Match Analysis: Salah Eddine Hamli vs Souhil Tairi – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-27
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: The Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
Game Overview
The lightweight tournament semifinal at PFL MENA 3 features undefeated Algerian Salah Eddine Hamli (record 9-0) facing off against Souhil Tairi (record 8-6-1) in a high-stakes matchup with a spot in the PFL MENA finals on the line. Both fighters weighed in close to the 155 lb lightweight limit. The event is part of the PFL MENA regional league and streamed live on DAZN, drawing significant local and regional attention.
Key Factors to Consider
- Salah Eddine Hamli comes into this bout undefeated with nine wins and no losses, showing strong consistent performances and momentum. Souhil Tairi has a more mixed record of 8 wins, 6 losses, and 1 draw, indicating less consistency and more vulnerability under pressure.
- There is no record of a previous encounter between Salah Eddine Hamli and Souhil Tairi, making this their first face-off.
- No reported injuries for either fighter heading into the bout as of the latest weigh-in results and official announcements.
- The fight is held in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, potentially favoring Hamli due to regional familiarity and crowd support. The event is a semifinal in the PFL MENA tournament, increasing stakes and fighter motivation.
- Hamli is highly motivated to maintain his unbeaten streak and secure a finals berth. Tairi, with a more moderate record, is motivated to upset an undefeated opponent and advance further in the tournament.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Salah Eddine Hamli: -320, Souhil Tairi: 260 | Salah Eddine Hamli to win | ★★★★☆ 85% |
| Spread | Salah Eddine Hamli -1.5 rounds: -110, Souhil Tairi +1.5 rounds: -110 | Salah Eddine Hamli -1.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds: -105, Under 2.5 rounds: -115 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Salah Eddine Hamli -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Salah Eddine Hamli at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the undefeated status of Salah Eddine Hamli, his regional advantage, consistent performance, and stronger record, the prediction favors Hamli to win the fight decisively, likely via dominant striking or grappling to secure a finish or decision victory.
Predicted Score: Salah Eddine Hamli wins by TKO in round 2