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Nacional vs. Sporting Lisbon Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Nacional vs Sporting Lisbon – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio da Madeira, Funchal, Portugal

Game Overview

Sporting Lisbon currently top the Primeira Liga table with perfect form, having won their opening two matches with a dominant goal difference of 8-0. Nacional are struggling near the bottom with only one point from two games and have yet to secure a win this season. Historically, Sporting have a strong record against Nacional, winning 90% of recent encounters.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sporting Lisbon have shown impressive offensive and defensive form, scoring 8 goals and conceding none in the first two matches. Nacional have struggled offensively and defensively, scoring only one goal while conceding three.
  • Sporting Lisbon have a dominant recent record over Nacional, including a 2-0 victory in their last encounter and multiple wins in their last ten meetings.
  • Nacional have significant absences, including Brazilian forward Isaac and defender Miguel Baeza, potentially weakening their attack and defense. Sporting Lisbon reportedly have no major injury concerns affecting their starting lineup.
  • The match takes place at Estadio da Madeira, home to Nacional, but their poor recent home form and Sporting’s superior overall quality and momentum mitigate home advantage.
  • Sporting Lisbon are motivated to maintain their perfect start and reinforce their status as title contenders, while Nacional fight to find their first win and improve morale.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Nacional: 875, Sporting Lisbon: -385, Draw: 500 Sporting Lisbon ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Nacional +1.75: -122, Sporting Lisbon -1.75: 102 Sporting Lisbon -1.75 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 3: -120, Under 3: 100 Over 3 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sporting Lisbon -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sporting Lisbon to win outright (Moneyline), with a spread cover of -1.75 goals and over 3 total goals scored

Predicted Score: 0-3


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Sporting Lisbon vs. Arouca Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sporting Lisbon vs Arouca – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-17
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon

Game Overview

Sporting Lisbon faces Arouca in the Portuguese Primeira Liga matchday 2, both teams coming off opening wins. Sporting shows strong form and home advantage, while Arouca is competitive but a clear underdog.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sporting won their first match 2-0 with solid defense; currently in good form with home advantage. Arouca won 3-1 but has weaker defense and inconsistent recent results.
  • Sporting has historically dominated Arouca with a strong winning record, reflecting a significant skill and quality gap between the clubs.
  • No major injuries reported for Sporting; Arouca’s squad appears mostly fit with no key absences affecting the lineup.
  • Match played at Sporting's home stadium provides tactical and psychological advantage. No significant external disruptions or weather concerns expected.
  • Sporting aims to consolidate early momentum and climb the table; Arouca motivated to prove competitive but underdogs likely to focus on defensive solidity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sporting Lisbon -375, Draw +475, Arouca +850 Sporting Lisbon ★★★★☆ 84%
Spread Sporting Lisbon -1.5 -120, Arouca +1.5 +100 Sporting Lisbon -1.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 3 -105, Under 3 -115 Under 3 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sporting Lisbon -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3 22%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sporting Lisbon to win on the moneyline, covering the -1.5 spread, with the match going under 3 goals.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Casa Pia vs. Sporting Lisbon Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Casa Pia vs Sporting Lisbon – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-08
  • Time: 7:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Pina Manique, Lisbon, Portugal

Game Overview

Sporting Lisbon is the clear favorite away against Casa Pia, a team with a poor recent record. Sporting has been dominant historically and maintains a strong form, while Casa Pia has struggled both head-to-head and in the league.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sporting Lisbon has won 80% of their last 10 matches and remained unbeaten in 94% of their last 33 league games. Casa Pia has not won in 8 of their last 9 Primeira Liga matches.
  • In the last 7 encounters, Sporting Lisbon has won all 7 matches against Casa Pia with no draws or Casa Pia wins. Over 1.5 goals occurred in 100% of these meetings.
  • No significant injuries reported for either squad affecting key starters, maintaining standard lineup strength.
  • The match is played at Casa Pia's home ground, but given their poor home form and Sporting's strong away record, venue advantage is minimal.
  • Sporting Lisbon is motivated to continue their strong league start and extend their winning streak, while Casa Pia aims to avoid relegation struggles and secure points early.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Casa Pia 8.50, Sporting Lisbon -3.30, Draw 4.30 Sporting Lisbon ★★★★☆ 83%
Spread Casa Pia +1.5 -115, Sporting Lisbon -1.5 -105 Sporting Lisbon -1.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 2.75 -112, Under 2.75 -108 Over 2.75 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sporting Lisbon -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 29%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sporting Lisbon to win outright (moneyline), covering the -1.5 spread, with an expectation of over 2.75 total goals scored.

