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Southampton vs. Portsmouth Prediction Championship in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Southampton vs Portsmouth – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-14
  • Time: 11:00 AM UTC
  • Location: St. Mary's Stadium

Game Overview

Southampton and Portsmouth face off in the South Coast derby, a rivalry marked by historical competitiveness but recent disparity in form and league positions. Southampton has more wins historically but has struggled defensively this season, while Portsmouth has shown more resilience and better Asian handicap performance recently.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Portsmouth has drawn 3 and won 1 of their last 5 matches with a decent defensive record, conceding 1.4 goals per game. Southampton has been less consistent, winning 2, drawing 1, and losing 2 recently, with a concerning average of 2.2 goals conceded per game.
  • In 9 meetings since 2003, Southampton leads with 5 wins, Portsmouth 3 wins, and 2 draws. Recent direct matches show a mix of draws and narrow Southampton victories, indicating a closely contested rivalry.
  • Current squad injury data is limited but no major absences reported for either side likely to impact key players significantly.
  • Southampton’s home advantage at St. Mary’s Stadium should factor positively, but recent home form has been poor. The derby rivalry and proximity increase game intensity and motivation on both sides.
  • Portsmouth’s motivation is high to prove competitive following their recent Championship survival, while Southampton aims to re-establish dominance and build momentum after relegation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Southampton: -149, Portsmouth: 350, Draw: 280 Southampton ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Southampton -0.75: -112, Portsmouth +75: -108 Southampton -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5: -115, Under 2.5: -105 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Southampton 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Southampton moneyline

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Watford vs. Southampton Prediction Championship in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Watford vs Southampton – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-30
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Vicarage Road Stadium

Game Overview

Watford hosts Southampton in the EFL Championship with both teams showing mixed recent form. Southampton is slight favorite but has struggled for consistency, while Watford aims to leverage home advantage after stabilizing results.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Watford has been inconsistent but unbeaten in last 3 Championship matches (1W, 2D); Southampton is winless in last 3 Championship games but has stronger recent attacking numbers and better overall recent scoring form.
  • Southampton dominates recent H2H with 10 wins to Watford's 2 and 8 draws; Southampton is unbeaten in last 5 meetings (2W, 3D) against Watford.
  • No major injury reports for either side that would significantly alter the lineup or tactics.
  • No adverse external conditions reported; neutral weather and home pitch advantage for Watford could be a factor.
  • Southampton seeks to avoid continuing a poor run in the Championship to keep promotion hopes alive, while Watford is motivated to capitalize at home to climb the table.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Southampton: +130, Watford: +195, Draw: +220 Southampton ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Southampton -0.25: +102, Watford +25: -122 Watford +0.25 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5: +100, Under 2.5: -120 Under 2.5 ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Southampton 15%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Southampton at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Southampton to win on the moneyline, Watford +0.25 on the spread, and Under 2.5 goals

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Southampton vs. Stoke City Prediction Championship in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Southampton vs Stoke City – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: St. Mary's Stadium

Game Overview

Southampton hosts Stoke City in an English Championship Round 3 match at St. Mary's Stadium. Southampton are unbeaten in their last six clashes, while Stoke have shown strong home and away form this season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Southampton has 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in recent games with 7 goals scored in the last 5 matches. Stoke City is in good form, with a commanding 3-0 win over Sheffield Wednesday and a 3-1 victory against Derby recently.
  • Across 23 recorded meetings, Southampton has 9 wins, Stoke City 8 wins, and 6 draws. Neither team has drawn in the last 3 encounters. Southampton are unbeaten in 6 matches against Stoke.
  • Southampton faces absences with James Bree (leg) and William Smallbone (calf) out until early September, impacting squad depth.
  • Southampton benefits from home advantage playing at St. Mary's Stadium. Stoke City faces travel and less favorable away conditions.
  • Southampton aims to remain unbeaten and maintain strong home form early in the Championship. Stoke looks to build on convincing recent wins and challenge on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Southampton: -145, Stoke City: 355, Draw: 270 Southampton ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Southampton: -0.75 -108, Stoke City: 75 -112 Southampton -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.5: -108, Under 2.5: -112 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Southampton -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Southampton to win on the moneyline, cover the -0.75 goal spread, and the total goals to go over 2.5.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Ipswich Town vs. Southampton Prediction Championship in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Ipswich Town vs Southampton – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-17
  • Time: 11:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Portman Road Stadium

