Match Analysis: Solomon Simon vs Caique Araujo – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 6:00 AM UTC
- Location: London, England
Game Overview
Solomon Simon faces Caique Araujo in a high-stakes MMA bout at Cage Warriors 196. Simon is the heavy favorite, with odds reflecting his dominance in recent form and local advantage. Araujo is the underdog, but has shown resilience and finishing ability in past fights.
Key Factors to Consider
- Solomon Simon has won his last 5 fights, all by decision or finish, showing consistent dominance. Caique Araujo has gone 3-2 in his last 5, with both losses coming against top-tier competition. Simon’s striking and grappling control are superior, while Araujo relies on explosive offense and submission threats.
- No previous meetings between the two fighters.
- No reported injuries for either fighter.
- Simon fights at home in London, giving him crowd support and familiarity with the environment. The event is a title fight, increasing pressure and motivation for both.
- Simon is defending his status as a top contender, while Araujo is looking to upset the favorite and elevate his ranking.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -700, away: 425 | Solomon Simon | ★★★★☆ 74% |
| Spread | home: -2.5, away: +2.5 | Solomon Simon -2.5 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Over/under | over: 1.5, under: 1.5 | Over 1.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Solomon Simon -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Solomon Simon at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Solomon Simon wins by decision or late finish, controlling the pace and neutralizing Araujo’s offense.
Predicted Score: Solomon Simon wins by decision after 3 rounds