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Sydney Roosters vs. South Sydney Rabbitohs Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Sydney Roosters vs South Sydney Rabbitohs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-05
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Allianz Stadium, Sydney, Australia

Game Overview

The Sydney Roosters face the South Sydney Rabbitohs in a crucial Round 27 NRL match at Allianz Stadium. The Roosters sit 8th on the ladder needing a win to secure a top-eight spot and hence a finals berth, while the Rabbitohs are 13th, aiming to upset the Roosters and spoil their playoff hopes. Both teams boast strong lineups with key returning players and a heated rivalry amplified by the Ron Coote Cup history. The game promises a high-intensity, tightly contested battle.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Roosters come into the match with strong momentum following a commanding 40-10 win over the Melbourne Storm, showcasing sharp attack and solid defense. South Sydney, with a 9-14 record for the season, have struggled with consistency but are boosted by the return of Cameron Murray and Jack Wighton, restoring some much-needed experience and physicality.
  • Historically, the Roosters and Rabbitohs are fierce rivals with the Ron Coote Cup evenly contested. In 2025, Rabbitohs lead the Cup by six points thanks to a 20-14 Round 5 win over the Roosters. Previous recent encounters have seen the Roosters dominate aggregate scores, including high-scoring matches in 2024 and 2023. This rivalry heightens competitive intensity.
  • Key injury update sees Roosters welcoming back halfback Sam Walker from concussion, strengthening their halves. The Rabbitohs gain a major boost with Cameron Murray returning from a season-ending Achilles rupture and Jack Wighton back from suspension. However, Latrell Mitchell remains out with a back injury, which is a significant loss for South Sydney.
  • The match is played at Allianz Stadium, providing home-ground advantage to the Roosters. It is also the Roosters’ final home game of the regular season and Red Rooster Member’s Round, likely boosting atmosphere and motivation. Weather or other external conditions were not specified but assume typical Sydney early spring conditions.
  • The Roosters are motivated to win to clinch a finals spot and close their home regular season on a high. The Rabbitohs seek to extend their slim chance for finals contention and have an additional incentive as Alex Johnston chases the premiership try-scoring record during this game, making personal milestones a key motivational factor.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline South Sydney Rabbitohs: 310, Sydney Roosters: -385, Draw: 2300 Sydney Roosters ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread South Sydney Rabbitohs: 10.5 -105, Sydney Roosters: -10.5 -125 Sydney Roosters -10.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over: 50.5 -145, Under: 50.5 110 Over 50.5 points ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sydney Roosters -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 50.5 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 50.5 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on current form, home advantage, and squad strength, the Sydney Roosters are predicted to win this match. The return of key players and recent dominant performance position them as favorites, although the Rabbitohs' motivational storylines and key returning players could make the scoreline competitive.

Predicted Score: Sydney Roosters 28 – South Sydney Rabbitohs 18


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South Sydney Rabbitohs vs. St George Illawarra Dragons Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: South Sydney Rabbitohs vs St George Illawarra Dragons – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-21
  • Time: 9:50 AM UTC
  • Location: Accor Stadium, Sydney, Australia

Game Overview

The Round 25 NRL match between South Sydney Rabbitohs and St George Illawarra Dragons is scheduled for August 21, 2025, at Accor Stadium. This clash features two competitive teams with a closely contested history in the 2025 season. South Sydney enters with recent momentum, narrowly defeating St George Illawarra earlier in the year in a Round 2 match with a final score of 25-24. Both teams are battling for a strong position late in the season under experienced coaches Wayne Bennett (Rabbitohs) and Shane Flanagan (Dragons). The game is expected to be tight given their form and past encounters.

