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Sport Recife vs. Fortaleza Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Sport Recife vs Fortaleza – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 26 Apr 2025
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Ilha do Retiro, Recife

Game Overview

Sport Recife (20th) faces Fortaleza (7th) in Brasileiro Serie A Round 6. Sport enters on a 4-game losing streak with 0.60 goals/game, while Fortaleza aims to improve their 1-win record in last 11 away matches.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sport Recife: 0.60 goals/game, 4 consecutive losses. Fortaleza: 5 goals scored/conceded in 5 matches, 1 away win in last 11 attempts[5][2]
  • Last 4 H2H meetings saw under 2.5 goals. Historical H2H at Ilha do Retiro: 3 Sport wins, 3 Fortaleza wins, 2 draws[5]
  • No specific injury data provided
  • Home crowd advantage for Sport Recife, though current form negates this benefit
  • Sport desperately needs points to escape relegation zone; Fortaleza seeks top-half consolidation

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fortaleza 190 | Draw 230 | Sport Recife 150 Fortaleza win ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Fortaleza 0 (105) | Sport Recife 0 (-125) Fortaleza to cover 0 spread ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 2.25 (102) | Under 2.25 (-122) Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Fortaleza 16%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 18%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Low-scoring game favoring Fortaleza's slightly better organization. Expect under 2.25 goals and potential away win given Sport's defensive vulnerabilities

Predicted Score: 0-1 Fortaleza


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Corinthians vs. Sport Recife Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Corinthians vs Sport Recife – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-19
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Neo Química Arena, São Paulo, São Paulo

Game Overview

Corinthians hosts Sport Recife in the Brasileirão Serie A. Corinthians is currently 12th in the league with 4 points, while Sport Recife is last with 1 point. Both teams lost their last Serie A matches.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Corinthians recently lost to Fluminense 2-0 at home, while Sport Recife lost to RB Bragantino 1-0. Corinthians generally performs better at home and averages 2 goals per match there.
  • In their last five meetings, Corinthians won three times and Sport Recife won twice. Historically, Corinthians leads at home with higher chances of winning when leading 1-0.
  • Corinthians has Igor Coronado, R. Garro, and Hugo Souza sidelined, while Sport Recife is missing several players including Pablo, Igor Cariús, and Dalbert.
  • Both teams might face pressure to win, but Corinthians' stronger home record gives them an advantage.
  • Corinthians will be more motivated to win due to their need to climb the league table.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Corinthians: -195, Sport Recife: 550, Draw: 320 Corinthians Win High
Spread Corinthians: -1 -115, Sport Recife: 1 -105 Corinthians Cover Medium-High
Over/under Over 2.5: 102, Under 2.5: -122 Under 2.5 Medium

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Corinthians 6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Corinthians is expected to win due to their home advantage and stronger recent form compared to Sport Recife.

Predicted Score: Corinthians 2, Sport Recife 0


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Sport Recife vs. Bragantino-SP Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Sport Recife vs Bragantino-SP – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 16 April 2025
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Ilha do Retiro, Recife, BRA

Game Overview

Sport Recife is set to face Bragantino-SP in a Serie A match. Sport Recife has struggled recently, while Bragantino-SP seeks improvement after mixed results.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sport Recife has shown inconsistent form, while Bragantino-SP aims to stabilize their performance in Serie A.
  • In six matches, Sport Recife has one win, three draws, and two losses against Bragantino-SP. The recent matches have been low-scoring with only 1.17 average goals per game.
  • Sport Recife has several players sidelined, including Gonçalo Paciência and Rafael Thyere. Bragantino-SP also has injuries like Fernando and Nathan Mendes.
  • Weather conditions in Recife could be favorable for both teams, with no extreme weather predicted. The home advantage might slightly favor Sport Recife.
  • Both teams are motivated to improve their standings in Serie A, but Bragantino-SP has a slightly stronger push due to their recent performances against other teams.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Draw 30%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Draw at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the form and head-to-head record, a draw is a plausible outcome, but Bragantino-SP has a slight edge in terms of recent performance.

