Match Analysis: Santa Clara vs Sporting Lisbon – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-08
• Time: 8:30 PM UTC
• Location: Estádio de São Miguel

Game Overview

Santa Clara hosts Sporting Lisbon in the Portugal Primeira Liga Round 11 match. Sporting Lisbon enters as the clear favorite given their dominant historical and recent form. Santa Clara has struggled historically against Sporting and recently on home ground, whereas Sporting has shown strong away form and consistent performance in the league.

Key Factors to Consider

• Sporting Lisbon is unbeaten in their latest Liga Portugal runs with 3 wins and 1 loss overall, scoring an average of 2.0 goals per game and conceding 0.6 recently. Santa Clara has underperformed with 0 wins and 1 draw in their last 3 matches, scoring under 1 goal per game and conceding over 0.7 goals per match on average at home.
• In 14 meetings since 2018, Sporting Lisbon leads with 12 wins against Santa Clara's 2, no draws. Sporting averages 2 goals scored per game and concedes 0.71; Santa Clara averages 0.71 goals scored with 2 goals conceded. Their dominance is clear across multiple seasons.
• Santa Clara will miss Pedro Pacheco due to injury. Sporting Lisbon is without Daniel Braganca and Nuno Santos, both injured. These absences marginally impact squad depth but Sporting maintains stronger overall quality.
• Match venue is Estádio de São Miguel, Santa Clara's home ground, but home advantage seems limited given team form and head to head disadvantage. No notable weather or external disruptions reported. Motivational factors such as league positioning favor Sporting who pursue top table consistency.
• Sporting Lisbon seeks to maintain their unbeaten run and strengthen title contention. Santa Clara aims to improve league standing and break poor streaks versus Sporting at home.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Sporting Lisbon to win, likely with a clean sheet given Santa Clara's defensive vulnerabilities at home and Sporting's efficient offense.

Predicted Score: 0-2

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Match Analysis: Sporting Lisbon vs Alverca – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-31
• Time: 8:15 PM UTC
• Location: Estádio José Alvalade

Game Overview

The Portugal Primeira Liga match features Sporting Lisbon hosting Alverca. Sporting Lisbon is the stronger side based on recent form and squad strength, having won 8 league matches this season and showing strong performances in UEFA Champions League and domestic cups. Alverca, while more modest, has had mixed results including a heavy recent 0-4 home loss. Sporting dominates in possession and chance creation, whereas Alverca has shown resilience but limited goal threats against stronger opposition.

Key Factors to Consider

• Sporting Lisbon has been in solid form recently with comprehensive wins including a decisive 3-0 victory at Tondela and a Champions League win against Marseille. Alverca has suffered heavy losses such as 0-4 at home to Gil Vicente and drew some lower-profile cup matches. Sporting's expected goals (xG) are much higher, reflecting more consistent threat creation.
• Historically, Sporting Lisbon and Alverca have played few competitive fixtures against each other. Sporting has won 3, drawn 2, and lost 1 in 6 total encounters. However, the most recent meetings noted Sporting CP has yet to beat Alverca in their last matchup and lost 0-2 at Alverca's ground. Overall, Sporting has the stronger record but recent form suggests a level of caution.
• Sporting Lisbon has key doubts including Daniel Braganca and Nuno Santos with cruciate ligament injuries impacting squad depth. No significant injury reports affecting Alverca were identified.
• Playing at home at Estádio José Alvalade with typically strong fan support heavily favors Sporting Lisbon. The match timing and pitch conditions appear normal without adverse weather or logistical concerns.
• Sporting Lisbon is motivated to maintain their Primeira Liga title challenge and continue positive form before upcoming European fixtures. Alverca, as underdogs, aims to secure points to avoid relegation troubles and prove competitive against top-tier teams.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Sporting Lisbon is favored to win with a high probability considering squad strength, home advantage, and recent form, though Alverca may keep the match competitive and limit the goal margin.