Key Factors to Consider

  • South Sydney Rabbitohs have displayed consistent form in 2025, recently winning against Parramatta in Round 24 and showing resilience in close encounters including a 1-point victory over the Dragons in Round 2. St George Illawarra Dragons are competitive but have had mixed results, evidenced by their Round 24 performance against the Warriors and close losses to South Sydney. Home advantage favors South Sydney at Accor Stadium.
  • In their 2025 Round 2 encounter, South Sydney narrowly defeated St George Illawarra Dragons 25-24, indicating a very close matchup historically this season. Their encounters tend to be low-scoring and tightly contested.
  • No explicit recent injury reports are indicated for either team that would markedly affect starting lineups. Past season injury notes indicated some player changes but no confirmed significant injury impact for this match currently.
  • The game is played in Sydney at Accor Stadium, providing home ground advantage for South Sydney. Weather and other conditions are unknown but assumed typical for Sydney in August (winter) which usually means dry, cool playing conditions favoring structured, tactical gameplay.
  • With the season nearing its conclusion, both teams are motivated to secure crucial points for finals qualification or positioning. South Sydney’s recent wins and slightly better form boost their confidence, while St George Illawarra will seek redemption from their narrow earlier loss and to maintain playoff hopes.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline South Sydney Rabbitohs: 104, St George Illawarra Dragons: -120, Draw: 2000 St George Illawarra Dragons (due to slightly better bookmaker odds) ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread South Sydney Rabbitohs: 1.5 -115, St George Illawarra Dragons: -1.5 -115 St George Illawarra Dragons to cover -1.5 spread ★★★☆☆ 53%
Over/under Over: 44.5 -110, Under: 44.5 -120 Under 44.5 points ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline St George Illawarra Dragons -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 44.5 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 44.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

South Sydney Rabbitohs are favored to win narrowly due to home advantage, recent form, and a psychological edge from their close Round 2 win. Expect a closely fought game decided by a small margin.

Predicted Score: South Sydney Rabbitohs 22 – 24 St George Illawarra Dragons


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South Sydney Rabbitohs vs. Parramatta Eels Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Parramatta Eels – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 9:35 AM UTC
  • Location: Accor Stadium, Sydney, Australia

Game Overview

The Round 24 NRL match between South Sydney Rabbitohs and Parramatta Eels will be held at Accor Stadium in Sydney. Both teams have been competitive this season with a recent encounter resulting in a draw, indicating a potentially tight contest.

Key Factors to Consider

  • South Sydney Rabbitohs have had strong home form and overall consistent performance in the 2025 season, while Parramatta Eels have demonstrated resilience and effective attack but faced defensive inconsistencies. Recent form suggests both teams are closely matched.
  • In their recent meeting in Round 24 earlier this season, the game ended in a draw, reflecting parity between the sides. Historically, South Sydney holds a slight advantage at home, but Parramatta has won key away games.
  • No significant injury updates have been reported close to the match date, suggesting both teams will field near full-strength squads.
  • The game is part of the Gadhu Gathering festival, which may motivate South Sydney with cultural performances and a charged home crowd atmosphere. Weather and pitch conditions at Accor Stadium in mid-August are typically cool and dry, suitable for fast rugby league.
  • South Sydney Rabbitohs aim to capitalize on home advantage and maintain their top-tier position in the league. Parramatta Eels are motivated to disrupt this plan and secure an away win to improve their standing, making this fixture highly competitive.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Parramatta Eels: -157, South Sydney Rabbitohs: 137, Draw: 2000 South Sydney Rabbitohs to win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Parramatta Eels: -3.5 -120, South Sydney Rabbitohs: +3.5 -110 South Sydney Rabbitohs +3.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over: 47.5 -115, Under: 47.5 -115 Under 47.5 points ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline South Sydney Rabbitohs 35%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 47.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: South Sydney Rabbitohs at 35% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the balanced head-to-head history, strong home advantage for South Sydney, and closely matched recent form, a narrow win for South Sydney is predicted, with Parramatta likely to keep it competitive till the final whistle.