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Vasco da Gama vs. Sport Recife Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Vasco da Gama vs Sport Recife – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: April 13, 2025
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama

Game Overview

Vasco da Gama, currently 11th in the Brasileiro Serie A, faces Sport Recife, who sits in 19th place. Vasco da Gama seeks to bounce back after a recent loss, while Sport Recife looks to improve their league position.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vasco da Gama has been strong at home, winning their last four matches against Sport Recife. Sport Recife, though, has shown resilience with several wins in recent matches.
  • Vasco da Gama has won 9 of the 17 head-to-head matches, with Sport Recife winning 3 and 5 ending in draws.
  • Vasco da Gama has Guilherme Estrella and David sidelined, while Sport Recife is missing Gonçalo Paciência, Dalbert, Rafael Thyere, and Zé Roberto.
  • The home advantage for Vasco da Gama and the recent form of both teams will play significant roles.
  • Vasco da Gama is motivated to climb the league table, while Sport Recife seeks to avoid further relegation threats.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Vasco da Gama: -110, Sport Recife: 320, Draw: 240 Vasco da Gama ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Vasco da Gama: -0.5 -105, Sport Recife: 50 -115 Vasco da Gama ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over_under Over 2.5: 132, Under 2.5: -160 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vasco da Gama 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Vasco da Gama at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Vasco da Gama is likely to win based on home performance and recent form.

Predicted Score: 1-0 in favor of Vasco da Gama


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Sport Recife vs. Palmeiras Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Sport Recife vs Palmeiras – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: April 6, 2025
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Ilha do Retiro, Recife, Brazil

Game Overview

Sport Recife hosts Palmeiras in what is expected to be a challenging Brazilian Serie A match. Both teams are looking to secure vital points early in the season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sport Recife has shown mixed results in recent matches, while Palmeiras has maintained a solid performance. Palmeiras' squad depth and experience could provide an edge.
  • Historically, Palmeiras has had the upper hand against Sport Recife in Serie A matches.
  • Sport Recife has key players like Renzo and Denis sidelined, while Palmeiras is without J. Piquerez and Bruno Rodrigues.
  • Home advantage may slightly favor Sport Recife, but Palmeiras' overall quality could negate this.
  • Both teams are motivated to win and improve their standings early in the season.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence EV Pick
Moneyline Palmeiras -125, Sport Recife 370, Draw 255 Palmeiras ★★★★☆ 70% Palmeiras -100%
Spread Palmeiras -0.5 -122, Sport Recife 50 102 Palmeiras -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 65% Palmeiras -0.5 -100%
Over_under Over 2.25 -110, Under 2.25 -110 Over 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 55% Over 2.25 -100%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Palmeiras 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 0%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Palmeiras at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Palmeiras is favored to win due to their historical dominance over Sport Recife and better overall team performance.

Predicted Score: Palmeiras 2, Sport Recife 1


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Sao Paulo vs. Sport Recife Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Sao Paulo vs Sport Recife – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-03-29
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

Sao Paulo hosts Sport Recife in a Campeonato Brasileiro match, where Sao Paulo is expected to dominate given their stronger recent form and home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sao Paulo has shown consistent performance in recent matches compared to Sport Recife, who have struggled with defeats. Sao Paulo’s home record is likely to be a significant factor.
  • There is limited recent head-to-head data available, but Sao Paulo generally holds an advantage over Sport Recife historically.
  • No specific injury reports are available for this match.
  • Weather conditions and crowd support could influence the match, but specific details are not provided.
  • Sao Paulo is highly motivated to secure a win and maintain their league position, while Sport Recife seeks improvement from recent losses.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sao Paulo: -150, Sport Recife: +435, Draw: +266 Sao Paulo ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Sao Paulo: -0.75 -115, Sport Recife: 75 -105 Sao Paulo -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over_under Over 2.25: -114, Under 2.25: -106 Over 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Sao Paulo is likely to win due to their stronger performance and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Sao Paulo 2, Sport Recife 1


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