Predicted Score: 1-3


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – August 8, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – August 8, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Casa Pia vs. Sporting Lisbon Prediction Over 2.75 -112 29%
Birmingham City vs. Ipswich Town Prediction Birmingham City 147 20%
Fortuna Sittard vs. Go Ahead Eagles Prediction Fortuna Sittard 170 14%

Combined Odds: +1162 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $252.47

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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – August 8, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Casa Pia vs. Sporting Lisbon Prediction Sporting Lisbon -1.5 -105 ★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Fortuna Sittard vs. Go Ahead Eagles Prediction Draw Win 235 ★★★☆☆ 65% (65%)
Birmingham City vs. Ipswich Town Prediction Draw Win 215 ★★★☆☆ 60% (60%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +1960

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $412.05

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Sporting Lisbon vs. Vitória SC Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sporting Lisbon vs Vitória SC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-17
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: José Alvalade Stadium, Lisbon

Game Overview

The upcoming Primeira Liga match features Sporting Lisbon hosting Vitória SC at the José Alvalade Stadium. Sporting Lisbon have been historically dominant against Vitória SC, especially at home, and enter as strong favorites. The matches between these teams typically yield close to 3 goals on average, suggesting an open game with scoring opportunities for both sides.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sporting Lisbon have a strong record with 24 wins in their last 39 meetings with Vitória SC, including many at home where they have won 12 of 17 matches. Vitória SC have shown resilience with five away wins this season, but overall have a weaker goal scoring and defensive record compared to Sporting. Sporting scores on average 1.94 goals per home game versus Vitória’s 0.71 goals per away game, with Sporting conceding less frequently.
  • In total head-to-head encounters, Sporting have won 34 matches, Vitória SC 6, and 12 ended in draws. The average goals per match is about 2.87, reflecting relatively high-scoring affairs. Sporting's dominance is stronger at home with a large margin of victories and goal differences favoring them significantly.
  • No specific injury data is available for either team at this time, suggesting squads may be near full strength for the encounter.
  • The home advantage at José Alvalade Stadium generally favors Sporting Lisbon due to strong fan support and familiar conditions. Weather and pitch conditions are not indicated to impact gameplay significantly.
  • Sporting Lisbon, likely competing for the top position or European spots, have more motivation to secure a decisive home victory. Vitória SC, while competitive, often play conservatively away, aiming to limit damage and capitalize on counter-attacks.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sporting Lisbon: -385, Vitória SC: 1000, Draw: 460 Sporting Lisbon Win ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Sporting Lisbon -1.75: 102, Vitória SC +1.75: -122 Sporting Lisbon to cover -1.75 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.75: -122, Under 2.75: 102 Over 2.75 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sporting Lisbon -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sporting Lisbon are predicted to win comfortably given their superior home form, head-to-head record, and odds. Vitória SC may struggle to score but could contain to reduce the margin.

Predicted Score: 3-1


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Benfica vs. Sporting Lisbon Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Benfica vs Sporting Lisbon – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio da Luz

Game Overview

Benfica and Sporting Lisbon are set to face off in a crucial Primeira Liga match. Both teams are well-known for their rivalry and consistently competitive performances. Benfica is currently strong, having won more head-to-heads historically and maintaining a consistent form this season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Benfica has shown strong performance in the league, maintaining a high position. Sporting CP is also in good form but trails slightly behind Benfica overall.
  • Historically, Benfica has a slight edge over Sporting CP with 28 wins to 20. However, recent matches have seen both teams draw frequently.
  • No significant injury updates were found for either team.
  • The match could be influenced by home advantage and crowd support for Benfica, but Sporting CP has been strong on away fixtures.
  • Both teams are highly motivated given the competitive nature of the league and their historical rivalry.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Benfica 115, Sporting Lisbon 225, Draw 230 Benfica to win or draw ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Benfica -0.25 -112, Sporting Lisbon 25 -108 Benfica to cover the spread ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 2.75 -112, Under 2.75 -108 Over 2.75 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Benfica -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Benfica is likely to win or draw given their historical advantage and home support. However, Sporting CP’s recent form could lead to a competitive match.