Predicted Score: South Sydney Rabbitohs 24 – Parramatta Eels 20


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Gold Coast Titans vs. South Sydney Rabbitohs Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Gold Coast Titans vs South Sydney Rabbitohs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-10
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Cbus Super Stadium, Gold Coast, Australia

Game Overview

The Gold Coast Titans will host the South Sydney Rabbitohs in Round 23 of the 2025 NRL Telstra Premiership at Cbus Super Stadium. The match coincides with Indigenous Round, amplifying its significance with celebrations of First Nations culture. The Titans have had a challenging season but showed competitive spirit recently, while the Rabbitohs face an ongoing injury toll yet remain competitive.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Gold Coast Titans have struggled this season but demonstrated improved competitiveness in recent matches, including a narrow loss to the Broncos. South Sydney Rabbitohs, despite a severe injury toll, continue to apply strong pressure and skill, having made a good second-half effort in their recent games. Titans’ attacking combination of AJ Brimson and Jayden Campbell has been effective lately.
  • Recent head-to-head data indicates tightly contested matches between these teams, with no single dominant side emerging at this venue. Historical encounters at Cbus Super Stadium show mixed results, supporting the expectation of a close contest.
  • South Sydney Rabbitohs have a notable injury toll impacting key players, which could affect their depth and stamina. Gold Coast Titans have fewer injury concerns but rely heavily on the form and fitness of core players like AJ Brimson and Jayden Campbell.
  • The match being played at home for the Titans in Indigenous Round is significant, potentially providing extra motivation and crowd support. Weather conditions and referee assignments are standard for this venue and time, unlikely to disproportionately affect gameplay.
  • Gold Coast Titans are motivated to avoid the wooden spoon and secure much-needed points late in the season. South Sydney Rabbitohs aim to maintain their competitive edge despite injuries and build momentum towards finals contention.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Gold Coast Titans: -168, South Sydney Rabbitohs: 144, Draw: 2000 Gold Coast Titans win ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Gold Coast Titans -4.5: -105, South Sydney Rabbitohs +4.5: -125 Gold Coast Titans to cover -4.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 53.5: -115, Under 53.5: -115 Over 53.5 points ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Gold Coast Titans -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 53.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 53.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The match is expected to be closely contested with a slight edge to the Gold Coast Titans based on recent form, home advantage, and motivation factors. South Sydney Rabbitohs will challenge strongly but might struggle to overcome the spread.

Predicted Score: Gold Coast Titans 28 – 22 South Sydney Rabbitohs


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Brisbane Broncos vs. South Sydney Rabbitohs Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Brisbane Broncos vs South Sydney Rabbitohs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-01
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane

Game Overview

The Brisbane Broncos host the South Sydney Rabbitohs in a critical NRL Round 22 match at Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane. The Broncos enter as strong favourites riding a wave of momentum and strong home form, while the Rabbitohs face significant challenges on the road and recent inconsistent performances. This match is key for both teams' season trajectories, with Brisbane expected to dominate defensively.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Brisbane Broncos have shown strong form leading up to this match, playing with momentum and leveraging a nearly unbeatable home advantage under Friday night lights. Their attack and defense statistics are superior to South Sydney, with an 8.7 points per game advantage in attack and a solid defensive line. The Rabbitohs have struggled away from home and lack consistency, which is likely to be exploited by the Broncos.
  • Recent head-to-head matches heavily favour Brisbane Broncos, both in overall power rankings (Broncos 5 vs Rabbitohs 17) and specific attack and defense metrics. The last meetings have seen Broncos come out on top or produce competitive results, strengthening their psychological edge and confidence going into this game.
  • No specific injury information is provided in the current data, implying no major known absences affecting either side. Both teams appear to be close to full strength.
  • Playing at Suncorp Stadium strongly favours Brisbane due to crowd support and familiarity with conditions. The home ground factor is significant in motivating the Broncos and impacting the Rabbitohs' ability to perform optimally.
  • Brisbane Broncos are highly motivated to maintain their successful run and secure a critical home win. The Rabbitohs, on the other hand, seek to arrest their away form slump and prove resilience but face a challenging environment and momentum deficit.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Brisbane Broncos: -675, South Sydney Rabbitohs: 460, Draw: 2800 Brisbane Broncos Win ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Brisbane Broncos: -16.5 -110, South Sydney Rabbitohs: +16.5 -120 Brisbane Broncos to Cover -16.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 49.5: -115, Under 49.5: -115 Under 49.5 Points ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Brisbane Broncos -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 49.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 49.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Brisbane Broncos are predicted to win decisively given their superior form, home ground advantage, and statistical dominance, likely resulting in a moderate scoring blowout with defense limiting Rabbitohs' scoring opportunities.