Game Overview

Ipswich Town host Southampton in an EFL Championship match where both teams showed solid early form. Ipswich drew their season opener with Birmingham, displaying defensive resilience, while Southampton won their first match against Wrexham, showing attacking confidence.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ipswich Town have demonstrated defensive solidity but a less potent attack, while Southampton are coming off a confident win with dynamic offensive play. Ipswich’s home form and discipline contrast with Southampton’s attacking rhythm.
  • Recent encounters show a slight edge to Southampton, who finished above Ipswich last season and won the corresponding fixture. Ipswich’s resilience at home can offset this to an extent.
  • No major injuries were reported for either side that would significantly impact their starting lineups.
  • The match is at Ipswich’s home stadium, providing them with home advantage and support. Weather and pitch conditions are typical for August with no notable disruptions.
  • Ipswich seek to capitalize on home advantage to gain early points and start their season strongly, while Southampton aim to maintain momentum after a winning start.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ipswich Town: -102, Southampton: 250, Draw: 240 Ipswich Town ★★★☆☆ 66%
Spread Ipswich Town -0.5: 102, Southampton +50: -122 Ipswich Town -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2.5: -112, Under 2.5: -108 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ipswich Town -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ipswich Town to win on the moneyline with a narrow 2-1 scoreline, reflecting their home defensive strength versus Southampton’s attacking threat.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Southampton vs. Wrexham AFC Prediction Championship in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Southampton vs Wrexham AFC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 11:30 AM UTC
  • Location: St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton

Game Overview

Southampton, with recent Premier League experience and stronger squad depth, face newly promoted Wrexham AFC. Southampton enter as favorites with home advantage, while Wrexham are seen as underdogs despite significant investment.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Southampton recently relegated from Premier League, expected to perform strongly given squad quality. Wrexham newly promoted, having invested in players but lack Championship experience.
  • No recent direct Championship-level head to head data due to Wrexham's recent promotion; Southampton generally superior in history and quality.
  • No significant injury reports on either side affecting key starters as of current date.
  • Match played at Southampton's home stadium giving them familiar environment and crowd support. Early season match with motivation to start strong.
  • Southampton motivated to immediately push for promotion return. Wrexham motivated to prove Championship capability but face tough test.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Southampton: -146, Draw: 265, Wrexham AFC: 365 Southampton ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Southampton -0.75 (-108), Wrexham +75 (-112) Southampton -0.75 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-102), Under 2.5 (-118) Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Southampton 4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Southampton win

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Southampton vs. Arsenal Prediction EPL in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Southampton vs Arsenal – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-25
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton

