Match Analysis: Toulouse vs Brest – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-24
- Time: 3:15 PM UTC
- Location: Toulouse home stadium
Game Overview
Toulouse hosts Brest in a France Ligue 1 fixture where Toulouse are slight favorites at home. Recent statistics indicate a balanced matchup with both teams showing moderate scoring and competitive form.
Key Factors to Consider
- Toulouse shows solid home form and slight edge in recent matches with a win probability around 51%. Brest has struggled for consistency and scores less frequently on the road.
- Historically, Toulouse holds a narrow advantage with more home wins against Brest, but matches tend to be close and competitive.
- No major injury news reported for either team, suggesting both sides at near full strength.
- No evident external disruptions; weather and pitch conditions at Toulouse expected to be normal for August.
- Toulouse motivated to capitalize on home advantage and start the season strong; Brest aiming for an upset but less incentive given recent results.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Toulouse +106, Brest +245, Draw +245 | Toulouse | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Spread | Toulouse -0.25 -125, Brest +25 +105 | Toulouse -0.25 | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
Over/under | Over 2.5 -108, Under 2.5 -112 | Over 2.5 goals | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Toulouse 5% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.5 6% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bet on Toulouse moneyline to win, spread favoring Toulouse -0.25, and over 2.5 goals.
Predicted Score: 2-1