Match Analysis: St. Francis (PA) Red Flash vs Mt. St. Mary's Mountaineers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-12
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: DeGol Arena
Game Overview
The matchup features two struggling teams, St. Francis (PA) Red Flash and Mt. St. Mary's Mountaineers, both sitting at 0-2 on the season. Mt. St. Mary's holds the recent H2H advantage, winning the previous six meetings, including a 66-58 victory last season.
Key Factors to Consider
- Both teams started the season poorly; St. Francis suffered a heavy 104-63 loss, while Mt. St. Mary's lost 73-62. Mt. St. Mary's averages 58 points per game with a moderate 3-point shooting volume led by Luke McEldon, their top scorer with 14.5 PPG.
- Mt. St. Mary's has dominated recent H2H matchups, winning six straight against St. Francis (PA), including the last encounter by an 8-point margin.
- No significant injuries reported for either team impacting the starting lineups or key contributors.
- Home court advantage for St. Francis (PA) at DeGol Arena could slightly mitigate Mt. St. Mary's historical dominance, but recent form favors the visitors.
- Both teams are motivated to secure their first win of the season; however, Mt. St. Mary's slight edge in confidence from previous H2H success and balanced scoring provides a psychological advantage.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: +198, away: -250 | Mt. St. Mary's Mountaineers | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Spread | home: +5.5 -110, away: -5.5 -110 | Mt. St. Mary's Mountaineers -5.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | over: 149.5 -106, under: 149.5 -118 | Under 149.5 | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mt. St. Mary's Mountaineers 2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 149.5 11% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 149.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers moneyline win, Mt. St. Mary's -5.5 on spread, Under 149.5 total points
Predicted Score: Mt. St. Mary's 72 – St. Francis (PA) 64