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Sydney Roosters vs. South Sydney Rabbitohs Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Sydney Roosters vs South Sydney Rabbitohs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-05
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Allianz Stadium

Game Overview

Sydney Roosters and South Sydney Rabbitohs face off in Round 27 of the NRL at Allianz Stadium. The Roosters have been moderately inconsistent this season but possess a clear edge in recent form and head-to-head history. The Rabbitohs have struggled badly, especially in their last five games, with low motivation competing outside finals contention.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Roosters hold a mid-table position (10th) with a 44% win rate and moderate recent form (WLWLL). Rabbitohs are low-ranked (17th) with a 32% win rate and have lost their last five games straight.
  • Historically close but favoring Roosters with 13 wins vs Rabbitohs 10 in 23 clashes. Recent analytics model simulation favors the Roosters with 83% win probability.
  • No explicit major injuries noted in current data, suggesting both teams likely fielding close to full strength.
  • Home advantage at Allianz Stadium benefits the Roosters; Rabbitohs show low motivation due to positioning outside finals qualification.
  • Roosters motivated to climb standings and secure finals berth; Rabbitohs essentially out of contention and on a losing streak, lowering morale.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Roosters -385, Rabbitohs +325, Draw +2200 Sydney Roosters ★★★★☆ 83%
Spread Roosters -12.5 (-105), Rabbitohs +12.5 (-125) Sydney Roosters -12.5 ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under Over 50.5 -145, Under 50.5 +110 Over 50.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sydney Roosters 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 50.5 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 50.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sydney Roosters will win convincingly and cover the spread in a moderately high-scoring game.

Predicted Score: Sydney Roosters 28 – South Sydney Rabbitohs 14


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South Sydney Rabbitohs vs. St George Illawarra Dragons Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: South Sydney Rabbitohs vs St George Illawarra Dragons – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-21
  • Time: 9:50 AM UTC
  • Location: Stadium Australia

Game Overview

The match features the South Sydney Rabbitohs hosting the St George Illawarra Dragons in Round 25 of the NRL season, with the Dragons currently favored to win based on recent analytics and form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Dragons have shown stronger recent form statistically, with a predictive model assigning them a 63% chance to win. The Rabbitohs have struggled against them historically and in recent matches.
  • The Dragons hold a dominant head-to-head record recently, winning 68% of the last 34 encounters. Notably, the Dragons took the previous close match 25-24 in March 2025.
  • No major injury updates reported for either side that would significantly alter lineup strength or tactics.
  • The game is at Stadium Australia, which slightly favors the home Rabbitohs but their home advantage is not enough to overcome Dragons' current momentum.
  • Both teams are motivated for late-season wins; however, the Dragons appear more driven to secure a playoff position, impacting their likely intensity and discipline.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline South Sydney Rabbitohs +104, St George Illawarra Dragons -120, Draw +2000 St George Illawarra Dragons ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread South Sydney Rabbitohs +1.5 -115, St George Illawarra Dragons -1.5 -115 St George Illawarra Dragons -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 44.5 -110, Under 44.5 -120 Over 44.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline St George Illawarra Dragons 36%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 44.5 18%

🔥 Best Value Pick: St George Illawarra Dragons at 36% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 42.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

St George Illawarra Dragons to win (moneyline), cover -1.5 spread, and over 44.5 total points

Predicted Score: Dragons 26 – Rabbitohs 20


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South Sydney Rabbitohs vs. Parramatta Eels Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Parramatta Eels – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 9:35 AM UTC
  • Location: Allianz Stadium, Sydney

Game Overview

A tightly contested and low-scoring NRL Round 24 match between two closely matched teams fighting for crucial ladder positions. Expect strong defensive performances and a close scoreline, with Parramatta Eels as slight favorites.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams have inconsistent attacks but strong defensive structures. Recent form shows both sides are desperate for momentum late in the season.
  • Recent clashes have been decided by narrow margins, showing parity. Historical matchups favor a defensive, grind-style game.
  • No significant injury reports available that drastically affect either starting lineup or key defensive players.
  • Home advantage for South Sydney Rabbitohs at Allianz Stadium, but Parramatta Eels are motivated to secure their finals push.
  • High stakes for both teams with finals implications, leading to intense physical contests and minimal scoring separation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline South Sydney Rabbitohs 1.37, Parramatta Eels -1.57, Draw 20.00 Parramatta Eels ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Parramatta Eels -3.5 (-120), South Sydney Rabbitohs +3.5 (-110) South Sydney Rabbitohs +3.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 47.5 (-115), Under 47.5 (-115) Under 47.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Parramatta Eels 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 47.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Parramatta Eels moneyline win; South Sydney Rabbitohs +3.5 points on spread; Under 47.5 points total