Game Overview

Southampton will host Arsenal for the final match of the Premier League season at St. Mary's Stadium. Arsenal are clear favorites, showing strong recent form in the league, while Southampton face injury challenges and have struggled for consistent results. The match is critical for Arsenal to possibly secure or consolidate their top-table standing, whereas Southampton look to end their campaign positively.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Arsenal have shown dominant performance in recent matches, securing a 3-1 victory over Southampton earlier this season and holding positive momentum towards the end of the campaign. Southampton's form has been mixed, with injury setbacks affecting key players and a line-up that lacks depth compared to Arsenal.
  • In the last five meetings, Arsenal have the upper hand with three wins, including a recent 3-1 victory on 5 October 2024. Southampton managed a draw and a single victory during this period, indicating Arsenal's overall superior performance against them.
  • Southampton face notable absences including Albert Gronbaek, Charlie Taylor, and Ryan Fraser still sidelined. Jan Bednarek is doubtful, while Kyle Walker-Peters is expected to play despite recent illness. Arsenal have updates on William Saliba and Jurrien Timber but no clear major injury disruptions reported.
  • The match is played at Southampton’s home ground, which may offer some advantage, but Arsenal’s superior squad quality and season-long form mitigate this factor. The game is not televised in the UK but has radio commentary, affecting viewer reach.
  • Arsenal are motivated to secure as high a finish as possible in the league standings and possibly set or maintain records approaching the season's end. Southampton are motivated to finish the season strongly at home, but their objectives are less critical compared to Arsenal's ambitions.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Arsenal: -350, Southampton: 780, Draw: 460 Arsenal win ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Arsenal: -1.5 -128, Southampton: 1.5 -104 Arsenal -1.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 3.5: 118, Under 3.5: -157 Under 3.5 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Arsenal -16%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.5 -2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Arsenal are expected to win comfortably based on form, squad strength, and historical performance. Southampton may struggle to contain Arsenal’s attacking options, and Arsenal's defensive solidity should limit Southampton's scoring chances.

Predicted Score: Arsenal 3 – 1 Southampton


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Everton vs. Southampton Prediction EPL in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Everton vs Southampton – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-18
  • Time: 11:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Goodison Park, Liverpool, England, United Kingdom

Game Overview

Everton hosts Southampton in a highly emotional final Premier League match at Goodison Park. Everton, sitting mid-table with a mixed season performance, are motivated to finish their historic home ground tenure on a positive note. Southampton enters the match following a relegation-threatened and inconsistent season, likely adopting a defensive posture.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Everton's 2024-25 campaign reflects moderate success with an 8-14-11 record and 38 points by mid-May. Their recent matches have shown improved attacking intent, especially at home. Southampton has struggled throughout the season, facing relegation threats and defensive frailties, leading to inconsistent results.
  • Historically, Everton and Southampton matches have been competitive but favor Everton slightly, especially on home turf at Goodison Park. Recent encounters suggest Everton hold the upper hand tactically and in squad quality.
  • No specific injury updates are provided in available data; however, late-season matches often see teams managing fatigued players carefully. Everton’s motivation for a strong finish may encourage full-strength lineups if fit.
  • The match marks Everton's final game at Goodison Park, generating high emotional stakes and strong home support. This factor is expected to lift Everton's performance considerably. Broadcast live on TNT Sports and ESPN ensures widespread attention.
  • Everton is highly motivated to close out their historic home ground with a victory, energizing players and fans alike. Southampton’s motivation is tempered by their poor league standing but may seek pride salvaging a positive result.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Everton: -250, Southampton: 620, Draw: 360 Everton win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Everton -1.5: 112, Southampton +1.5: -149 Everton -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5: -134, Under 2.5: 101 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Everton -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Everton is favored to win the match with a confident defensive display and effective home advantage combined with Southampton’s relegation struggles. The predicted score is 2-0 in favor of Everton.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Southampton vs. Manchester City Prediction EPL in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Southampton vs Manchester City – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton

