Match Analysis: Palmeiras-SP vs Sporting Cristal – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-05-29
• Time: 12:30 AM UTC
• Location: Allianz Parque, São Paulo, Brazil

Game Overview

Palmeiras-SP faces Sporting Cristal in a crucial CONMEBOL Copa Libertadores Group G clash. Palmeiras currently leads Group G, while Sporting Cristal is at the bottom. With strong recent form, Palmeiras is favored to win at home, having won several matches in succession and dominating previous head-to-head encounters[4][3][5].

Key Factors to Consider

• Palmeiras-SP is in exceptional form, having won all recent matches in Copa Libertadores and domestic leagues. Sporting Cristal has struggled both defensively and in converting chances, as reflected by their group position and performance[4][3].
• Recent head-to-head data shows Palmeiras-SP won the previous encounter 3-2 and has generally dominated Sporting Cristal in competitive play[5][3].
• No major injuries have been reported for either team ahead of the match. Both sides are expected to field near full-strength lineups.
• The match will be played at Allianz Parque, a venue where Palmeiras enjoys a strong home advantage. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be optimal[3][4].
• Palmeiras is motivated to secure top spot in the group, while Sporting Cristal is playing for pride and avoiding bottom place. Home crowd and momentum are significant for Palmeiras[3][4].

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Palmeiras-SP: -500, Sporting Cristal: 1300, Draw: 500	Palmeiras-SP Win	★★★★★ 90%
Spread	Palmeiras-SP: -1.75 -125, Sporting Cristal: 1.75 -105	Palmeiras-SP Covers Spread	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	Over: 2.75 -125, Under: 2.75 -105	Over 2.75 Goals	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Palmeiras-SP 2%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.75 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Palmeiras-SP is highly likely to win by a margin of two or more goals, given their recent form, home advantage, and Sporting Cristal's defensive frailties. Expect a high-scoring game with Palmeiras controlling possession and creating multiple chances.

Predicted Score: 3-1 (Palmeiras-SP Win)

Match Analysis: Sporting Cristal vs Cerro Porteño – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-05-14
• Time: 12:30 AM UTC
• Location: Estadio Alberto Gallardo, Lima, Peru

Game Overview

The match between Sporting Cristal and Cerro Porteño is crucial for both teams as they aim to secure a favorable position in Group G of the 2025 CONMEBOL Copa Libertadores.

Key Factors to Consider

• Sporting Cristal currently ranks third with six goals scored, while Cerro Porteño ranks second, having a strong record away from home. Both teams have shown resilience in their previous matches.
• The latest head-to-head match saw Cerro Porteño win against Sporting Cristal on April 25, 2025, with goals from F. Carrizo and others. This gives Cerro Porteño a psychological edge.
• No specific injuries reported for either team.
• The match will be played at Sporting Cristal's home ground, which might give them an advantage. Cerro Porteño, however, has been consistent in their away performances.
• Both teams are highly motivated to win and improve their standings in the group.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Cerro Porteño: 170, Sporting Cristal: 155, Draw: 215	Sporting Cristal	★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread	Cerro Porteño: 0 -110, Sporting Cristal: 0 -120	Sporting Cristal	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under	Over: 2.5 -108, Under: 2.5 -122	Over	★★★☆☆ 50%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Sporting Cristal 35%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 0%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sporting Cristal at 35% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the recent performance and the home advantage, Sporting Cristal might have a slight edge. However, Cerro Porteño's recent win against Sporting Cristal makes them a strong contender.

Predicted Score: 2-1 in favor of Sporting Cristal

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – May 13, 2025

Game	Pick	Odds	EV
Sporting Cristal vs. Cerro Porteño Prediction	Sporting Cristal	155	35%
Real Sociedad vs. Celta Vigo Prediction	Real Sociedad	170	22%
Sunderland vs. Coventry City Prediction	Under 2.5	-122	13%

Combined Odds: +1153 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $250.57

Match Analysis: Sporting Cristal vs Club Bolívar – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-05-08
• Time: 2:00 AM UTC
• Location: Estadio Alberto Gallardo, Lima, Peru

Game Overview

Sporting Cristal hosts Club Bolívar in a critical CONMEBOL Libertadores Group G match. Bolívar holds a recent win advantage, defeating Sporting Cristal 3-0 on April 10. Sporting Cristal, however, typically performs well at home.

Key Factors to Consider

• Sporting Cristal has shown mixed results lately, while Bolívar seeks to continue their winning momentum.
• Bolívar recently beat Sporting Cristal 3-0, but Sporting Cristal has a strong home record.
• No significant injury reports are available for either team.
• The home crowd could give Sporting Cristal an edge.
• Both teams are highly motivated as they compete for group stage advancement.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Sporting Cristal: 110, Bolívar: 225, Draw: 250	Sporting Cristal for the win, given home field advantage.	★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread	Sporting Cristal: -0.25 (-125), Bolívar: 25 (-105)	Bolívar might keep it close, so lean towards Bolívar on the spread.	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under	Over 3 (-105), Under 3 (-125)	Under 3 goals, considering Sporting Cristal's recent defensive efforts.	★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Sporting Cristal -6%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 3 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Sporting Cristal's home advantage and recent performance, they are likely to push for a win, but Bolívar's momentum could cause them to struggle.