Predicted Score: Parramatta Eels 22 – South Sydney Rabbitohs 20


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Gold Coast Titans vs. South Sydney Rabbitohs Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Gold Coast Titans vs South Sydney Rabbitohs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-10
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Cbus Super Stadium, Gold Coast

Game Overview

The Gold Coast Titans host the South Sydney Rabbitohs in a pivotal NRL clash. South Sydney has dominated recent head-to-head meetings with a 74% win rate over the last several matchups. The Titans are slight favorites based on current moneyline odds but face a tough challenge given Rabbitohs' recent form and historical dominance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • South Sydney Rabbitohs have shown consistent strong performance in the 2025 season with a solid winning streak and high-scoring games. Gold Coast Titans have struggled against top-tier teams but have home advantage and a motivated squad.
  • Rabbitohs lead the last 23 meetings with 17 wins to Titans' 6, including several decisive wins by large margins, making them historically dominant in this matchup.
  • No major injuries reported for either team that significantly impact the starting lineup or key playmakers.
  • Game being played at the Titans' home ground offers a slight edge in conditions and crowd support. No weather or external conditions expected to negatively affect play.
  • Rabbitohs are likely motivated to maintain their dominance and secure finals positioning, while Titans seek to leverage home conditions to upset the favored Rabbitohs.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Gold Coast Titans: -168, South Sydney Rabbitohs: 144, Draw: 2000 Gold Coast Titans ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Gold Coast Titans -4.5: -105, South Sydney Rabbitohs +4.5: -125 Gold Coast Titans -4.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 53.5: -115, Under 53.5: -115 Under 53.5 ★★★☆☆ 63%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Gold Coast Titans -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 53.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 53.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Gold Coast Titans to win on moneyline and cover the spread with the total points going under 53.5

Predicted Score: Gold Coast Titans 26 – 22 South Sydney Rabbitohs


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Brisbane Broncos vs. South Sydney Rabbitohs Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Brisbane Broncos vs South Sydney Rabbitohs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-01
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane, Australia

Game Overview

The Brisbane Broncos enter as significant favorites hosting the South Sydney Rabbitohs, who have struggled on the road. Brisbane showcases superior recent form, a stronger attack and defense, and benefits from strong home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Brisbane is in peak form, ranked 5th in power rankings versus South Sydney's 17th, with an attack advantage of 8.7 points per game and very solid defensive metrics. The Rabbitohs have continued to struggle away from home.
  • Historical data favors Brisbane strongly: out of 50 matches, Broncos won 33, including 19 at home. At Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane won 14 of 21 meetings against South Sydney with a 487–436 points edge.
  • No critical injuries reported for either side that would significantly change team strength; Broncos maintain a near full-strength squad boosting their dominance.
  • The hostile atmosphere at Suncorp Stadium and Friday night timing favors Brisbane, who historically thrive in this environment. South Sydney travel fatigue and poor away record create a challenging scenario for them.
  • Brisbane is motivated to secure a commanding win to consolidate playoff positioning, while South Sydney faces pressure to break a poor away streak and salvage confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Brisbane Broncos -675, South Sydney Rabbitohs +460, Draw +2800 Brisbane Broncos ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Brisbane Broncos -16.5 (-110), South Sydney Rabbitohs +16.5 (-120) Brisbane Broncos -16.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 49.5 (-115), Under 49.5 (-115) Under 49.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Brisbane Broncos -15%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 49.5 27%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 49.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Brisbane Broncos will win outright with a strong defensive performance keeping the total score under 49.5 points.

Predicted Score: Brisbane Broncos 24 – South Sydney Rabbitohs 14


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South Sydney Rabbitohs vs. Cronulla Sutherland Sharks Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Cronulla Sutherland Sharks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 9:35 AM UTC
  • Location: Industree Group Stadium, Gosford

Game Overview

The Rabbitohs, mired in a seven-game losing streak and struggling with injuries and defensive frailties, host the Sharks, who are pushing for a top-four finish and have rediscovered form with Nicho Hynes leading their charge. The neutral venue removes any home ground advantage, but Cronulla’s superior recent form, attacking output, and defensive solidity make them heavy favorites despite South Sydney’s desperation[1][3].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cronulla’s attack is averaging almost 6 points more per game and their defense is significantly better, while South Sydney’s season has been derailed by injuries, especially in key spine positions, and defensive lapses[1][3].
  • Cronulla has dominated recent meetings and comes in with a stronger head-to-head record, both in terms of results and statistical matchups[1][3].
  • South Sydney’s roster has been ravaged by injuries, notably in their spine, which has compounded their on-field struggles[3].
  • Neutral venue (Gosford) and weather is not reported as a major factor; travel is not expected to impact either team significantly[1][3].
  • Cronulla is chasing a top-four finish and has clear motivation, while South Sydney is fighting for pride but lacks tangible upside in the standings[1][3].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cronulla -435, Souths +350, Draw +2500 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks ★★★★☆ 81%
Spread Cronulla -12.5 (-110), Souths +12.5 (-120) South Sydney Rabbitohs +12.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 47.5 (-125), Under 47.5 (-105) Under 47.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 47.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cronulla Sutherland Sharks are expected to win by a double-digit margin, but not in a blowout. Expect a lower-scoring, grinding game with Cronulla’s defense stifling South Sydney’s attack[1][3].

