Match Analysis: South Florida Bulls vs South Carolina State Bulldogs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-20
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL
Game Overview
South Florida Bulls host South Carolina State Bulldogs in an early season NCAAF matchup. Both teams entered with identical 2-1 records, but South Florida carries a strong home advantage and higher offensive firepower. South Carolina State is a significant underdog with long odds reflecting a presumed mismatch.
Key Factors to Consider
- South Florida is 2-1 in recent games and has covered the spread 2-1, showing a solid form especially at home. South Carolina State is also 2-1 but suffered a heavy loss recently (12-49 vs Miami) highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.
- Recent direct comparisons are limited or unavailable, but public betting shows balanced interest. This suggests a lack of significant head-to-head history or dominance.
- No significant injuries reported for either team ahead of this contest, indicating both squads should be at near full strength.
- Weather is expected to be clear, around 86°F with no rain and low wind, ideal conditions for an offensive game.
- South Florida likely motivated to assert dominance at home early in the season against a weaker opponent, while South Carolina State may be motivated as an underdog but faces a tough challenge.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | South Florida Bulls: -4500, South Carolina State Bulldogs: +1600 | South Florida Bulls | ★★★★★ 92% |
| Spread | South Florida Bulls: -27.5 -118, South Carolina State Bulldogs: +27.5 -104 | South Florida Bulls -27.5 | ★★★★☆ 85% |
| Over/under | Over: 56.5 -110, Under: 56.5 -110 | Under 56.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | South Florida Bulls -8% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 56.5 15% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 56.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
South Florida Bulls to win decisively and cover the large spread, with the game likely going under the total set line due to South Carolina State's limited offensive output.
Predicted Score: South Florida Bulls 38 – South Carolina State Bulldogs 14