. The atmosphere and crowd support could play a role, but Mt. St. Mary's has shown resilience in away games.
• Both teams are highly motivated to break their losing streaks. St. Francis (PA) is particularly motivated to secure their first win at home, while Mt. St. Mary's aims to continue their dominance in the series and improve their record.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Mt. St. Mary's Mountaineers are favored to win this game, given their recent head-to-head success and slightly better defensive performance. The Mountaineers are expected to control the pace and limit scoring opportunities, leading to a lower-scoring game.

Predicted Score: Mt. St. Mary's Mountaineers 68 – 62 St. Francis (PA) Red Flash

Match Analysis: TCU Horned Frogs vs St. Francis (PA) Red Flash – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-06
• Time: 1:00 AM UTC
• Location: Ed and Rae Schollmaier Arena, Fort Worth

Game Overview

The TCU Horned Frogs (0-1), coming off a close home loss to New Orleans, host the St. Francis (PA) Red Flash (0-1), who were blown out by Oklahoma in their opener. Both teams are looking for their first win of the season, with TCU favored by a large margin and sportsbooks assigning them a near-certain win probability[1][3][4].

Key Factors to Consider

• TCU lost 74-78 at home, showing some vulnerability despite being a Power 5 program. St. Francis (PA) was routed 66-102 by Oklahoma, struggling both offensively (40.9% FG, 29.4% 3PT) and defensively (55.7% FG allowed, 36.7% 3PT allowed)[1][3]. TCU’s loss was much more competitive against a weaker opponent, suggesting a higher baseline quality.
• No recent head-to-head history found. This is a non-conference matchup between programs from different tiers.
• No injury reports found in available sources.
• Game is played at TCU’s home venue, giving the Horned Frogs a clear home-court advantage. Both teams are early in the season and may still be adjusting lineups and rotations.
• TCU aims to bounce back from an unexpected home loss and avoid further early-season setbacks. St. Francis (PA) looks to avoid an 0-2 start, but faces a significant talent and depth disadvantage[1].

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

TCU is expected to win comfortably, covering the large spread given the talent gap and St. Francis (PA)’s defensive struggles. The total is likely to stay under the bookmakers' line, as both teams have shown limited offensive efficiency in early games and the game script favors TCU controlling tempo[3].

Predicted Score: TCU 82, St. Francis (PA) 55

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Match Analysis: Buffalo Bulls vs St. Francis (PA) Red Flash – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-06
• Time: 7:35 PM UTC
• Location: UB Stadium, Buffalo, New York

Game Overview

The Buffalo Bulls and Saint Francis (PA) Red Flash meet for their first ever matchup in college football. Both teams enter the game with 0-1 records, coming off losses in their season openers. Buffalo, an FBS program from the MAC, is a heavy favorite playing at home against the FCS Saint Francis team. The Bulls are led by QB Ta'Quan Roberson, while Saint Francis seeks to build on a program history that includes a signature upset of Kent State last season.

Key Factors to Consider

• Buffalo showed moderate competitiveness in their season opener, losing to Minnesota 23-10 but demonstrating offensive capability. Saint Francis is adjusting after a tough 29-0 loss to UL-Monroe, showing offensive struggles against FBS competition. Buffalo's stronger offensive and defensive stats position them well.
• This is the first meeting between Buffalo Bulls and Saint Francis Red Flash. Saint Francis is 1-4 historically against MAC teams but earned a notable 23-17 win over Kent State in 2024.
• No major injury reports available for either team ahead of kickoff, suggesting both teams are at near full strength.
• The game is held at Buffalo’s home stadium, offering the Bulls a strong home-field advantage and familiar environment. Weather conditions and travel fatigue appear minimal.
• Buffalo seeks to bounce back from an opening loss and validate its FBS status against an FCS opponent. Saint Francis is motivated to gain momentum and earn a rare FBS victory, which would be a historic achievement for the program.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Buffalo is heavily favored to win comfortably at home due to superior roster depth, home advantage, and recent performance. The prediction is that Buffalo will win and cover the spread (-36.5), with the game going over the total points line (50.5).

