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Aston Villa vs. Bournemouth Prediction EPL in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Aston Villa vs Bournemouth – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-09
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Villa Park

Game Overview

Aston Villa will host Bournemouth in a Premier League clash at Villa Park. Villa sit in the top 5 with a solid recent form, while Bournemouth are mid-table with a mixed record. Both teams have scoring potential but Villa have a slight defensive edge and home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Aston Villa have won 3 of their last 5 games and 3-1 against the spread recently; Bournemouth sit lower in the table with fewer points (15 vs 18 for Villa) and a less consistent recent form.
  • Previous matchups indicate balanced competition but Aston Villa have had the upper hand recently, including home performances shown by 3-1 ATS record.
  • No major injury concerns reported that would severely impact either side’s starting XI.
  • Villa playing at home (Villa Park), with stronger public betting interest reflected by 73% bets on Villa; no adverse weather or travel factors noted.
  • Villa have a higher position in the table and motivation to consolidate top 5 status; Bournemouth motivated to improve mid-table standing but less so than Villa.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: 120, away: 230, draw: 240 Home ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread home: -112, away: -108 Aston Villa -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under over: -115, under: -105 Over 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Aston Villa 87%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Aston Villa at 87% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 36.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Aston Villa to win

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Bologna vs. Napoli Prediction Serie A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Bologna vs Napoli – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-09
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna, Italy

Game Overview

Napoli enters the match as a slight favorite based on odds, but Bologna has shown resilience at home and strong defensive tactics. Napoli has a better overall form but is currently experiencing a dip in attacking efficiency. This matchup is expected to be tightly contested with limited goal-scoring opportunities.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Napoli holds a superior league record at 7-2-1, while Bologna is 5-2-3, showing solid but less consistent form. Napoli struggles in recent matches with only one goal in three, indicating offensive issues, while Bologna thrives on organized defense and counterattacks.
  • Recent head-to-head meetings have been low scoring, with under 2.5 goals in 3 of the last 4 encounters and multiple goalless draws, suggesting a defensive stalemate likely.
  • No significant injuries reported impacting starting lineups for either side, maintaining expected starting strengths and tactical setups.
  • Playing at home benefits Bologna, providing motivation and familiar conditions. Napoli faces a challenging away fixture but typically performs well on the road.
  • Bologna aims to capitalize on home advantage to improve their standing, while Napoli’s motivation is to maintain pace in Serie A title contention despite recent scoring woes.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline 190 (Bologna), 161 (Napoli), 205 (Draw) Bologna ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Bologna 0 +102, Napoli 0 -122 Bologna +0 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2 -120, Under 2 100 Under 2 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bologna 45%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 40%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Bologna at 45% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bologna Moneyline win

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Brentford vs. Newcastle United Prediction EPL in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Brentford vs Newcastle United – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-09
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Gtech Community Stadium, Brentford

Game Overview

Brentford hosts Newcastle United in a mid-table EPL clash closely matched in league standing and points, with both sides eager to climb the table. Brentford's strong home form contrasts with Newcastle’s ongoing search for an away victory this season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Brentford holds a respectable home record with 3 wins from 5 matches, while Newcastle has won 4 of their last 5 matches across all competitions but still struggles away in the league this season.
  • Newcastle has historically dominated this fixture, winning 4 of the last 5 meetings, adding confidence to their potential to win despite current away struggles.
  • Brentford’s squad is nearly at full strength with key players including Benjamin Arthur expected to feature. Newcastle’s injury situation is stable with no major absences reported.
  • Both teams are under pressure to secure points to avoid slipping deeper into the bottom half; Brentford benefits from the home crowd and familiarity of the Gtech Community Stadium.
  • Both teams are closely matched on points (12th vs. 13th), boosting motivation equally to climb the table, with Newcastle looking to break away from poor away form and Brentford aiming to maintain their upward home trajectory.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline brentford: +185, newcastle: +145, draw: +240 Newcastle United ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread brentford_0: +110, newcastle_0: -130 Newcastle United 0 spread (Draw No Bet) ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under over_2.5: -122, under_2.5: +102 Over 2.5 Goals ★★★☆☆ 64%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Newcastle United 18%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 0%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Newcastle United at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Newcastle United moneyline win represents the highest expected value due to recent form, historical H2H dominance, and attractive American odds.