Predicted Score: Brisbane Broncos 28 – South Sydney Rabbitohs 13


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South Sydney Rabbitohs vs. Cronulla Sutherland Sharks Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Cronulla Sutherland Sharks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 9:35 AM UTC
  • Location: Industree Group Stadium, Gosford

Game Overview

The South Sydney Rabbitohs host the Cronulla Sutherland Sharks in a crucial mid-season NRL clash. The Rabbitohs have struggled for form and consistency this year, while the Sharks are pushing for a top-four finish. The neutral venue in Gosford removes traditional home advantage, leveling the playing field for both sides. Cronulla is favored due to superior recent form, but the margin is expected to be tighter than the bookies' lines suggest[1].

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Sharks have been more consistent, averaging nearly 6 more points per game than the Rabbitohs, with a stronger defense and upward-trending form. South Sydney, in contrast, has been sliding down the ladder and will be desperate to turn their season around[1]. The Rabbitohs managed to salvage some pride by winning the second half in their previous encounter, but the Sharks' early dominance proved decisive in a 27-12 victory earlier in the season[2].
  • Recent head-to-head results have been surprisingly competitive, but Cronulla holds a clear edge in attack and defense. Their power ranking of 9.0 (vs. Souths' 13.5) further underscores their superiority[1]. The last meeting saw Cronulla dominate early and hold on for a solid win, with key players like Nicho Hynes and Blayke Brailey making significant impacts[2][5].
  • No specific injury updates are available in the provided sources, but team news closer to game time should be monitored for last-minute changes.
  • The game is played at a neutral venue (Industree Group Stadium), which removes home ground advantage and creates a more even contest[1]. Gosford's conditions may favor a grind, given the predicted total (see below).
  • Cronulla is motivated to cement a top-four spot, while South Sydney is desperate to revive their season. The psychological edge could be with the Sharks, but the Rabbitohs will be fighting for survival[1].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sharks: -435, Rabbitohs: 350, Draw: 2500 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks ★★★☆☆ 57%
Spread Sharks -12.5: -110, Rabbitohs +12.5: -120 Rabbitohs +12.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 47.5: -125, Under 47.5: -105 Under 47.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks -30%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 47.5 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cronulla Sutherland Sharks are favored to win, but the margin will likely be closer than the bookies' 12.5-point spread suggests, reflecting the Rabbitohs' desperation and the neutral venue. Expect a low-scoring, grinding affair with defense dominating. The predicted total (over/under) is below the bookmakers' line, so the under is the value play. However, Cronulla’s superior consistency and firepower should see them through, though not by a blowout[1].

Predicted Score: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks 20 – South Sydney Rabbitohs 17


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Penrith Panthers vs. South Sydney Rabbitohs Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Penrith Panthers vs South Sydney Rabbitohs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-18
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: CommBank Stadium, Sydney, Australia

Game Overview

The upcoming Round 20 NRL match features the Penrith Panthers hosting the South Sydney Rabbitohs at CommBank Stadium. The Panthers are coming into this game in strong form, having won five consecutive matches and currently positioned 6th on the ladder. Conversely, the Rabbitohs are struggling with form and injuries, sitting 16th and on a six-game losing streak. The Panthers are the favorites but the Rabbitohs have shown resilience previously, including a Round 4 win over the Panthers without full strength.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Penrith Panthers have won 12 of their last 15 games against the Rabbitohs and hold momentum with five straight wins recently. The Rabbitohs have suffered from significant injury troubles and are close to receiving the wooden spoon, reflecting a difficult season.
  • Penrith Panthers have dominated recent encounters, including a narrow 30-26 win in Round 18, replicating the margin from an earlier season match. South Sydney's last win over Penrith was in Round 4 with a convincing 28-18 result even missing key player Latrell Mitchell.
  • The Rabbitohs have been severely impacted by injuries all season, weakening their squad depth and performance. Penrith has managed player rotation effectively, resting Ivan Cleary and Justin Yeo while recalling T.R. Dodd to maintain team strength.
  • The match is played at CommBank Stadium, Sydney, offering home ground advantage to Penrith. The State of Origin period is over and the Panthers have adapted well, facing a series of lower-ranked opponents.
  • Penrith is highly motivated to climb in the ladder and maintain their premiership defense momentum. The Rabbitohs are desperate to end their losing streak and avoid the wooden spoon, adding psychological pressure and urgency.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Penrith Panthers: -250, South Sydney Rabbitohs: 205, Draw: 2300 Penrith Panthers ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Penrith Panthers: -8.5 -110, South Sydney Rabbitohs: +8.5 -120 Penrith Panthers to cover -8.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over: 46.5 -115, Under: 46.5 -115 Over 46.5 total points ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Penrith Panthers -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 46.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 46.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the momentum, stronger squad, and favorable home conditions, Penrith Panthers are predicted to win. However, South Sydney Rabbitohs may challenge strongly as motivated underdogs given their resilience in certain past matches.