Predicted Score: Sporting Lisbon 3 – 1 Alverca

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Match Analysis: Tondela vs Sporting Lisbon – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-26
• Time: 6:00 PM UTC
• Location: Estádio João Cardoso, Tondela, Portugal

Game Overview

Tondela, sitting 17th in Liga Portugal (Primeira Liga), hosts Sporting CP, who are flying high in 2nd place. Sporting has been in impressive form, winning 4 of their last 6 matches, while Tondela has lost half of their last 6 and is struggling for consistency[1][3]. Sporting has a clear edge in quality, recent results, and historical head-to-head dominance, having won their last 7 encounters and 11 of 16 since 2015[4][5]. Tondela’s task is compounded by their home form—they have yet to win at the João Cardoso this season—while Sporting remains undefeated in 28 of their last 29 league matches[1][4].

Key Factors to Consider

• Tondela averages just 0.5 goals scored per match and concedes 1.75, reflecting a struggling attack and vulnerable defense. Sporting, by contrast, averages 2.5 goals scored and allows just 0.63 per game, highlighting their attacking potency and defensive stability[1]. Sporting has kept 4 clean sheets in recent fixtures, while Tondela has managed only 1[1].
• Sporting leads the head-to-head with 11 wins to Tondela’s 2 in 16 meetings (11-2-3); Sporting has won the last 7 consecutively, including all recent fixtures in both home and away settings[4][5].
• No explicit injury updates are provided in the data, but Tondela’s squad depth is generally weaker than Sporting’s, making injuries potentially more impactful for the home side.
• The match is part of a critical phase of the season, with Sporting chasing Champions League qualification and every point counting for Tondela to avoid relegation. The venue, Estádio João Cardoso, is a modest ground but not typically a fortress for Tondela, who have yet to win there this season[1].
• Sporting will be highly motivated to continue their title challenge, while Tondela is desperate for points but may lack the firepower to trouble a top-tier defense.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Sporting CP is a strong favorite to win, with a high probability of covering the spread and a likelihood of a higher-scoring game. Tondela’s poor home form and scoring woes suggest they are unlikely to trouble Sporting’s defense. However, Sporting’s superior quality, recent form, and historical dominance make them a clear pick.

Predicted Score: 0-3 (Sporting Lisbon win and cover the spread, over 3 goals cashes at 65% confidence)

Match Analysis: Estoril vs Sporting Lisbon – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-27
• Time: 7:30 PM UTC
• Location: Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril, Portugal

Game Overview

The match is a Primeira Liga clash between Estoril, currently 12th in the league, hosting Sporting Lisbon, positioned 2nd. Sporting Lisbon has been dominant historically and recently, scoring prolifically and winning the majority of their encounters against Estoril, including both matches last season with a combined score of 6-1. Estoril has notable defensive vulnerabilities, having conceded many penalties and failing to keep clean sheets in recent matches.

Key Factors to Consider

• Sporting Lisbon has scored 14 goals in their last 5 matches, demonstrating strong offensive form. Estoril has scored 7 goals over the same period but has conceded numerous penalties and shown defensive frailty, failing to secure clean sheets in 6 consecutive matches. Sporting Lisbon also scores a notable percentage of goals in the 61-75 minute window, which might be key in the latter part of the game.
• Out of the last 25 meetings, Sporting Lisbon has won 17, Estoril 5, with 3 draws. Sporting leads with a goal difference of 50-21 in these encounters. In Estoril's home matches during these fixtures, Sporting has still claimed 8 wins out of 13, with Estoril winning only 3 times. Sporting won both meetings last season (3-1 home, 3-0 away).
• No specific injury data was provided by the sources, implying no major reported absences for either side at this time.
• Matches at Estádio António Coimbra da Mota tend to favor Sporting historically. Additionally, Estoril’s defensive issues, including conceding penalties, could exacerbate their challenges against Sporting’s potent attack.
• Sporting Lisbon, aiming to maintain or improve their high league standing, is highly motivated. Estoril, in mid-lower table position, seeks valuable points to climb but faces a tough opponent and recent historical disadvantage.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Sporting Lisbon is predicted to win the match due to superior form, historical dominance, and better offensive and defensive stability.

