Match Analysis: North Texas Mean Green vs South Florida Bulls – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-10
• Time: 11:30 PM UTC
• Location: DATCU Stadium, Denton, TX

Game Overview

North Texas Mean Green (5-0) hosts South Florida Bulls (4-1) in a pivotal American Athletic Conference matchup. South Florida is favored by 1.5 points with an over/under total near 67.5, highlighting expectations of a competitive, high-scoring game.

Key Factors to Consider

• North Texas enters undefeated at 5-0 with strong defensive metrics, while South Florida holds a solid 4-1 record, showing offensive efficiency but with slightly less defensive consistency.
• Recent head-to-head data is limited, but current season performance favors North Texas's momentum. Both teams have strong AAC conference records, making this a key divisional game.
• No major injuries reported for either team affecting key starters, maintaining full strength rosters for both sides.
• Game played at North Texas home field with warm but stable weather (80°F, 0% rain, minimal wind) which benefits both teams' style of play.
• North Texas is motivated to preserve their perfect record and defend home turf; South Florida aims to assert dominance on the road and maintain AAC title hopes.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

South Florida Bulls to win straight up on the moneyline despite home dog status due to slight edge in offensive firepower and conference experience. Against the spread, the Bulls cover the -1.5 favor and the total likely goes over 67.5 points given offensive capabilities and defensive vulnerabilities.

Predicted Score: South Florida 35 – North Texas 31

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +395

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $99.03

Match Analysis: South Florida Bulls vs Charlotte 49ers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-03
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, Florida

Game Overview

South Florida Bulls (3-1) host AAC rival Charlotte 49ers (1-3). South Florida is a massive favorite, despite a 0-0 AAC record, while Charlotte is 0-1 in conference and coming off a loss to Rice.

Key Factors to Consider

• South Florida has a solid 3-1 record and just routed FCS opponent South Carolina State 63-14. Charlotte is 1-3, struggling both offensively and defensively, and ranks lower in conference standings[1][5].
• Recent head-to-head data unavailable, but South Florida is 4-1 against the spread (ATS) in its last 5 games, showing strong recent performance versus expectations[4].
• No significant injury news reported in current sources.
• Game played at Raymond James Stadium, a clear home-field advantage for South Florida. No major weather or scheduling impacts reported.
• South Florida is eyeing AAC contention and will look to dominate in-conference. Charlotte is struggling and lacks momentum, but could play loose as heavy underdogs.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Expect South Florida to dominate statistically and on the scoreboard, but Charlotte may cover as massive underdogs, especially given the wide spread and South Florida's occasional inconsistency when heavily favored.

Predicted Score: South Florida 42, Charlotte 17

Match Analysis: South Florida Bulls vs South Carolina State Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-20
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL

Game Overview

South Florida Bulls host South Carolina State Bulldogs in an early season NCAAF matchup. Both teams entered with identical 2-1 records, but South Florida carries a strong home advantage and higher offensive firepower. South Carolina State is a significant underdog with long odds reflecting a presumed mismatch.

Key Factors to Consider

• South Florida is 2-1 in recent games and has covered the spread 2-1, showing a solid form especially at home. South Carolina State is also 2-1 but suffered a heavy loss recently (12-49 vs Miami) highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.
• Recent direct comparisons are limited or unavailable, but public betting shows balanced interest. This suggests a lack of significant head-to-head history or dominance.
• No significant injuries reported for either team ahead of this contest, indicating both squads should be at near full strength.
• Weather is expected to be clear, around 86°F with no rain and low wind, ideal conditions for an offensive game.
• South Florida likely motivated to assert dominance at home early in the season against a weaker opponent, while South Carolina State may be motivated as an underdog but faces a tough challenge.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

South Florida Bulls to win decisively and cover the large spread, with the game likely going under the total set line due to South Carolina State's limited offensive output.

Predicted Score: South Florida Bulls 38 – South Carolina State Bulldogs 14

Match Analysis: Miami Hurricanes vs South Florida Bulls – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-13
• Time: 8:30 PM UTC
• Location: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, Florida

Game Overview

The No. 5 Miami Hurricanes (2-0) host the No. 18 South Florida Bulls (2-0) in a critical matchup with Miami favored by 17.5 points. Miami has shown dominance on defense and offense, averaging 36 points per game without turnovers, while South Florida is riding momentum from winning two straight against ranked opponents.

Key Factors to Consider

• Miami has beaten Bethune-Cookman 45-3 and Notre Dame narrowly, showing both offensive firepower and strong defense. South Florida won tightly against Florida 18-16, demonstrating resilience but less scoring ability.
• Historically, Miami dominates at home with 16 wins in their last 17 home games vs. South Florida. Recent H2H favors Miami's superior talent and experience.
• No major injuries reported impacting starting lineups significantly for either team.
• Game played at Miami's home stadium, Hard Rock Stadium, offering them crowd support and familiarity. The Bulls may face a challenging travel factor.
• South Florida is highly motivated to prove themselves against a top-5 team and keep their unbeaten streak; Miami seeks to affirm dominance in the ACC and maintain their top-5 status.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Miami Hurricanes to win outright and cover the spread appears unlikely given Miami's coach Cristobal's poor home favorite ATS record. The safest highest EV single outcome bet is Miami moneyline, though with a large favorite price. Over 57.5 points is also plausible given Miami's offense and South Florida's ability to score some points.