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Genoa vs. Fiorentina Prediction Serie A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Genoa vs Fiorentina – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-09
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Luigi Ferraris, Genoa

Game Overview

Genoa and Fiorentina face off in a crucial Serie A match with both teams struggling near the bottom of the table. Fiorentina are slight favorites but both sides have low scoring rates, hinting at a tight, low-scoring contest.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Genoa have won only 1 of their last 10 matches and are 0-3 in their last five games. Fiorentina have a 0-6-4 record with similarly poor scoring, having netted only 7 goals in 10 games. Both teams struggle offensively, which lowers scoring expectations.
  • Fiorentina have been dominant historically at this venue, unbeaten in the last nine meetings against Genoa and winners in the last three trips to Genoa. This gives Fiorentina a psychological edge despite current form challenges.
  • No critical injury details are currently available from the sources; both teams enter with their debutants adaptive to Serie A which might impact rhythm.
  • Public betting heavily favors Genoa at 86% of bets, potentially skewing odds. The match venue, Luigi Ferraris, traditionally favors the home side, but Genoa's poor form diminishes this advantage.
  • Both teams face relegation pressure, enhancing the importance of this match. The winner not only gains points but significantly boosts survival aspirations, likely causing cautious and defensive play from both sides.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fiorentina: 169, Genoa: 193, Draw: 195 Draw ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Fiorentina: -120, Genoa: 100 Genoa +0 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 2 goals: -115, Under 2 goals: -105 Under 2 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Draw 18%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 37%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 37% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 38.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Draw

Predicted Score: 0-0


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NEC Nijmegen vs. Groningen Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

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Match Analysis: NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-09
  • Time: 1:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Goffertstadion

Game Overview

NEC Nijmegen hosts Groningen in a mid-table Eredivisie clash where the home side is favored by bettors and oddsmakers, but neither team is in blistering form. Both sides have a habit of scoring and conceding, suggesting goals at both ends are likely, yet recent trends hint at fewer goals than the total suggests.

Key Factors to Consider

  • NEC Nijmegen has scored and conceded in 8 of their last 9 matches, showing defensive vulnerability but consistent attacking output. Groningen, meanwhile, has both scored and conceded in 4 of their last 5 away matches. Neither side is in peak form, with NEC coming off a 1-0 loss to Utrecht despite dominating possession, and Groningen drawing 1-1 with Twente despite a solid home performance[1][2].
  • In the last 5 meetings, Nijmegen leads 3-1-1, including a 2-1 win in July 2025. Historically, both teams have scored in over half of their encounters, with both scoring in 5 of the last 10 meetings at Nijmegen's ground[2][7].
  • No major injury updates available in the provided data. Both teams are expected to field close to full-strength squads.
  • No significant external factors reported (weather, suspensions, etc.).
  • Both teams are mid-table with little separating them, but NEC's home advantage and recent H2H edge could boost morale. Groningen's away form has been respectable, keeping them in contention[2][7].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline NEC Nijmegen -103, Groningen +275, Draw +245 NEC Nijmegen win ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread NEC Nijmegen -0.5 (-102), Groningen +50 (-118) NEC Nijmegen -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.75 (-112), Under 2.75 (-108) Under 2.75 ★★★☆☆ 54%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline NEC Nijmegen 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: NEC Nijmegen at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Expect a tight, competitive match with goals at both ends, but not a high-scoring affair. Nijmegen's home strength and recent H2H record edges it, but Groningen's resilience makes them dangerous. The total goals market is the most intriguing given recent trends.

Predicted Score: NEC Nijmegen 1-0 Groningen


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Athletic Bilbao vs. Oviedo Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Athletic Bilbao vs Oviedo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-09
  • Time: 1:00 PM UTC
  • Location: San Mamés, Bilbao

Game Overview

Athletic Bilbao hosts Real Oviedo in a competitive La Liga match at San Mamés. Athletic Bilbao enters after two consecutive defeats including a 2-0 loss in the Champions League, while Oviedo drew scoreless at home in their last outing. Recent form favors Athletic despite recent setbacks, with Oviedo showing resilience but limited offensive output.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Athletic Bilbao has lost its last two matches but generally performs strongly at home. Oviedo has shown defensive discipline with a 0-0 draw but lacks scoring consistency.
  • Over the last 19 meetings, Athletic Bilbao leads narrowly with 7 wins against Oviedo's 6, and 6 draws, reflecting a historically balanced rivalry.
  • No major injury concerns reported for either team, maintaining squad stability.
  • No significant external factors; home advantage for Athletic Bilbao at San Mamés is a notable edge.
  • Athletic Bilbao is motivated to bounce back after recent losses and maintain league standing, while Oviedo aims to secure points to avoid relegation threats.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Athletic Bilbao: -196, Oviedo: +675, Draw: +280 Athletic Bilbao ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Athletic Bilbao -1: -115, Oviedo +1: -105 Athletic Bilbao -1 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.25: -105, Under 2.25: -115 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Athletic Bilbao -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Athletic Bilbao to win on the moneyline; Athletic Bilbao -1 on the spread; Under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Atalanta BC vs. Sassuolo Prediction Serie A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Atalanta BC vs Sassuolo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-09
  • Time: 11:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Gewiss Stadium

