Sonny Bill Williams vs. Paul Gallen Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Sonny Bill Williams vs Paul Gallen – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-16
  • Time: 7:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Qudos Bank Arena, Sydney Olympic Park, NSW

Game Overview

Boxing heavyweight bout featuring former rugby star Sonny Bill Williams against ex-NRL captain Paul Gallen, scheduled for 8 rounds at Qudos Bank Arena. Both athletes have transitioned from rugby to boxing, bringing notable strength and competitive experience.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sonny Bill Williams has demonstrated high-level boxing skill and fitness in recent bouts, improving his technique and conditioning. Paul Gallen, while experienced and a tough competitor, has faced more wear from previous fights and is slightly older.
  • No previous professional boxing matches between the two, but a decade-long rivalry with intense trash talk has built strong motivation on both sides.
  • No significant recent injuries reported for either fighter, both appear in good physical condition for the fight.
  • Fight is held in Sydney, potentially giving hometown advantage to Paul Gallen as an Australian NRL figure, though Williams also has strong fan support. The event is highly publicized with peak motivation levels.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated; Williams appears to be channeling a decade of provocation into focus, while Gallen aims to defend his reputation and leverage his home crowd.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sonny Bill Williams: -125, Paul Gallen: -105 Sonny Bill Williams ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Sonny Bill Williams -1.5: -110, Paul Gallen +1.5: -110 Sonny Bill Williams -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 7.5 rounds: -115, Under 7.5 rounds: -105 Under 7.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Paul Gallen -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Paul Gallen at -5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sonny Bill Williams to win on the moneyline by knockout or decision

Predicted Score: Sonny Bill Williams wins by KO or decision before 8 rounds


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