Predicted Score: Buffalo Bulls 45 – Saint Francis (PA) Red Flash 14

Match Analysis: UL Monroe Warhawks vs St. Francis (PA) Red Flash – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-28
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Malone Stadium, Monroe, Louisiana

Game Overview

The 2025 season opener features UL Monroe Warhawks hosting St. Francis (PA) Red Flash for their first-ever meeting. UL Monroe is an FBS team in the Sun Belt Conference, expected to dominate as a home favorite against the FCS-level Red Flash from the Northeast Conference. This game is an opportunity for UL Monroe to assert early-season dominance while St. Francis seeks to prove competitiveness at a higher level of college football.

Key Factors to Consider

• UL Monroe is stepping into the 2025 season with a full FBS schedule including tough Sun Belt opponents. The Warhawks come in as heavy favorites with odds reflecting their substantially higher competitive level. St. Francis enters as an underdog from a smaller FCS conference with less depth and comparatively weaker schedule strength.
• This is the first-ever matchup between UL Monroe Warhawks and St. Francis (PA) Red Flash with no prior head-to-head history.
• No specific injury reports are available for either team at this time as it is the season opener and no live updates on player conditions have been published.
• The game is played at UL Monroe's home stadium, Malone Stadium, giving the Warhawks familiar home-field advantage. Weather or other environmental factors were not reported. Ticket sales and fan support favor the home team.
• UL Monroe aims to start their season strongly on home turf against an FCS opponent, while St. Francis aims to make a statement with an upset, overcoming the perceived disparity in division ranking and talent.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

UL Monroe is heavily favored to win decisively given their FBS status, superior depth, home advantage, and very strong moneyline odds. St. Francis is likely to struggle against the physicality and pace of UL Monroe's team.

Predicted Score: UL Monroe Warhawks 38 – 10 St. Francis (PA) Red Flash

Match Analysis: St. Francis (PA) Red Flash vs Alabama St Hornets – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-18
• Time: 10:40 PM UTC
• Location: Dayton, Ohio

Game Overview

St. Francis (PA) Red Flash faces Alabama State Hornets in the NCAA First Four. St. Francis advanced after winning the Northeast Conference Championships, while Alabama State won the Southwestern Athletic Conference Championship.

Key Factors to Consider

• St. Francis has shown resilience in close games, winning three NEC Championship games by three points each. Alabama State has strong scoring with CJ Hines leading at 14.4 points per game.
• There is no recent head-to-head data between these teams.
• No significant injury reports are available for either team.
• The game is part of the NCAA Tournament, which can bring additional pressure and motivation.
• Both teams are highly motivated, with St. Francis seeking its first NCAA Tournament win since 1991 and Alabama State aiming to break its NCAA Tournament losing streak.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Alabama State Hornets to win.

Predicted Score: Alabama St Hornets 73, St. Francis (PA) Red Flash 68

Match Analysis: Central Connecticut St Blue Devils vs St. Francis (PA) Red Flash – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-11
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Central Connecticut St

Game Overview

Central Connecticut State Blue Devils host St. Francis (PA) Red Flash in a Northeast Conference matchup. The Blue Devils have shown strong form recently, while the Red Flash face challenges in maintaining consistency.

Key Factors to Consider

• Central Connecticut State has been performing well, with recent wins against several NEC opponents. St. Francis (PA) has struggled to maintain consistency throughout the season.
• In their previous matchup, Central Connecticut State won 74-59 at St. Francis U, showcasing their ability to dominate on the road.
• No significant injuries reported for either team.
• Home advantage could play a significant role for Central Connecticut State, as they have shown strong performance in their home games.
• Both teams are motivated to secure better standings in the NEC, but Central Connecticut State's recent form suggests higher motivation to maintain their winning streak.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Central Connecticut State Blue Devils are likely to win this matchup.

Predicted Score: Central Connecticut State 72, St. Francis (PA) 61