Game Overview

Atalanta BC hosts Sassuolo in a Serie A clash where both teams are level on 13 points and closely matched in league standings. Atalanta aims to end a winless streak and regain stability, while Sassuolo hopes to secure valuable points to climb the table.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atalanta has struggled recently without consistent wins but benefits from playing at home and their historical dominance. Sassuolo is performing steadily but lacks the ability to consistently challenge stronger sides.
  • Atalanta holds a significant edge over Sassuolo with 19 wins in their last 28 encounters, including recent 2-0 and 3-0 league wins and a 3-1 cup victory.
  • No major injury reports available, suggesting both lineups should be near full strength.
  • Match played at Atalanta’s home, Gewiss Stadium, provides home advantage. Weather and travel conditions are typical with no disruptions expected.
  • Atalanta is motivated to break their winless spell and reclaim momentum; Sassuolo aims to continue securing points to avoid slipping down the table.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Home: -216, Draw: 365, Away: 550 Home (Atalanta BC) win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Atalanta BC -1.25: 105, Sassuolo +1.25: -125 Atalanta BC -1.25 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2.75: -115, Under 2.75: -105 Under 2.75 goals ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atalanta BC -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atalanta BC to win

Predicted Score: 2-0


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FC Utrecht vs. Ajax Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

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Match Analysis: FC Utrecht vs Ajax – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-09
  • Time: 11:15 AM UTC
  • Location: Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht

Game Overview

A high-stakes Eredivisie clash between hometown FC Utrecht and top-tier Ajax, expected to be competitive with balanced home advantage and strong attacking potentials from both sides.

Key Factors to Consider

  • FC Utrecht holds a moderate home form with 50% wins in last 10, while Ajax's away form is less consistent with 20% wins but high draw rate (50%). Ajax leads the table but has recent challenges including a 3-0 Champions League loss and league draws.
  • Ajax dominates recent historical matchups with 10 wins to Utrecht's 4 over 17 matches, including a 4-0 win earlier this year. Both teams regularly score in these encounters.
  • No critical injuries reported affecting starting lineups significantly for either side; squads appear near full strength.
  • Ajax has experienced fatigue with recent European matches and suffered defensive lapses, while Utrecht looks fresher after a 1-1 Europa League draw but lower possession matches.
  • Ajax currently fourth in the league, motivated to regain top form and secure European qualification. Utrecht sits sixth, motivated for home points to close gap and improve standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ajax: 142, FC Utrecht: 171, Draw: 255 Ajax ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Ajax 0: -122, FC Utrecht 0: 102 Ajax 0 spread (win or draw) ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 3: 102, Under 3: -122 Under 3 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ajax 33%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Ajax at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ajax moneyline win

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Inter Miami CF vs. Nashville SC Prediction MLS in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Inter Miami CF vs Nashville SC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-09
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Chase Stadium, Fort Lauderdale

Game Overview

This MLS playoff decider features Inter Miami CF hosting Nashville SC. Inter Miami leads the season series and has stronger recent form, making them slight favorites at home in a high-stakes match.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Inter Miami holds a better season record (19-7-8) compared to Nashville (16-12-6) and won the latest matchup 2-1 on the road. Miami showed strong home performance this season and scores consistently.
  • Recent meetings show high probability of both teams scoring, with Inter Miami narrowly ahead in results. Both teams scored in 9 of the last 10 encounters.
  • No major injuries reported that would significantly impact starting lineups for either side.
  • Match played at Inter Miami's home stadium, providing them home advantage with strong fan support. Weather expected to be favorable, no reported external disruptions.
  • This playoff game is decisive; Inter Miami is motivated to leverage home advantage to avoid elimination, while Nashville aims to upset away but faces pressure as underdogs.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -197, away: 426, draw: 408 Inter Miami CF ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Inter Miami CF: -122, Nashville SC: 102 Inter Miami CF -1 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over: -102, Under: -118 Over 3.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Inter Miami CF 4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.5 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Inter Miami CF to win on the moneyline, with a spread bet on Inter Miami -1, and a prediction of over 3.5 goals scored in the match.

Predicted Score: 3-1


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Sao Paulo vs. Bragantino-SP Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Sao Paulo vs Bragantino-SP – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-09
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Urbano Caldeira

Game Overview

Sao Paulo hosts Bragantino-SP in a Brazilian Serie A match with Sao Paulo as the clear favorite based on form and odds. Sao Paulo shows stronger recent performance and motivation, while Bragantino is underdog with limited injury concerns but less consistency.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sao Paulo has been in better recent form with multiple wins and higher consistency in attack and defense. Bragantino's form is weaker and more erratic, impacting their away performance negatively.
  • Recent H2H matches favor Sao Paulo with multiple wins and few draws. Bragantino has struggled to secure points historically in this matchup.
  • No major injury concerns reported for either squad, enabling both teams to field strong lineups.
  • The match takes place at Estádio Urbano Caldeira, giving Sao Paulo a home advantage. Weather and pitch conditions expected to be neutral with no external disruptions.
  • Sao Paulo is motivated by position in the league to secure maximum points to maintain their ranking, while Bragantino has less at stake and may play more conservatively.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sao Paulo -133, Draw +259, Bragantino +400 Sao Paulo ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Sao Paulo -0.75 (-105), Bragantino +75 (-115) Sao Paulo -0.75 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.25 (-111), Under 2.25 (-109) Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sao Paulo 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sao Paulo to win on the moneyline, Sao Paulo -0.75 on the spread, and under 2.25 goals in the over/under market.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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