Match Analysis: Sodiq Yusuff vs Mairon Santos – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: May 18, 2025
- Time: 12:45 AM UTC
- Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas
Game Overview
Sodiq Yusuff, a featherweight, is moving up to lightweight on short notice to face Mairon Santos at UFC Vegas 106. Yusuff is returning after over a year following consecutive losses, while Santos is coming off a win and is a winner of The Ultimate Fighter 32.
Key Factors to Consider
- Sodiq Yusuff has a 13-4 record but has not fought since April 2024, losing his last two fights. Mairon Santos has a 15-1 record and is coming off a win at UFC 313.
- This is the first fight between Sodiq Yusuff and Mairon Santos.
- No significant injury reports for either fighter.
- Yusuff's weight class change might affect his performance. Santos's recent win could boost his confidence.
- Both fighters are motivated to win, with Yusuff looking to end his losing streak and Santos seeking to continue his winning form.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mairon Santos: -135, Sodiq Yusuff: 114 | Mairon Santos to win | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Spread | Mairon Santos: -3.5 140, Sodiq Yusuff: 3.5 -190 | Take Mairon Santos -3.5 for a risky bet | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
| Over/under | Over: 2.5 -220, Under: 2.5 170 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mairon Santos -99% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 -98% |
⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.
Predicted Outcome
Based on recent performances, Mairon Santos is favored to win.
Predicted Score: Mairon Santos by TKO in Round 1