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Santa Clara vs. Sporting Lisbon Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Santa Clara vs Sporting Lisbon – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de São Miguel

Game Overview

Santa Clara, struggling in recent weeks, hosts title-contending Sporting Lisbon, who are in strong domestic and European form. Sporting are clear favorites, but Santa Clara have historically performed better at home and could frustrate the visitors.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Santa Clara lost 1-0 to Gil Vicente in their last match, demonstrating continued struggles to convert chances. They dominated possession (62%) but only managed 4 shots on target, indicative of offensive inefficiency[2]. Sporting CP are in excellent domestic form, riding a five-game road winning streak in the league, and recently drew 1-1 away to Juventus in the Champions League, underscoring their readiness for tough matches[2].
  • Historically, Sporting have dominated this fixture: 15 matches played, 13 Sporting wins, 2 Santa Clara wins, 0 draws. Average goals: 2.6 per game, with more action in the second half[1]. The last meeting between these teams in April 2025 ended 0-1 in favor of Sporting, with Santa Clara having only 36% possession and 1 shot on target[1].
  • No significant injury reports for either side based on available data.
  • No major external factors reported; normal conditions expected.
  • Santa Clara are desperate for points at home to avoid a relegation battle, while Sporting are motivated to keep pace at the top of the table.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Santa Clara: +700, Sporting Lisbon: -250, Draw: +340 Sporting Lisbon ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Santa Clara +1.25 (-125), Sporting Lisbon -1.25 (+105) Santa Clara +1.25 ★★★☆☆ 63%
Over/under Over 2.25 (-125), Under 2.25 (+105) Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sporting Lisbon 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sporting Lisbon will control possession and create more chances, but Santa Clara will defend resolutely, leading to a lower-scoring game than recent H2H encounters. Sporting are likely to win, but a heavy victory is far from certain.

Predicted Score: 0-1


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Sporting Lisbon vs. Alverca Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sporting Lisbon vs Alverca – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-31
  • Time: 8:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio José Alvalade

Game Overview

Sporting Lisbon, a top-tier Primeira Liga side with solid recent form and home advantage, faces Alverca, a lower-ranked team with mixed recent results and a heavy recent loss.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sporting Lisbon holds strong form, including a 3-0 away win at Tondela and a 2-1 home win versus Marseille in the Champions League, demonstrating good offensive and defensive balance. Alverca suffered a heavy 0-4 home defeat to Gil Vicente but managed some wins earlier in the season.
  • Historically, Sporting Lisbon holds a superior record (3 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss) versus Alverca across multiple meetings, but Sporting has not won the last official match at home, losing 0-2 to Alverca recently. However, Sporting's squad quality and overall performances remain stronger.
  • Sporting Lisbon has key injuries with Daniel Braganca and Nuno Santos doubtful due to cruciate ligament issues, but overall squad depth mitigates impact. No notable injury data reported for Alverca.
  • Match at Sporting's home ground with favorable conditions; psychological edge due to recent Champions League successes. No significant external disruptions noted.
  • Sporting Lisbon highly motivated to maintain domestic league dominance and recover from previous cup loss to Alverca by leveraging squad strength at home. Alverca’s motivation is to secure points but recent heavy loss impacts confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sporting Lisbon: -1028, Alverca: 1971, Draw: 896 Sporting Lisbon ★★★★☆ 87%
Spread Sporting Lisbon -2.5: -114, Alverca +2.5: -116 Sporting Lisbon -2.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 3.5: -109, Under 3.5: -121 Under 3.5 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sporting Lisbon -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.5 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sporting Lisbon to win on moneyline and cover the -2.5 spread; game likely to be moderately high scoring but under 3.5 goals.

