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Cerro Porteño vs. Sporting Cristal Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Cerro Porteño vs Sporting Cristal – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-24
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Estadio la Nueva Olla

Game Overview

Crucial Group G match where Cerro Porteño seeks to extend their unbeaten home run in Libertadores (6 games), while Sporting Cristal aims to overcome historical struggles against the hosts.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cerro Porteño recently regained confidence with a league win, while Sporting Cristal arrives with potential injury concerns[1]. Cerro boasts a formidable home record (4W-2D in last 6 Libertadores home matches)[4].
  • Cerro Porteño remains undefeated in Libertadores against Cristal (2W-2D), including a 1-0 home win in 2023[4]. Historical dominance includes a 5-0 victory in 1973[4].
  • Sporting Cristal reportedly arrives 'herido' (injured/wounded)[1], though specific player absences aren't detailed.
  • Cerro's recent league struggles contrast with their Copa focus after exiting Apertura title race[1]. Cristal becomes the 10th team to reach 250 Libertadores matches[4].
  • High stakes for group positioning, with Cerro needing home wins and Cristal seeking to prove continental pedigree.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline CER: -135 | SCR: 370 | Draw: 255 Cerro Porteño Moneyline ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread CER -0.75 (-108) | SCR +75 (-122) Cerro Porteño -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.25 (-108) | Under 2.25 (-122) Under 2.25 Goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cerro Porteño 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 0%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Cerro Porteño at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Home advantage and historical dominance favor Cerro Porteño in a tight match, though goal difference suggests defensive caution.

Predicted Score: 1-0 (Cerro Porteño)


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Club Bolívar vs. Sporting Cristal Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Club Bolívar vs Sporting Cristal – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-09
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Hernando Siles, La Paz, Bolivia

Game Overview

This match between Club Bolívar and Sporting Cristal is crucial in the Copa Libertadores 2025, as both teams are seeking their first win after losing in the first round. Bolívar has the advantage of playing at home in La Paz, a city known for its high altitude, which can pose challenges for visiting teams.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams are motivated to secure a win after their losses in the first round. Bolívar, coming from a 4-2 loss to Cerro Porteño, may face challenges due to the recent performance. Sporting Cristal, having lost 3-2 to Palmeiras, will seek to capitalize on their ability to score, despite conceding more goals.
  • There's limited recent head-to-head data available for these two teams, but Bolívar's home advantage and Sporting Cristal's determination to bounce back will be key.
  • No specific injury updates are available for this match.
  • The high altitude of La Paz could affect Sporting Cristal's performance due to its strenuous conditions for visiting teams.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to win, as losing would put significant pressure on their chances to advance.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence EV Pick

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Club Bolívar 420%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.5 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Club Bolívar at 420% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 60% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on the odds and factors, Club Bolívar is favored to win due to home advantage and Sporting Cristal's recent performance.

Predicted Score: 2-1 to Club Bolívar


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Sporting Cristal vs. Palmeiras-SP Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sporting Cristal vs Palmeiras-SP – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-03
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Nacional de Lima, Lima, Peru

Game Overview

Sporting Cristal hosts Palmeiras in the CONMEBOL Copa Libertadores, a match where Palmeiras is favored due to their overall strength and recent form, despite some mixed results in away games.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Palmeiras has shown mixed form away from home, while Sporting Cristal has been motivated by recent wins. However, Palmeiras generally holds an edge in talent and depth.
  • The head-to-head record shows both teams have won once each in their past two meetings, indicating a competitive match.
  • Palmeiras has several key injuries, including Bruno Rafael, Gustavo Gómez, and others, which could impact their performance.
  • The Estadio Nacional de Lima crowd could give Sporting Cristal an advantage, but Palmeiras's experience in big games might offset this.
  • Both teams are highly motivated as they seek to advance in the Copa Libertadores.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -185 for Palmeiras, 475 for Sporting Cristal, 300 for Draw Palmeiras ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread -1 for Palmeiras at -112 Palmeiras -1 ★★★☆☆ 50%
Over_under Over 2.5 at -120, Under 2.5 at -110 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Predicted Outcome

Palmeiras is likely to win based on their overall strength and experience despite recent away form issues.

Predicted Score: 2-1 in favor of Palmeiras


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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – April 3, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Deportivo Táchira vs. Flamengo Flamengo-RJ Win -230 ★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Sporting Cristal vs. Palmeiras Palmeiras-SP Win -185 ★★★☆☆ 65% (65%)
Chelsea vs. Tottenham Hotspur Prediction Chelsea Win -160 ★★★☆☆ 60% (60%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +259

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $71.84

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