Predicted Score: Miami Hurricanes 38 – South Florida Bulls 21

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: -156

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $32.84

Match Analysis: Florida Gators vs South Florida Bulls – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-06
• Time: 8:15 PM UTC
• Location: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium

Game Overview

The Florida Gators, a top-15 ranked team, face the South Florida Bulls, both undefeated this season but with vastly different program profiles. Florida is heavily favored and has dominated past head-to-head meetings.

Key Factors to Consider

• Florida has shown dominant form with a 55-0 season opener, excelling in total yardage and first downs, while South Florida also enters undefeated but at a lower competitive level.
• Florida leads the series 3-0 against South Florida, winning all prior matchups decisively.
• Florida's key offensive players are healthy, including returning wide receiver Eugene Wilson III post hip surgery; South Florida's injury status shows no major absences.
• Game played at Florida's home stadium with high fan support; no adverse weather or other external disruptions expected.
• Florida aims to maintain national ranking momentum; South Florida motivated to prove competitiveness against a powerhouse program.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Florida Gators to win outright, cover the -17.5 point spread, and the game to go under 56.5 total points with a final score near 32-25.

Predicted Score: Florida 32 – South Florida 25

Match Analysis: South Florida Bulls vs Boise State Broncos – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-28
• Time: 9:30 PM UTC
• Location: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, Florida

Game Overview

This Week 1 NCAA matchup features the No. 25 Boise State Broncos visiting the South Florida Bulls. Boise State enters with a top-5 scoring offense from last season but without star RB Ashton Jeanty, while South Florida is aiming to bounce back with QB Byrum Brown returning from injury. Both offenses are potent but defenses are suspect, setting the stage for a high-scoring and competitive game.

Key Factors to Consider

• Boise State scored 37.3 points per game last season (5th nationally) while allowing 22.6 points; South Florida averaged 32.2 points (33rd) but allowed 29.8 points (99th). Boise State has more consistent offensive returning starters and a two-headed rushing attack, while South Florida relies on Byrum Brown's return to full form.
• Limited recent meetings with no significant history favoring either team; Boise State’s pedigree and more recent national relevance tilt slight advantage.
• Boise State lost Ashton Jeanty to the NFL, affecting their ground game; South Florida’s Byrum Brown returns from a serious leg injury and is key to their offensive threat.
• Game played in Tampa’s warm, humid climate could impact Boise State's performance negatively due to southern heat conditions; it is also South Florida's home game providing crowd advantage.
• Boise State aims to affirm Group of 5 playoff contenders status without Jeanty; South Florida seeks a statement win at home to build on last season's bowl success.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Boise State to win straight up on the moneyline given their superior roster stability and offensive firepower, despite the challenging away environment. The game is expected to be close with Boise State covering the 6.5-point spread and the total going over 63.5 points due to both defenses' vulnerabilities and explosive offenses.

Predicted Score: Boise State 34 – South Florida 27

Match Analysis: South Florida Bulls vs East Carolina Pirates – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-05-20
• Time: 11:30 PM UTC
• Location: BayCare Ballpark, Clearwater, Florida

Game Overview

The South Florida Bulls and East Carolina Pirates face off in the opening game of the 2025 American Athletic Tournament. Both teams have had competitive seasons, with USF holding a slight edge having recently dominated East Carolina 10-0 in a regular season matchup. The Bulls secured the No. 3 seed and will host this tournament game at BayCare Ballpark. East Carolina enters as the No. 6 seed. The recent run-rule victory by USF highlights their strong form and pitching, while ECU will look to rebound and adjust their strategy.

Key Factors to Consider

• South Florida Bulls (28-23 overall, 15-11 conference) have shown strong offensive and pitching capabilities, notably shutting out East Carolina 10-0 in their last meeting. Corey Braun's pitching and Marcus Brodil's hitting have been key contributors. East Carolina Pirates (29-24 overall, 13-13 conference) have a balanced season but showed vulnerability against USF's pitching in their recent matchup.
• The most recent head-to-head was decisively won by South Florida Bulls 10-0 in 7 innings. This result evens their regular season series and showcases USF's dominance at home over ECU.
• No specific injury reports available for either team before this matchup, suggesting both squads should be near full strength.
• The game takes place at BayCare Ballpark, a neutral site but geographically closer and more familiar to South Florida Bulls, potentially giving them a slight home advantage. Weather conditions and other external factors are typical for Florida in May with no reported disruptions.
• South Florida Bulls are highly motivated as the higher seed and playing on home soil, aiming to capitalize on their recent dominant win and secure a strong tournament start. East Carolina Pirates, as the lower seed and defeated recently by USF, will be motivated to avenge that loss and advance in the tournament.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

South Florida Bulls are favored to win given their recent commanding performance over East Carolina and the home-site advantage. Expect USF to leverage strong pitching and timely hitting to control the game.

Predicted Score: South Florida Bulls 6 – East Carolina Pirates 3

Top EV Parlay for Baseball – May 20, 2025

Combined Odds: +451 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $110.14