Predicted Score: 3-0


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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – October 31, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Sporting Lisbon vs. Alverca Prediction Sporting Lisbon -2.5 -114 ★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Getafe vs. Girona Prediction Getafe Win 115 ★★★★☆ 74% (74%)
Wrexham AFC vs. Coventry City Prediction Wrexham AFC Win 265 ★★★☆☆ 68% (68%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +1373

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $294.63

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Tondela vs. Sporting Lisbon Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Tondela vs Sporting Lisbon – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-26
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio João Cardoso

Game Overview

Sporting Lisbon, currently 2nd in the Primeira Liga with 19 points, hosts struggling Tondela who sit 17th with 5 points. Sporting has a strong away record this season, while Tondela has been poor at home and overall. The quality gap and form clearly favor Sporting Lisbon.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sporting Lisbon maintains a high win rate (around 66% in recent away matches), showcasing consistent attacking and defensive solidity, whereas Tondela has managed only 2 wins out of 16 historical meetings and currently endures poor form at home with no recent wins.
  • Out of 16 matches between them, Sporting has won 11 (69%), Tondela 2 (13%), with 3 draws (18%), indicating a clear historical dominance by Sporting Lisbon.
  • No significant injuries reported for either side that would materially affect expected performance.
  • No known external or weather factors impacting the match. The game is at Tondela's home ground but their weak home performance limits home advantage effect.
  • Sporting Lisbon aims to consolidate their position near the top of the league and is motivated by strong title contention, whereas Tondela faces relegation danger and will be desperate to gain points but lacks quality.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +875, draw: +500, away: -390 away ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread sporting_minus_1.75: -102, tondela_plus_1.75: -118 sporting -1.75 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over_3: -118, under_3: -102 under 3 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sporting Lisbon 631%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sporting Lisbon at 631% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 72.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sporting Lisbon will win comfortably, keeping a clean sheet, in a low-scoring game under 3 goals.

Predicted Score: 0-2


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Estoril vs. Sporting Lisbon Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Estoril vs Sporting Lisbon – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: António Coimbra da Mota Stadium

Game Overview

Sporting Lisbon, sitting 2nd in the Primeira Liga with 15 points, faces struggling Estoril, 12th with 5 points after 6 matches. Sporting shows strong form with 5 wins in 6 and flawless away record, while Estoril has defensive vulnerabilities and inconsistent performances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sporting Lisbon boasts 5 wins, 1 defeat, scoring 18 and conceding 4 goals; Estoril managed 1 win, 2 draws, 3 losses, scoring 8 and conceding 10, highlighting a marked gap in quality and consistency.
  • Sporting Lisbon has won all last five encounters against Estoril, including a 3-1 win in their most recent meeting, indicating historical dominance.
  • No significant injury reports for key players on either side detected, implying lineups expected to be close to full strength.
  • Match played at Estoril’s home ground may provide some home advantage, but Sporting’s proven away strength mitigates this factor.
  • Sporting seeks to consolidate their high league position and continue strong form; Estoril aims to improve from a poor start but faces a tough challenge against a motivated top contender.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +675, away: -310, draw: +450 Sporting Lisbon ★★★★☆ 79%
Spread home: -115, away: -109 Sporting Lisbon -1.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under over: -113, under: -115 Under 3 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sporting Lisbon -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sporting Lisbon moneyline win; Sporting -1.5 spreads; Under 3 goals

Predicted Score: 0-2


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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – September 27, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Estoril vs. Sporting Lisbon Prediction Sporting Lisbon Win -310 ★★★★☆ 79% (79%)
Lorient vs. AS Monaco Prediction AS Monaco Win -168 ★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Santa Clara vs. Tondela Prediction Santa Clara Win -145 ★★★★☆ 78% (78%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +256

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $71.3

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Sporting Lisbon vs. Moreirense FC Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sporting Lisbon vs Moreirense FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-22
  • Time: 7:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon, Portugal

