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Atletico Mineiro vs. Sport Recife Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Atletico Mineiro vs Sport Recife – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-08
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Arena MRV

Game Overview

Atletico Mineiro hosts Sport Recife in a Série A match, with Atletico Mineiro favored due to their stronger recent form and home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atletico Mineiro is undefeated in their last four matches at home, while Sport Recife has struggled, winning just once in their last eight games.
  • Atletico Mineiro has a positive head-to-head record against Sport Recife, especially in recent matches.
  • No significant injury updates impacting the lineups.
  • Home advantage and fan support should favor Atletico Mineiro.
  • Atletico Mineiro is motivated to bounce back from their recent loss and maintain a strong league position.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -164 (Atletico Mineiro), 475 (Sport Recife), 265 (Draw) Atletico Mineiro Win ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread -0.75 -122 (Atletico Mineiro), 75 102 (Sport Recife) Atletico Mineiro -0.75 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 2.25 -112, Under 2.25 -108 Under 2.25 ★★★★☆ 80%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atletico Mineiro 21%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Atletico Mineiro at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 34% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atletico Mineiro will have a strong home win against Sport Recife, with a low number of goals scored.

Predicted Score: Atletico Mineiro 1-0 Sport Recife


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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – October 8, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Los Angeles FC vs. Toronto FC Prediction Los Angeles FC Win -220 ★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Mirassol vs. Fluminense Prediction Mirassol Win 138 ★★★★☆ 72% (72%)
Atletico Mineiro vs. Sport Recife Prediction Atletico Mineiro -0.75 -122 ★★★★☆ 72% (72%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +530

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $125.99

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Sport Recife vs. Fluminense Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sport Recife vs Fluminense – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-01
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Sport Recife Home Stadium

Game Overview

This Brazil Serie A matchup features Sport Recife hosting Fluminense. Fluminense currently sits 9th in the league with moderate offensive output but a tendency to concede slightly more goals than expected. Sport Recife struggles defensively with 34 goals conceded so far, but has shown competitive spirit at home and has won 4 of their recent 5 matches. Fluminense holds psychological edge with 4 consecutive wins over Sport Recife and better recent H2H stats.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fluminense averages 1.18 goals scored per match and concedes around 1.32, showing defensive vulnerability despite balanced attack. Sport Recife’s defense is porous with 34 goals conceded (1.55 avg). Sport Recife’s recent form includes narrow scores, highlighting low-scoring games.
  • Fluminense leads recent H2H encounters with 4 consecutive wins over Sport Recife. Overall H2H favors Fluminense (8 wins vs 4 for Sport). The last direct encounter ended 2-1 to Fluminense in May 2025.
  • Sport Recife is missing Hereda and Sérgio Oliveira due to injury, which weakens their defensive and midfield options. Fluminense has injured Ganso and Nonato, likely affecting their creativity and midfield depth.
  • No significant external disruptions reported. Match is at Sport Recife’s home venue which provides them a motivational boost.
  • Sport Recife motivated to defend home turf and improve defensive record. Fluminense aims to maintain dominance in H2H while climbing league standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fluminense: 153, Sport Recife: 205, Draw: 207 Fluminense ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Fluminense 0: -134, Sport Recife 0: 114 Sport Recife 0 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2: -123, Under 2: 103 Under 2 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Fluminense 21%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 22%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Fluminense to win on the moneyline, Sport Recife +0 spread, Under 2 goals

Predicted Score: Fluminense 1 – 0 Sport Recife


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – October 1, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – October 1, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Millwall vs. Coventry City Prediction Coventry City 129 26%
Sport Recife vs. Fluminense Prediction Fluminense 153 21%
Botafogo vs. Bahia Prediction Under 2.25 104 18%

Combined Odds: +1082 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $236.38

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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – October 1, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Palmeiras vs. Vasco da Gama Prediction Palmeiras Win -260 ★★★★☆ 74% (74%)
Santos vs. Grêmio Prediction Santos Win 104 ★★★☆☆ 68% (68%)
Sport Recife vs. Fluminense Prediction Fluminense Win 153 ★★★☆☆ 68% (68%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +615

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $142.93

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Fortaleza vs. Sport Recife Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Fortaleza vs Sport Recife – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo, Fortaleza, Brazil

Game Overview

Fortaleza, currently ranked 19th in the Brasileirão, faces bottom-ranked Sport Recife at home. Both teams struggle this season, but Fortaleza shows better historical H2H results and slightly stronger recent defensive form. The match is crucial for both to improve standings and avoid relegation threats.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fortaleza has a poor recent run with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match. Sport Recife has 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5, scoring less (0.8 goals per match) but conceding more (2.0 per match). Offensive output is low for both sides.
  • Historically, Fortaleza has dominated with 8 wins out of 16 matches against Sport Recife, which has won only 4 with 4 draws. Recent encounters favor Fortaleza at home with higher win frequency and goal scoring.
  • No detailed injury data provided, but no evident significant absences reported for either team around match date.
  • Fortaleza is hosting in their home stadium, Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo, offering home advantage. Both teams face pressure due to low league placement, increasing motivation but also possibly causing pressure-related mistakes.
  • With both teams near relegation zone, motivation to secure points is high. Fortaleza, slightly ahead in standings, may be more motivated to defend their home turf and step away from relegation danger.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -135, away: 370, draw: 265 Fortaleza ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread home: -102, away: -118 Fortaleza -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under over: 102, under: -122 Under 2.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Fortaleza 4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 18%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Fortaleza moneyline win; Fortaleza -0.75 spread; Under 2.5 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Sport Recife vs. Corinthians Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sport Recife vs Corinthians – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-21
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Arena de Pernambuco