Predicted Score: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks 20 – South Sydney Rabbitohs 10


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Penrith Panthers vs. South Sydney Rabbitohs Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Penrith Panthers vs South Sydney Rabbitohs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-18
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Stadium Australia, Sydney

Game Overview

The Penrith Panthers face the South Sydney Rabbitohs in a tightly contested NRL match where both teams have shown strong recent form. Penrith, the favorites with a moneyline around -250, have won the majority of recent head-to-head games but recently lost to South Sydney 18-28 on March 27, 2025. The matchup promises high intensity given their rivalry and previous matches.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Penrith Panthers show consistent high-level performance with a majority of wins against South Sydney historically (20 wins to 14). Recent form favors Penrith but South Sydney pulled a notable upset in the last meeting.
  • Historically, Penrith leads with 59% win rate in 34 encounters, but South Sydney has won recently, indicating a competitive rivalry that could sway either way.
  • No significant injury reports affecting key players have been identified in available data, suggesting full-strength lineups likely for both teams.
  • The match is played at Stadium Australia, a neutral venue with no apparent external disadvantages for either team. Weather and pitch conditions are assumed normal.
  • South Sydney has extra motivation after their last victory over Penrith, aiming to maintain momentum. Penrith seeks to reassert dominance and avoid consecutive losses, raising competitive stakes.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Penrith Panthers: -250, South Sydney Rabbitohs: +205, Draw: +2300 Penrith Panthers ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Penrith Panthers -8.5: -110, South Sydney Rabbitohs +8.5: -120 Penrith Panthers -8.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 46.5: -115, Under 46.5: -115 Over 46.5 ★★★☆☆ 63%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Penrith Panthers -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 46.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 46.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Penrith Panthers to win moneyline, cover the -8.5 spread, and the game to go over 46.5 points.

Predicted Score: Penrith Panthers 28 – 18 South Sydney Rabbitohs


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Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs. South Sydney Rabbitohs Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs South Sydney Rabbitohs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-06
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: 4 Pines Park, Brookvale Oval, Sydney

Game Overview

The Manly Warringah Sea Eagles host the South Sydney Rabbitohs in Round 18 of the 2025 NRL Telstra Premiership at 4 Pines Park. Both teams are traditional rivals with a competitive recent history. The Rabbitohs have won 4 of the last 5 encounters and have a decent record at this venue, which is traditionally a stronghold for Manly. The match promises high intensity with valuable competition points at stake.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Manly is coming off a Round 17 game against Wests Tigers, preparing to face Melbourne next round. South Sydney recently played the Dolphins in Round 17 and will meet Penrith next. The Rabbitohs have struggled for consistent wins recently but have shown quality performances in patches, indicating potential to break their losing streak. Manly has home-ground advantage and a solid squad selection for this fixture.
  • South Sydney Rabbitohs have the upper hand historically with four wins in the last five encounters against Manly. Additionally, they have taken three wins from five matches at Brookvale Oval in recent times, softening the traditional home advantage for Manly.
  • No explicit injury updates available from the provided data. Both teams appear to have named full squads for this match, with Manly announcing a 22-man squad, hinting at minimal injury concerns impacting team selection.
  • The match is played at Brookvale Oval, which typically favors Manly, but recent Rabbitohs success here suggests a more balanced external environment. Weather or other conditions were not detailed but can be assumed standard for Sydney in July.
  • Both teams have a strong motivation to secure valuable competition points late in the season. South Sydney seeks to snap a recent losing run and maintain momentum against a traditional rival, while Manly aims to leverage home advantage and capitalize on their more stable recent form.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Manly Warringah Sea Eagles: -290, South Sydney Rabbitohs: 230, Draw: 2300 South Sydney Rabbitohs to win ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Manly Warringah Sea Eagles: -9.5 at -115, South Sydney Rabbitohs: +9.5 at -115 South Sydney Rabbitohs +9.5 (cover the spread) ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 47.5: -115, Under 47.5: -115 Under 47.5 points ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 139%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 47.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles at 139% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 60.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the Rabbitohs' recent dominance in head-to-head meetings and competitive form patches despite inconsistent results, combined with Manly's traditional home strength, the match is expected to be close. The Rabbitohs have a slight edge due to form and psychological advantage. Predicted outcome is a Rabbitohs win by a small margin.