Game Overview

Sporting Lisbon hosts Moreirense FC in a pivotal Primeira Liga clash where both teams have similar points but Sporting holds a better goal difference and home advantage, making them strong favorites.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sporting Lisbon are in excellent form with 4 wins out of 5 recent matches, strong home performance, and a solid defense having conceded only 4 goals this season. Moreirense shows competitive form as well but less potency on the road.
  • Sporting dominates historically with 20 wins in 29 meetings and 4 of last 5 wins by more than one goal. The last meeting ended 3-1 in Sporting's favor with superior possession and shots on target.
  • Minimal lineup changes expected for both sides with no major injury concerns reported, allowing usual tactics to be executed effectively.
  • The match is at Sporting's home stadium offering them a strong home crowd advantage and familiar conditions.
  • Both teams have equal points aiming to climb the Primeira Liga standings, but Sporting's motivation is stronger to consolidate top positions and maintain home dominance.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sporting Lisbon: -575, Moreirense FC: 1200, Draw: 625 Sporting Lisbon ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Sporting Lisbon -2: 100, Moreirense +2: -120 Sporting Lisbon -2 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 3: -108, Under 3: -112 Over 3 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sporting Lisbon -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 25%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sporting Lisbon to win outright on the moneyline, cover the -2 spread, and the match to produce over 3 goals.

Predicted Score: 3-1


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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – September 22, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Sporting Lisbon vs. Moreirense FC Prediction Sporting Lisbon -2 100 ★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Napoli vs. Pisa Prediction Napoli -1.5 -125 ★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Millwall vs. Watford Prediction Millwall Win 104 ★★★☆☆ 68% (68%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +634

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $146.88

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Famalicão vs. Sporting Lisbon Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Famalicão vs Sporting Lisbon – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho

Game Overview

Famalicão, currently second in the Primeira Liga with 10 points from 4 matches, hosts Sporting Lisbon, third with 9 points, in a highly competitive fixture. Sporting have a strong away record but Famalicão boasts an impressive defensive form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Famalicão has not conceded in their last 4 matches and sits second with solid defensive stats. Sporting Lisbon has a near-perfect away record scoring 3.00 goals per game and conceding 0.50 on average.
  • Recent encounters favor Sporting Lisbon due to superior experience and attacking prowess, but Famalicão's home form and defense make this a closely contested match.
  • No critical injuries reported for either team; squads appear near full strength.
  • Match is at Famalicão's home stadium, offering them some advantage. No significant weather or travel issues reported.
  • Both teams are highly motivated with top-table positions and close points, increasing competitive intensity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Famalicão: +600, Sporting Lisbon: -235, Draw: +355 Sporting Lisbon ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Famalicão +1.25 -120, Sporting Lisbon -1.25 +100 Sporting Lisbon -1.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.75 +102, Under 2.75 -122 Over 2.75 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sporting Lisbon -14%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sporting Lisbon to win on the moneyline, Sporting to cover the -1.25 spread, and Over 2.75 goals in total.

Predicted Score: 1-3


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Sporting Lisbon vs. FC Porto Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sporting Lisbon vs FC Porto – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-30
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio José Alvalade

Game Overview

This Portugal Primeira Liga clash features Sporting Lisbon hosting FC Porto in a highly competitive fixture with both teams demonstrating strong defensive records and consistent recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sporting Lisbon have scored in 20 consecutive Liga NOS matches and maintained a solid defense, conceding 1 or less in their last 12 outings; FC Porto have kept clean sheets in their last four league games and also boast a strong offensive performance.
  • The last three meetings at this venue finished with under 2.5 goals and closely contested matches; recent H2H trends favor low-scoring, tight games.
  • No major injury concerns noted for either team; both lineups appear near full strength.
  • The match is played at Sporting's home ground in Lisbon, giving them slight home advantage; no unusual external factors impact performance.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to establish early dominance in the league, adding competitive edge without clear favoritism beyond home advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sporting Lisbon: 108, FC Porto: 235, Draw: 250 Sporting Lisbon ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Sporting Lisbon: -122, FC Porto: 102 Sporting Lisbon -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5: -118, Under 2.5: -102 Under 2.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sporting Lisbon 16%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sporting Lisbon to win on the moneyline, Sporting Lisbon -0.25 on the spread, and Under 2.5 goals in the over/under market.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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