Game Overview

Southampton, currently bottom of the Premier League with just 11 points from 35 games, hosts Manchester City, sitting 3rd with 64 points. Southampton struggles with form and results, having only 2 wins this season and a poor recent run. Manchester City is in strong form with a four-game winning streak in the league, boasting a potent offense and solid defense.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Manchester City demonstrates clear superiority, with 19 wins and a positive goal difference of +24 this season, while Southampton has only 2 wins and a goal difference of -57. City's recent form is strong (DWWWW), whereas Southampton is struggling (LLDLL).
  • Historically, Manchester City dominates with 24 wins in 41 meetings, and a +37 goal difference. Southampton has won 8 times, with 9 draws. At home, Southampton managed 5 wins in 20 meetings, but City won 10 times, showing their historical edge.
  • Manchester City is missing key defenders Nathan Ake and John Stones, and midfielder Rodri, which could impact their defensive stability. Southampton's injury status is unclear but likely struggling with squad fitness given their form.
  • The match is at St. Mary's Stadium, where Southampton hopes for home advantage, but strong City supporters and quality could negate this. Hospitality packages and fan engagement are high, but this likely has limited impact on match outcome.
  • Southampton faces relegation pressures, needing points desperately, which could motivate a resilient performance. Manchester City aims to consolidate their top-3 standing and maintain pressure in the title race, providing strong motivation for a commanding win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Manchester City: -500, Southampton: 1025, Draw: 580 Manchester City win ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Manchester City -2.5: 1.33, Southampton +2.5: -1.78 Manchester City to cover -2.5 goals ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 3.5: -1.16, Under 3.5: -1.15 Under 3.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manchester City -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Manchester City is heavily favored to win due to their superior form, quality, and historical dominance. However, Southampton may fight hard, anticipating a single or low-scoring goal concession. The expectation is a controlled City victory with limited goals conceded.

Predicted Score: Manchester City 3 – 0 Southampton


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Leicester City vs. Southampton Prediction EPL in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Leicester City vs Southampton – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-03
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: King Power Stadium

Game Overview

Leicester City hosts Southampton in a Premier League fixture with mid-table implications. While specific details about this exact fixture are limited in available data, the focus shifts to analyzing broader team patterns and the provided odds.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Data on recent senior team performance is unavailable here. U21 results (e.g., Southampton U21's 1-0 win over Leicester U21 on 27 April 2025[2][3][4]) may indicate academy form but shouldn't heavily influence senior team analysis.
  • No specific head-to-head data provided for senior teams in current search results.
  • No injury reports available from provided sources.
  • Potential relegation/push for European spots depending on league positions (unclear from available data).
  • Likely standard league motivation unless either team faces specific stakes (e.g., relegation battle or European qualification).

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Leicester 124 | Draw 255 | Southampton 193 Leicester City ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Leicester -0.5 (120) | Southampton +50 (-160) Leicester City -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 50%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-139) | Under 2.5 (105) Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Leicester City 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Leicester City slight favorites based on home advantage and odds, but limited data warrants caution.

Predicted Score: 1-0 Leicester City


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Southampton vs. Fulham Prediction EPL in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Southampton vs Fulham – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-26
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: St Mary's Stadium, Southampton

Game Overview

Southampton will host Fulham at St Mary's Stadium in a Premier League clash. Both teams have a closely matched history with Southampton slightly ahead in head-to-head wins. Recent form shows Fulham with a better recent performance, while Southampton has struggled defensively in recent games.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Southampton's recent form includes 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 2.0 goals conceded per match. Fulham has won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 goals conceded per match, showing a slightly stronger recent form offensively but similar defensive vulnerability.
  • Over 21 matches since 2001, Southampton won 7 games, Fulham won 6, and 8 ended in draws, showing a balanced rivalry. Average goals per match in these encounters is about 2.5, with a fairly even spread of results. Southampton covers Asian handicaps about 50% of the time historically.
  • Specific current injury data for the match is not provided in the search results, so the impact of injuries cannot be decisively assessed.
  • The match is played at Southampton's home ground, St Mary's Stadium, which could provide home advantage. No other external factors such as weather or scheduling issues are indicated.
  • Fulham appears motivated with a recent upswing in form and better away performances, while Southampton's motivation could be tempered by recent defensive struggles and less consistent results.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fulham: -157, Southampton: 380, Draw: 295 Fulham win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Fulham: -0.5 -160, Southampton: +50 120 Fulham -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5: -145, Under 2.5: 109 Over 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Fulham -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Fulham at -5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Fulham is favored to win given their recent better form and superior current odds. The match is expected to be competitive, possibly with goals scored on both sides, but Fulham's momentum and betting market confidence suggest they will edge the victory.

Predicted Score: Fulham 2 – 1 Southampton


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