Predicted Score: 2-1 in favor of Benfica


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Sporting Lisbon vs. Gil Vicente Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sporting Lisbon vs Gil Vicente – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-04
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio José Alvalade

Game Overview

This match pits one of the strongest teams in the Primeira Liga, Sporting Lisbon, against a mid-table contender, Gil Vicente. Sporting Lisbon is known for its consistent form and strong home performances, while Gil Vicente has shown resilience on the road.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sporting Lisbon has been in good form in Liga Portugal, winning 12 home games at Estádio José Alvalade. Gil Vicente has also been performing well, winning three away games.
  • Historically, Sporting Lisbon has dominated this fixture, winning 24 out of 35 matches with Gil Vicente. The average goals scored in these matches are about 2.86 per game.
  • No specific injury reports mentioned.
  • Both teams are likely to be motivated for different reasons: Sporting for maintaining or improving their league position, and Gil Vicente for securing points that could improve their standing.
  • Sporting Lisbon will be highly motivated to secure a win at home to maintain their strong league position, while Gil Vicente may be looking for an upset to improve their standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sporting Lisbon: -800, Gil Vicente: 1900, Draw: 700 Sporting Lisbon win ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Sporting Lisbon: -2.25 -108, Gil Vicente: 2.25 -112 Sporting Lisbon to cover -2.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 3: -125, Under 3: 105 Over 3 goals ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sporting Lisbon -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Sporting Lisbon is likely to win given their strong home form and historical dominance over Gil Vicente.

Predicted Score: 3-0


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Boavista Porto vs. Sporting Lisbon Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Boavista Porto vs Sporting Lisbon – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-27
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio do Bessa Século XXI, Porto

Game Overview

This is a critical Liga Portugal match between Boavista Porto, currently ranked 17th, and league leaders Sporting Lisbon, who are at the top of the table.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Boavista Porto has struggled this season, with a high loss rate at home, while Sporting Lisbon boasts an impressive win record.
  • Sporting Lisbon has historically dominated Boavista, winning 83% of their last six matches.
  • No specific information about key injuries is available for this match.
  • No significant external factors are noted that could impact the match outcome.
  • Sporting Lisbon's motivation to maintain their league lead could give them an edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Boavista Porto: 1100, Sporting Lisbon: -460, Draw: 500 Sporting Lisbon win ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread Boavista Porto: 1.75 -105, Sporting Lisbon: -1.75 -115 Sporting Lisbon covers the spread ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over: 3 -105, Under: 3 -115 Over 3 goals ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sporting Lisbon 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sporting Lisbon is strongly favored to win this match based on past performances and current standings.

Predicted Score: 1-3 to Sporting Lisbon


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Sporting Lisbon vs. Braga Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sporting Lisbon vs Braga – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-07
  • Time: 7:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon, Portugal

Game Overview

This highly anticipated match between Sporting Lisbon and Braga is a crucial fixture in the Primeira Liga. Sporting Lisbon, currently leading the league, faces Braga, who are in fourth place. Both teams are in excellent form, with Sporting having a robust home record and Braga showing resilience on the road.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sporting Lisbon have a strong home performance with a significant goal-scoring record, averaging 2.7 goals per match in the league this season. Braga have been consistent in scoring on the road but have faced difficulties in away games recently.
  • Historically, Sporting Lisbon has dominated Braga, especially at home. The two teams have played 45 matches in their history, with Sporting winning 28 times.
  • Sporting Lisbon will miss Morita due to injury, while Braga have injuries affecting Jonatás Noro and Roger Fernandes.
  • No significant weather or crowd-related factors are expected to impact the match.
  • Both teams are highly motivated, with Sporting aiming to maintain their league lead and Braga seeking to solidify their position in the top four.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence EV Pick
Moneyline Sporting Lisbon: -195, Braga: 500, Draw: 310 Sporting Lisbon win Not available Sporting Lisbon win -100%
Spread Braga: 1 -102, Sporting Lisbon: -1 -118 Sporting Lisbon cover Not available Sporting Lisbon cover -100%
Over_under Over 2.75: -108, Under 2.75: -112 Over 2.75 goals Not available Over 2.75 goals -100%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sporting Lisbon -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Sporting Lisbon's dominant home form and Braga's inconsistent away performances, Sporting Lisbon is likely to win.

Predicted Score: Sporting Lisbon 3-2 Braga


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