Predicted Score: South Sydney Rabbitohs 24 – 20 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles


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Dolphins vs. South Sydney Rabbitohs Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Dolphins vs South Sydney Rabbitohs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-28
  • Time: 9:50 AM UTC
  • Location: Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane

Game Overview

The Dolphins will face the South Sydney Rabbitohs in a Round 17 NRL match at Suncorp Stadium. Both teams are coming off consecutive losses, with the Dolphins sitting 9th on the ladder seeking to rebound and push into the finals, while the Rabbitohs, at 16th, aim to halt a poor run of form. This match carries added intrigue as it features Wayne Bennett coaching the Rabbitohs against his former team, the Dolphins, now led by his protege Kristian Woolf. Weather disruptions earlier in the season led to a venue switch and schedule reshuffle for these clubs. The game is the second of a double-header day at the venue, with fans advised to arrive early due to crowding and security measures.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Dolphins have had a mixed season but remain just outside the top eight, battling to keep finals hopes alive. They recently lost to Newcastle Knights, reflecting some inconsistency. The Rabbitohs have struggled more significantly, with just 17 wins in their last 52 matches and a recent golden point loss to Melbourne showing some promise but ongoing challenges. The Dolphins have adapted well under Kristian Woolf, showing resilience despite injuries, while the Rabbitohs are still rebuilding under Bennett.
  • The two teams met in Round 1, with the Rabbitohs narrowly edging the Dolphins 16-14 in a hard-fought encounter at CommBank Stadium. Historically, the Rabbitohs have had the upper hand, but the Dolphins have been competitive since their introduction to the NRL. The current season’s first match was tightly contested, suggesting another close game is likely.
  • The Dolphins are missing Jack Bostock (ACL injury, season-ending), replaced by Junior Tupou on the wing. The Rabbitohs have been affected by injuries throughout the season but no new significant injury reports ahead of this match have been noted. Both teams are dealing with squad depth challenges but have named strong sides.
  • The match is now held at Suncorp Stadium due to Cyclone Alfred-related rescheduling. The venue is a home ground for the Dolphins, giving them a slight advantage. Two matches on the same day may affect crowd energy and player warmups, but both teams have had similar experience with these conditions. Weather appears stable for the match day.
  • The Dolphins are highly motivated to regain momentum and secure a vital win to bolster their finals chances. Facing their former coach adds an emotional edge. The Rabbitohs, despite a poor season so far, are driven to improve and gain confidence by upsetting a higher-ranked adversary, with key players like Alex Johnston aiming to continue personal milestones.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Dolphins: -162, South Sydney Rabbitohs: 140, Draw: 2100 Dolphins win ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Dolphins -3.5: -115, South Sydney Rabbitohs +3.5: -115 Dolphins to cover -3.5 points ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 49.5: -115, Under 49.5: -115 Under 49.5 points total ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Dolphins -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 49.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 49.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Dolphins are favored to win due to home advantage, stronger recent form, and motivation to rebound, but the Rabbitohs will keep it competitive. Expect a closely contested match with the Dolphins prevailing by a narrow margin.

Predicted Score: Dolphins 24 – Rabbitohs 20


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South Sydney Rabbitohs vs. Melbourne Storm Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Melbourne Storm – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: Saturday, June 21, 2025
  • Time: 9:35 AM UTC
  • Location: Accor Stadium, Sydney

Game Overview

The South Sydney Rabbitohs face off against the Melbourne Storm in Round 16 of the NRL Telstra Premiership. The Storm, traditionally one of the top teams in the league, are favored to win, reflecting their strong historical performance and current form. The Rabbitohs, however, have shown resilience and will be looking to upset the odds at home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Melbourne Storm have generally performed well in recent seasons, while South Sydney Rabbitohs have shown inconsistency in their results.
  • The Melbourne Storm have a strong head-to-head record against the South Sydney Rabbitohs, although the Rabbitohs may have individual matches where they have shown competitiveness.
  • Any significant injuries to key players could impact team performance; however, specific injury details are not provided.
  • Weather conditions and home advantage could influence the game, but without specific details, their impact is uncertain.
  • Both teams will be motivated to secure a win, but the Storm's stronger season form might give them an edge in terms of confidence and focus.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Melbourne Storm: -400, South Sydney Rabbitohs: 315, Draw: 2500 Melbourne Storm to win ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Melbourne Storm: -12.5 -110, South Sydney Rabbitohs: 12.5 -120 Melbourne Storm to cover the spread ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 46.5 -145, Under: 46.5 110 Over 46.5 points ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Melbourne Storm -13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 46.5 -7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 46.5 at -7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Melbourne Storm are predicted to win, given their strong form and historical dominance over the Rabbitohs.

Predicted Score: Melbourne Storm 24, South Sydney Rabbitohs 12


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