Game Overview

A Brazil Serie A clash where Corinthians enter as favorites given their superior form and standing compared to struggling Sport Recife.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Corinthians have a stronger recent form with 7 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses, holding 9th place. Sport Recife struggle with 1 win, 8 draws, and 12 losses, sitting at 20th with poor goal difference (-19).
  • Recent Head-to-Head data favors Corinthians with more consistent results, and a historical advantage over Sport Recife.
  • No significant injury reports affecting starting lineups for either side.
  • Match played at Sport Recife's home ground but home advantage is mitigated by their poor home form and motivation.
  • Corinthians motivated to chase important points to improve their mid-table position, while Sport Recife battle to climb from the relegation zone.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sport Recife: +188, Draw: +200, Corinthians: +160 Corinthians ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Sport Recife: +102, Corinthians: -122 Corinthians 0 (Draw No Bet) ★★★☆☆ 64%
Over/under Over 2: -115, Under 2: -105 Over 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Corinthians 35%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Corinthians at 35% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Corinthians to win on the moneyline, with spread on Corinthians 0 and over 2 goals in total.

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Bragantino-SP vs. Sport Recife Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Bragantino-SP vs Sport Recife – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-14
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Cicero de Souza Marques, Bragança Paulista, Brazil

Game Overview

Bragantino-SP, ranked 8th, faces struggling Sport Recife, who are 20th in the Campeonato Brasileiro standings. Bragantino is demonstrating stronger recent form with more wins and goals scored compared to Sport Recife's poor away form and defensive vulnerabilities.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bragantino has a record of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, scoring 14 and conceding 11 goals in 12 league matches, while Sport Recife has 0 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, with only 5 goals scored and 18 conceded in 11 matches, reflecting their struggle this season.
  • Across 7 matches, Bragantino leads with 3 wins, Sport Recife has 1, and 3 ended in draws. This season, Bragantino won the only previous meeting showing superiority.
  • No critical injury information was reported for either team ahead of the fixture, implying likely full-strength squads.
  • Bragantino playing at home with familiar conditions and better squad depth; no adverse weather or travel issues reported for either side.
  • Bragantino is motivated to consolidate a top-half position while Sport Recife fights to escape relegation zones, but recent poor form suggests motivation alone is unlikely to bridge quality gap.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -118, away: 330, draw: 245 Bragantino-SP ★★★★☆ 76%
Spread home: -118, away: -102 Bragantino-SP -0.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under over: -118, under: -102 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bragantino-SP 9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bragantino-SP to win on the moneyline, cover -0.5 spread, and match going under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Sport Recife vs. Vasco da Gama Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sport Recife vs Vasco da Gama – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Sport Recife Home Stadium

Game Overview

A Campeonato Brasileiro clash where Sport Recife hosts Vasco da Gama. Vasco has a stronger recent head-to-head record but will play away. Both teams show balanced form with slight edge to Vasco historically, though Sport Recife has home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vasco da Gama has won 6 of the last 10 encounters versus Sport Recife's 1, with 3 draws. Recent form of both teams in the season is fairly even, but Vasco have demonstrated better consistency on the road.
  • In last 10 meetings, Vasco won 6, Sport Recife won 1, draws 3. Matches tend to be competitive but with Vasco edging out.
  • No significant reported injuries impacting key players for either side, allowing both teams to field near full-strength starting lineups.
  • Playing at home gives Sport Recife advantage in crowd support and familiarity. Weather and pitch conditions expected to be typical for season, no abnormalities.
  • Both teams are motivated to gain points as mid-table positioning is competitive. Vasco may have slightly higher motivation historically due to better recent results and desire to maintain momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline 130 Sport Recife ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread 100 Sport Recife -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under -115 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sport Recife 20%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sport Recife at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Sport Recife win

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Palmeiras vs. Sport Recife Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Palmeiras vs Sport Recife – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-25
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Allianz Parque, São Paulo, Brazil

Game Overview

Palmeiras, currently 2nd in the Brazil Serie A with 33 points from 16 matches, hosts struggling Sport Recife, who sit 20th with just 6 points and no wins. Palmeiras have a strong home advantage and superior form, while Sport Recife have a poor defensive record and motivation to avoid relegation pressure.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Palmeiras have won 10 of 16 matches, showing solid consistency and positive goal difference (+7). Sport Recife have no wins, with 6 draws and 10 losses, and a -16 goal difference.
  • In recent head-to-head this season, Palmeiras secured a 2-1 away win over Sport Recife. Historically, Palmeiras dominate these matchups and maintain a high winning probability (>66%).
  • No significant injuries reported for key Palmeiras players. Sport Recife squad lacks depth, but no major absences noted that drastically change strength balance.
  • Match is at Allianz Parque, Palmeiras' strong home stadium with robust fan support. Weather and pitch conditions expected normal, no external disruptions.
  • Palmeiras are chasing top positions and need full points. Sport Recife are fighting relegation, which may increase urgency but their poor recent form limits confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -300, away: +825, draw: +385 Palmeiras ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Palmeiras: -1.25 -122, Sport Recife: +1.25 +102 Palmeiras -1.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.5: -102, Under 2.5: -118 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Palmeiras -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Palmeiras to win on moneyline, cover -1.25 spread, and match to be under 2.5 goals

Predicted Score: 2-0


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