Predicted Score: 1-3

Match Analysis: Sporting Lisbon vs Moreirense FC – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-22
• Time: 7:15 PM UTC
• Location: Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon, Portugal

Game Overview

Sporting Lisbon currently hold 2nd place in the Portuguese Primeira Liga standings and display strong attacking capabilities with high scoring efficiency. Moreirense FC sit lower in the rankings but have delivered consistent and balanced gameplay. The match is expected to involve Sporting's wing attacks versus Moreirense's counterattacks. Minimal lineup changes are anticipated, maintaining typical tactical approaches from both sides.

Key Factors to Consider

• Sporting Lisbon has been in good form, winning five of their last six meetings against Moreirense. Moreirense has had an impressive start but generally struggle against top teams like Sporting. Sporting is motivated and reinforced by home advantage; Moreirense's recent performances suggest resilience but less firepower.
• Out of 29 matches between these teams, Sporting won 20 times, Moreirense 3 times, with 6 draws. The last encounter ended 3-1 to Sporting at home on April 18, 2025. Sporting dominates possession and shots in these matchups, averaging 2.79 goals per match overall.
• Sporting may miss Daniel Braganca and Nuno Santos (injured), with doubts over Geny Catamo, Ousmane Diomande, and Rui Silva. Zeno Debast is expected back from rest. Moreirense will be without midfielders Rodri Alonso, Lawrence Ofori, and Guilherme Liberato due to fitness issues; Travassos is unavailable against Sporting due to parent club rules.
• The match is at Sporting's home ground, Estádio José Alvalade, providing home advantage. Weather or pitch conditions have not been reported to influence the game. Motivation is high for Sporting as a slip would impact their title challenge against Porto. No other external disruptions reported.
• Sporting Lisbon is highly motivated to consolidate their 2nd place and close the gap to leaders Porto, aiming for maximum points. Moreirense want to prove their ability against top opposition to maintain or improve their position but face a tough challenge away from home.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Sporting Lisbon is expected to win, leveraging their superior form, home advantage, and historical dominance over Moreirense. The prediction favors a decisive home victory, estimating a 3-1 final scoreline.

Predicted Score: 3-1

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Match Analysis: Famalicão vs Sporting Lisbon – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-13
• Time: 7:30 PM UTC
• Location: Estadio Municipal de Famalicao, Vila Nova de Famalicao, Portugal

Game Overview

Famalicão will host Sporting Lisbon in the Portugal Primeira Liga, with Sporting entering as strong favorites due to their superior league standing and historical dominance. The match is set at Famalicão's home ground, where they will attempt to leverage home advantage against a high-quality Sporting side.

Key Factors to Consider

• Sporting Lisbon has had a strong recent season with 19 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, amassing 62 points, while Famalicão struggled with 8 wins, 10 draws, and 8 losses, collecting 34 points. Sporting secured a 3-1 victory against Famalicão in their last meeting this season, indicating a clear quality gap.
• Historically, Sporting has dominated the head-to-head record with 10 wins compared to Famalicão's 2, alongside 3 draws across past encounters. Recent matches reinforce Sporting's dominance.
• No specific injury reports or suspensions are available in the data for this particular match. Both teams are expected to field their strong lineups.
• The match takes place at Famalicão’s stadium, potentially providing a slight home advantage. Weather or other external conditions are not indicated to significantly impact the game.
• Sporting Lisbon is motivated to maintain their high league position and demonstrate superiority as a top club, while Famalicão will seek to improve their standing and stage an upset at home.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Sporting Lisbon is favored to win convincingly based on their superior form, head-to-head results, and quality difference. A win for Sporting is the most probable outcome, with a moderate expectation of goals scored.

Predicted Score: Sporting Lisbon 2 – 0 Famalicão