Predicted Score: 2-1 Sporting Cristal

Match Analysis: Cerro Porteño vs Sporting Cristal – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-24
• Time: 12:30 AM UTC
• Location: Estadio la Nueva Olla

Game Overview

Crucial Group G match where Cerro Porteño seeks to extend their unbeaten home run in Libertadores (6 games), while Sporting Cristal aims to overcome historical struggles against the hosts.

Key Factors to Consider

• Cerro Porteño recently regained confidence with a league win, while Sporting Cristal arrives with potential injury concerns[1]. Cerro boasts a formidable home record (4W-2D in last 6 Libertadores home matches)[4].
• Cerro Porteño remains undefeated in Libertadores against Cristal (2W-2D), including a 1-0 home win in 2023[4]. Historical dominance includes a 5-0 victory in 1973[4].
• Sporting Cristal reportedly arrives 'herido' (injured/wounded)[1], though specific player absences aren't detailed.
• Cerro's recent league struggles contrast with their Copa focus after exiting Apertura title race[1]. Cristal becomes the 10th team to reach 250 Libertadores matches[4].
• High stakes for group positioning, with Cerro needing home wins and Cristal seeking to prove continental pedigree.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	CER: -135 | SCR: 370 | Draw: 255	Cerro Porteño Moneyline	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	CER -0.75 (-108) | SCR +75 (-122)	Cerro Porteño -0.75	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.25 (-108) | Under 2.25 (-122)	Under 2.25 Goals	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Cerro Porteño 1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.25 0%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Cerro Porteño at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Home advantage and historical dominance favor Cerro Porteño in a tight match, though goal difference suggests defensive caution.

Predicted Score: 1-0 (Cerro Porteño)

Match Analysis: Club Bolívar vs Sporting Cristal – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-09
• Time: 12:30 AM UTC
• Location: Estadio Hernando Siles, La Paz, Bolivia

Game Overview

This match between Club Bolívar and Sporting Cristal is crucial in the Copa Libertadores 2025, as both teams are seeking their first win after losing in the first round. Bolívar has the advantage of playing at home in La Paz, a city known for its high altitude, which can pose challenges for visiting teams.

Key Factors to Consider

• Both teams are motivated to secure a win after their losses in the first round. Bolívar, coming from a 4-2 loss to Cerro Porteño, may face challenges due to the recent performance. Sporting Cristal, having lost 3-2 to Palmeiras, will seek to capitalize on their ability to score, despite conceding more goals.
• There's limited recent head-to-head data available for these two teams, but Bolívar's home advantage and Sporting Cristal's determination to bounce back will be key.
• No specific injury updates are available for this match.
• The high altitude of La Paz could affect Sporting Cristal's performance due to its strenuous conditions for visiting teams.
• Both teams are highly motivated to win, as losing would put significant pressure on their chances to advance.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence	EV Pick

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Club Bolívar 420%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 3.5 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Club Bolívar at 420% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 60% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on the odds and factors, Club Bolívar is favored to win due to home advantage and Sporting Cristal's recent performance.

Predicted Score: 2-1 to Club Bolívar

Match Analysis: Sporting Cristal vs Palmeiras-SP – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-03
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: Estadio Nacional de Lima, Lima, Peru

Game Overview

Sporting Cristal hosts Palmeiras in the CONMEBOL Copa Libertadores, a match where Palmeiras is favored due to their overall strength and recent form, despite some mixed results in away games.

Key Factors to Consider

• Palmeiras has shown mixed form away from home, while Sporting Cristal has been motivated by recent wins. However, Palmeiras generally holds an edge in talent and depth.
• The head-to-head record shows both teams have won once each in their past two meetings, indicating a competitive match.
• Palmeiras has several key injuries, including Bruno Rafael, Gustavo Gómez, and others, which could impact their performance.
• The Estadio Nacional de Lima crowd could give Sporting Cristal an advantage, but Palmeiras's experience in big games might offset this.
• Both teams are highly motivated as they seek to advance in the Copa Libertadores.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-185 for Palmeiras, 475 for Sporting Cristal, 300 for Draw	Palmeiras	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	-1 for Palmeiras at -112	Palmeiras -1	★★★☆☆ 50%
Over_under	Over 2.5 at -120, Under 2.5 at -110	Over 2.5	★★★☆☆ 55%

Predicted Outcome

Palmeiras is likely to win based on their overall strength and experience despite recent away form issues.

Predicted Score: 2-1 in favor of Palmeiras

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Deportivo Táchira vs. Flamengo	Flamengo-RJ Win	-230	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Sporting Cristal vs. Palmeiras	Palmeiras-SP Win	-185	★★★☆☆ 65% (65%)
Chelsea vs. Tottenham Hotspur Prediction	Chelsea Win	-160	★★★☆☆ 60% (60%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +259

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $71.84