Match Analysis: Marco Verde vs Sona Akale – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-13
• Time: 10:30 PM UTC
• Location: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Game Overview

The upcoming middleweight boxing bout features Marco Verde, a strong favorite with heavy odds support, versus Sona Akale, the underdog. Fight scheduled for 6 rounds at Allegiant Stadium, with Verde expected to dominate based on historical form and bookmaker lines.

Key Factors to Consider

• Marco Verde has a solid recent record and reputation, while Sona Akale has fewer high-profile wins and more recent losses, including a decision loss to Nico Ali Walsh in 2024.
• No direct previous encounters recorded between Marco Verde and Sona Akale, limiting H2H analysis.
• No reported injuries affecting either fighter leading into this contest.
• Fight on neutral ground in Las Vegas, with no noted travel or environmental challenges to either fighter. Venue is a major fight location often favoring experienced fighters accustomed to pressure.
• Marco Verde appears highly motivated to maintain rising star trajectory and cement his reputation; Sona Akale likely motivated to prove himself but is a clear underdog.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: -5000, away: +1500	Marco Verde	★★★★★ 93%
Spread	Marco Verde -4.5: -110, Sona Akale +4.5: -110	Marco Verde -4.5	★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under	over 5.5 rounds: -115, under 5.5 rounds: -105	Under 5.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Marco Verde -5%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Marco Verde at -5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Marco Verde moneyline win

Predicted Score: Marco Verde wins by unanimous decision, 6 rounds