Predicted Score: Penrith Panthers 28 – 18 South Sydney Rabbitohs


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Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs. South Sydney Rabbitohs Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs South Sydney Rabbitohs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-06
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: 4 Pines Park, Sydney

Game Overview

The upcoming NRL Round 18 match features Manly Warringah Sea Eagles hosting the South Sydney Rabbitohs at 4 Pines Park. Both teams come into the game after their Round 17 clashes; Manly faced Wests Tigers while South Sydney played against the Dolphins. The match is expected to be competitive given their recent encounter in the same round ended in a draw.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Manly Sea Eagles have shown solid home form and competitive spirit, demonstrated by a recent draw with South Sydney in Round 18 earlier in the season. South Sydney Rabbitohs maintain strong form led by experienced coach Wayne Bennett and key players like Alex Johnston and Jack Wighton, indicating a balanced and motivated squad.
  • Recent head-to-head includes a 2025 Round 18 match that finished in a draw at 4 Pines Park, highlighting the close contest between these two teams. In reserve grade matches, South Sydney Reserve narrowly defeated Manly Reserve 24-22, underscoring tight competition.
  • No significant injuries have been reported for either side from the latest squad announcements, with South Sydney naming a full-strength 21-player squad including key players like Alex Johnston and Jack Wighton. Manly's injury report is stable with no major absences noted.
  • The match is played at Manly's home ground, which could provide them a home advantage. Weather or other external conditions are not indicated to impact the match significantly. Coaching strategies by Anthony Seibold (Manly) and Wayne Bennett (South Sydney) will be pivotal.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure a win to improve their standings, with South Sydney aiming to build momentum before Round 20 against Penrith, and Manly preparing for a tough Round 20 clash against Melbourne. The previous draw between them adds impetus to claim outright victory.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline manly: -290, south_sydney: 230, draw: 2300 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread manly: -9.5 -115, south_sydney: +9.5 -115 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles -9.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under over: 47.5 -115, under: 47.5 -115 Over 47.5 points ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manly Warringah Sea Eagles -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 47.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 47.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

South Sydney Rabbitohs are marginal favorites due to their stable squad, coaching experience, and recent form, but the match will be close given Manly's strong home performance and recent draw between these teams.

Predicted Score: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 28 – 22 South Sydney Rabbitohs


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Dolphins vs. South Sydney Rabbitohs Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Dolphins vs South Sydney Rabbitohs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-28
  • Time: 9:50 AM UTC
  • Location: Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane

Game Overview

The Round 17 NRL match between the Dolphins and South Sydney Rabbitohs is set to take place at Suncorp Stadium on June 28, 2025. This game is significant for both teams: the Dolphins are positioned 9th on the ladder, aiming to stay in finals contention after a recent defeat, while the Rabbitohs sit 16th and seek to improve after a tough start to the season. The match is notable for the coaching faceoff between Wayne Bennett, the Rabbitohs coach and former Dolphins coach, and Kristian Woolf, the current Dolphins coach and Bennett’s protege. The game is expected to be competitive with both sides motivated to break their recent losing streaks.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Dolphins have shown potential but faltered last week against the Knights, sitting just outside the top eight and needing a win to re-enter finals contention. South Sydney Rabbitohs have improved but remain inconsistent, suffering a narrow golden point loss to Melbourne last round. Key player performances include Rabbitohs winger Alex Johnston, who has scored 10 tries in his last five games and is chasing a historic try-scoring record.
  • The teams met in the season opener with the Rabbitohs edging the Dolphins 16-14 in a close and gritty match. Historically, the Rabbitohs have had the upper hand in recent encounters, but the Dolphins have been competitive, especially under Woolf's coaching.
  • The Dolphins have suffered a blow with the season-ending ACL injury to Jack Bostock, replaced by Junior Tupou on the wing. The Rabbitohs have had ongoing injury issues throughout the season but no major last-minute changes have been reported for this match.
  • The match was relocated to Suncorp Stadium due to Cyclone Alfred earlier in the season, where it was originally scheduled for Sydney. The game is part of a unique scheduling situation with the Broncos-Warriors game earlier the same day at the same venue. Fans should expect a dry day game with sun safety considerations. The stadium operates cashless and has strict entry requirements, but none of these factors are expected to influence performance.
  • Both teams are highly motivated: the Dolphins want to bounce back from a losing streak and keep their finals hopes alive, while the Rabbitohs seek to end a prolonged poor run over the last two seasons and build momentum. The coaching duel between Bennett and Woolf adds an additional psychological edge, especially for the Dolphins who want to prove their new coach’s ability against his mentor.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Dolphins: -162, South Sydney Rabbitohs: 140, Draw: 2100 Dolphins win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Dolphins -3.5: -115, South Sydney Rabbitohs +3.5: -115 Dolphins -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 49.5: -115, Under 49.5: -115 Over 49.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Dolphins 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 49.5 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 49.5 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Dolphins, playing at home and fighting to stay in the top eight, are favored to win by a narrow margin against the struggling Rabbitohs. The Rabbitohs’ recent form and presence of key players like Alex Johnston make the match competitive, but the Dolphins' motivation and home advantage give them the edge.

Predicted Score: Dolphins 26 – South Sydney Rabbitohs 20


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South Sydney Rabbitohs vs. Melbourne Storm Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Melbourne Storm – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-21
  • Time: 9:35 AM UTC
  • Location: Sydney, Australia

Game Overview

The upcoming NRL match between South Sydney Rabbitohs and Melbourne Storm is a highly anticipated clash, with Melbourne Storm historically dominant in the head-to-head record. Despite recent struggles against Storm, South Sydney will seek to leverage their home advantage to improve their record.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Melbourne Storm have been in strong form, winning the majority of their recent matches including a dominant 54-20 victory over South Sydney earlier in 2024. South Sydney have had a mixed season with some strong performances but struggle against Storm's tactical discipline.
  • Across 42 games, Melbourne Storm have won 35 times, while South Sydney have won 7 times. Recent encounters favor Melbourne, including a 24-16 win in April 2025 and a 28-16 win in August 2024, underscoring Storm's superiority.
  • No specific injury reports are available, but typical mid-season fatigue and minor injuries may affect player availability for both teams. Monitoring last-minute updates is recommended.
  • The match is played in Sydney, giving South Sydney the home ground advantage. Weather conditions and pitch quality are expected to be standard with no major disruptions forecasted.
  • South Sydney will be highly motivated to break their losing streak against Melbourne, especially at home. Melbourne Storm will aim to continue asserting dominance and consolidate their position in the league standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Melbourne Storm: -400, South Sydney Rabbitohs: 315, Draw: 2500 Melbourne Storm ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Melbourne Storm: -12.5 -110, South Sydney Rabbitohs: +12.5 -120 Melbourne Storm to cover -12.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 46.5: -145, Under 46.5: 110 Over 46.5 points ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Melbourne Storm -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 46.5 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 46.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Melbourne Storm are favored to win given their consistent dominance in recent head-to-head matches and overall season form. However, South Sydney’s home advantage and motivation to improve their record suggest a competitive match with a margin around two converted tries.

Predicted Score: Melbourne Storm 28 – 16 South Sydney Rabbitohs


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