Match Analysis: Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles vs Jackson State Tigers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-06
- Time: 9:05 PM UTC
- Location: M.M. Roberts Stadium, Hattiesburg, MS
Game Overview
The Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles, coming off a 0-1 start, host the 1-0 Jackson State Tigers. Southern Miss is heavily favored at home with a strong moneyline and spread advantage, reflecting their stronger performance history and home field benefit. Jackson State struggles significantly on the road, historically winless in many recent away games.
Key Factors to Consider
- Southern Miss started the season 0-1 but historically performs well at home; Jackson State is 1-0 but has a poor road record (0-10 SU last 10 away games). Recent form favors Southern Miss especially defensively and in overall execution.
- No recent direct matchup data found, but current expert consensus and performance trends heavily favor Southern Miss given home advantage and Jackson State’s road struggles.
- No major injuries reported for either team that materially affect starting lineups or key positions.
- Game temperature is warm (88°F), minimal rain (2%), and mild wind (5 mph) suggest neutral weather conditions for gameplay.
- Southern Miss is motivated to bounce back after an opening loss and prove strength at home; Jackson State aims to maintain unbeaten start but faces psychological and historical challenges on the road.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles: -650, Jackson State Tigers: +460 | Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles | ★★★★☆ 82% |
| Spread | Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles -14.5: -108, Jackson State Tigers +14.5: -112 | Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles -14.5 | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Over/under | Over 52.5: -110, Under 52.5: -110 | Under 52.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles -10% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 52.5 15% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 52.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles to win comfortably covering the -14.5 spread; total points will stay under 52.5 given Southern Miss's defensive strengths and Jackson State's offensive limitations on the road.
Predicted Score: Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles 31 – 14 Jackson State Tigers