Match Analysis: San José St Spartans vs Southern Jaguars – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-22
- Time: 3:00 AM UTC
- Location: Provident Credit Union Event Center, San Jose, CA
Game Overview
The San José State Spartans host the Southern Jaguars in an NCAA Men’s Basketball matchup. The Spartans have struggled recently with a 1-3 overall record but have won their lone home game, while Southern holds a 2-3 record with no recent head-to-head clashes between these programs. The game is expected to be competitive with a projected total points line of around 151.5.
Key Factors to Consider
- San José State has shown some resilience at home but has an overall losing record (1-3). Southern Jaguars have a slightly better record (2-3) but struggled on the road. Neither team has demonstrated dominant form, suggesting a balanced matchup.
- No recent head-to-head meetings between these teams in the past three seasons and no significant history going back to 1997. This lack of recent direct competition adds uncertainty to predictions.
- No publicly available information on significant injuries for either team ahead of this game, indicating both squads likely will field their standard lineups.
- The game is played at San José State’s home venue, which provides some home-court advantage. The Spartans are favored by bookmakers on the moneyline and spread, reflecting this factor.
- San José State looks to build momentum and improve their season record with a home win, while Southern aims to establish early season credibility on the road. Both teams will have strong incentives to secure a victory.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | San José St Spartans: -200, Southern Jaguars: 165 | San José State Spartans win | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Spread | San José St Spartans: -4.5 (-115), Southern Jaguars: +4.5 (-105) | San José State Spartans to cover the -4.5 point spread | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | Over: 151.5 (-110), Under: 151.5 (-110) | Total points over 151.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | San José St Spartans 77% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 151.5 15% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: San José St Spartans at 77% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 46.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
San José State Spartans are predicted to win a close contest, leveraging home advantage and slightly better bookmaker confidence despite overall mediocre team forms.
Predicted Score: San José State Spartans 78 – Southern Jaguars 72